https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cPKiA3LZMos
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Congratulations on your coming out of the closet.
For those with some wisdom, the college football chalk in games involving 1-A schools went 31-18 or 30-19 ATS yesterday, depending on when you bet Auburn.
Say thank you anytime. KewlJ can also chime in anytime with his betting wisdom. LOL.
As for me, a little discernment went a long way. Betting all teasers, I won every game I bet. Had I straight played everything, I would have lost Utah. Everything else got there. The trick is, I wager 70% underdogs, but yesterday I took all favorites. I don't think, in 50 years of doing this, that I've ever gone all chalk with a large lineup.
Now excuse me while I clean the chalk out of my nose. Snorting chalk is a bad, bad habit.
But, but, but you didn’t put the picks out in advance.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
That is the absurdity of our 40 year professional sports better, Boz. He almost NEVER posts a pick or what he is betting in advance. It is ALWAYS after the fact "Oh I won this or that", or am in 14th place in some contest.Quote:
Originally Posted by The Boz
Just look at this current statement. He usually bets 70% underdogs (a good strategy), but it just so happens that today he tells us he wagered all chalk yesterday, and guess what, yesterday most chalk won. Ridiculous.
What we get from this guy is all AFTER THE FACT. Even last weekend on a pick from Dan Druff the ended up pushing, Red had to chime in that if Druff had bet earlier in the week, he would have gotten a better line and won that bet. WOW, useful information to know AFTER THE FACT.
Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJThat is the absurdity of our 40 year professional sports better, Boz. He almost NEVER posts a pick or what he is betting in advance. It is ALWAYS after the fact "Oh I won this or that", or am in 14th place in some contest.Quote:
Originally Posted by The Boz
Just look at this current statement. He usually bets 70% underdogs (a good strategy), but it just so happens that today he tells us he wagered all chalk yesterday, and guess what, yesterday most chalk won. Ridiculous.
What we get from this guy is all AFTER THE FACT. Even last weekend on a pick from Dan Druff the ended up pushing, Red had to chime in that if Druff had bet earlier in the week, he would have gotten a better line and won that bet. WOW, useful information to know AFTER THE FACT.
KewlJ, you do realize (if I may be so bold) that Boz was being facetious? That he was poking fun at any idiot who wouldn't appreciate a dude with a 40-year documented track record being kind enough to tip people off to what he was doing, but in a way that required an IQ of 45 and a little humor. The post was made at 6 AM Pacific, which (and the kewlJ genius can correct me if I'm wrong) was before any kickoff. In fact, it was well in advance of any kickoff.
I figured maybe Tasha wouldn't get it (sorry, Tasha) but anybody with a couple of working neurons wouldn't have a problem. Except the local gay expert gamblin' dude. LOL.
Kewlj, you are truly an idiot. And I'm being kind. Next time, read the fucking posting date and time before going on a rant about past posting. You are truly a moron.
And MDawg, if you don't quote me a few times on this, my feelings will be hurt.
P.S. Kewlj knows Las Vegas about as well as I know Angelina Jolie's birthmarks.
Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
using covers.com - see link - I believe they're all 1-A schools - I counted the faves going 33-26 on Saturday - a much lower winning %
https://www.covers.com/sports/ncaaf/matchups
Nope. I re-did the numbers. Using 1-A versus 1-A opening numbers or numbers within 24 hours of kickoff, faves were 31-19 or thereabouts. The ASU line pivoted; the Auburn line shifted to a win from a push.Quote:
Originally Posted by Half SmokeQuote:
Originally Posted by redietz
using covers.com - see link - I believe they're all 1-A schools - I counted the faves going 33-26 on Saturday - a much lower winning %
https://www.covers.com/sports/ncaaf/matchups
I see how you might have misinterpreted "Games involving 1-A schools." That means games involving ONLY 1-A schools, as limits for other games are generally circled and low and often unavailable until game day at many offshores.
I appreciate the criticism, however. Very happy you got to stick your nose in. I also used Covers.com, by the way, for the tally. In general, when doing these kinds of additions, I usually frame the tally as either "opening numbers" or "closing numbers." That would have affected just the Auburn game, but no others of which I'm aware.
The 1-A vs. non-1-A games have very different limits and availabilities. Some offshores wait until an hour before Saturday kickoff to post them, although others try to get them posted by Friday afternoon or earlier.
I also counted Illinois as a push, although some people were able to win that game with either side. I think push was the generally agreed upon most-common tally. So no, I wasn't stretching the bounds of likeliness.
So my question to you is, why the hell would you decide to report that I was "wrong" when you really have no idea what you're talking about? That seems a little aggressive. But you know these anonymous folks. They live for anonymous aggression, if there really is such a thing. You know, kind of like online sex. If that's how you're having sex or being aggressive, God bless your spineless soul.
How did this thread go from you being gay to it being about your thoughts nobody wants to read?Quote:
Originally Posted by redietzNope. I re-did the numbers. Using 1-A versus 1-A opening numbers or numbers within 24 hours of kickoff, faves were 31-19 or thereabouts. The ASU line pivoted; the Auburn line shifted to a win from a push.Quote:
Originally Posted by Half SmokeQuote:
Originally Posted by redietz
using covers.com - see link - I believe they're all 1-A schools - I counted the faves going 33-26 on Saturday - a much lower winning %
https://www.covers.com/sports/ncaaf/matchups
I see how you might have misinterpreted "Games involving 1-A schools." That means games involving ONLY 1-A schools, as limits for other games are generally circled and low and often unavailable until game day at many offshores.
I appreciate the criticism, however. Very happy you got to stick your nose in. I also used Covers.com, by the way, for the tally. In general, when doing these kinds of additions, I usually frame the tally as either "opening numbers" or "closing numbers." That would have affected just the Auburn game, but no others of which I'm aware.
The 1-A vs. non-1-A games have very different limits and availabilities. Some offshores wait until an hour before Saturday kickoff to post them, although others try to get them posted by Friday afternoon or earlier.
I also counted Illinois as a push, although some people were able to win that game with either side. I think push was the generally agreed upon most-common tally. So no, I wasn't stretching the bounds of likeliness.
I didn't watch the video or read any of the posts, in this thread but thanks for thinking of me.
Now if you would just give us all one pick or two per week so we can fire.