• Half Smoke's Avatar
    02-01-2025, 06:49 AM
    everybody used the same lines which were posted on Thursdays from vegasinsider.com - so they could have been stale - the lines he bet into could...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    01-31-2025, 02:03 PM
    . he did about 64% for about 200 games (slightly less than 200 but slightly more than 64%) I asked google what is the chance of flipping heads...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    01-31-2025, 12:21 PM
    . "playyourcardsright" won the WOV NFL picks contest going 67-31 - 68.4% - I don't recall ever seeing anyone get that high a % with that many...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    01-17-2025, 07:00 AM
    and of course if AI can be shown to be highly predictive the sports books themselves can use it to set their opening lines which could possibly be...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    01-16-2025, 03:06 PM
    . it's no real mystery how Benter was able to crush Hong Kong racing he crunched every piece of data available to him - no doubt he was very...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    01-16-2025, 06:19 AM
    . I knew about Bill Benter but not about the other guy that mickey posted about I should have limited my post about how few if any win to the U.S....
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    01-15-2025, 07:48 AM
    . if an AI site is believed to be very sharp the line setters will use it too and the bettors still have to pay the vig
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    01-15-2025, 06:31 AM
    I was very much into racing for quite a while - luckily my losses were smallish I'm not aware of any syndicates that beat racing - I would like to...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    01-15-2025, 06:12 AM
    . several websites are offering AI picks on sports bets - and I believe the picks are free at most of the sites - they priced them right I don't...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    12-31-2024, 06:52 AM
    . I made a winning pick in week 10 - Cardinals at home (5-4 at the time) +1.5 over the Jets (3-6) at that time - the spread actually went to...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    12-31-2024, 06:27 AM
    yes, he should be believed but that doesn't mean that other successful cappers have not profited without using mathematical models they have - that...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    12-30-2024, 03:26 PM
    I agree that the term EV is not a good one for a handicapper to use it might be better for someone milking bonuses but even then it would be...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    12-30-2024, 03:11 PM
    there is no "mathematical formula" some very sharp bettors have very sharp opinions they have a particular insight into certain games - they are...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    12-30-2024, 03:02 PM
    that is correct but it is the late betting sharps that caused to line to move (not every time but many times) by betting in to what they saw as a...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    12-30-2024, 01:52 PM
    . a game could open up as a pick 'em then a few days later close to game time a fave could be bet down to -1.5 - happens quite often so when...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    11-19-2024, 04:53 AM
    . Dan - thank you very much for posting the grand totals here and in the NBA thread this makes it much more interesting for me to follow - and...
    53 replies | 9204 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    09-23-2024, 09:13 AM
    . sorry Dan - didn't mean to put my pick in your thread (above) - it's a dupe by mistake please delete that one and this one too - too late for...
    53 replies | 9204 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    09-23-2024, 05:52 AM
    . an early under pick for week 4 Commanders/Cardinals u 49.5_________the highest total for the week Commanders are averaging 20.5 - Cardinals 27.3...
    94 replies | 17340 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    09-23-2024, 05:51 AM
    . an early under pick for week 4 Commanders/Cardinals u 49.5_________the highest total for the week Commanders are averaging 20.5 - Cardinals 27.3...
    53 replies | 9204 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    09-23-2024, 03:54 AM
    . nice picks Dan - 3 wins in a row actually equal to a little more than 4 in a row ats in terms of dollars won due to your gutsy pick on the...
    53 replies | 9204 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    09-23-2024, 03:40 AM
    . the AI picks tanked so far - see one post up I tracked them at 10-15 no more tracking of this for me I'm not a believer .
    94 replies | 17340 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    09-22-2024, 04:27 AM
    . this is pretty interesting - to me anyway AI predictions for the scores of this Sunday and Monday's NFL games I'm going to track this on the o/u...
    94 replies | 17340 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    09-17-2024, 04:37 AM
    Red is referring to sports handicappers posting winning picks after the game is over you are referring to the more common definition of past...
    42 replies | 3485 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    09-16-2024, 01:38 PM
    parlays can sometimes be good bets but often they're not there is often more vig compared to a straight bet - and sometimes the parlays have their...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    09-15-2024, 09:42 AM
    using covers.com - see link - I believe they're all 1-A schools - I counted the faves going 33-26 on Saturday - a much lower winning % ...
    9 replies | 841 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    09-09-2024, 01:34 PM
    using covers.com I went back and tracked just under 300 pre-season games covers doesn't have this data for every year but I was able to get 6...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    09-09-2024, 12:21 PM
    . I was thinking about the pre-season how could they even make a line on those games___________?_____________I don't even believe the teams really...
    3380 replies | 491463 view(s)
  • Half Smoke's Avatar
    09-06-2024, 07:54 AM
    Half Smoke replied to a thread Am I the best ever? in Las Vegas
    . depression can be a totally debilitating thing if it's not treated and treated properly my next door neighbor is a Ph.D. - chemistry before he...
    103 replies | 9776 view(s)
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him

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