In the early days of the internet there was a site called "killyourself.com."Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
Very goth.
Long gone now...probably suicided.
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In the early days of the internet there was a site called "killyourself.com."Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
Very goth.
Long gone now...probably suicided.
You must have trouble keeping up.Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesdayI'm still hoping he is planning on killing himself. Maybe he can call a suicide hotline to get help doing it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I have no doubt I will outlive every loser here. I'm old, but I'm healthier, smarter, and way more resourceful than everyone on the gaming forums that only thrive because of me. I am not diseased inside and out like kew, I'm not a backwoods delinquent like redietz, I've never once sucked in the toxic smoke of a meaningless pothead like MrV, I'm not deeply into loan sharks like the disappearing maxpen, I don't burden my mind with a fake family and an online gambling addiction like Dan Druff, and I have the resources and ability to take out anyone else who thinks they could get the upper hand on me.
Lick me.
Ewwwww, gross.Quote:
Originally Posted by Rob.Singer
Hey Rob,are you claiming also that your cock is longer, thicker and gets more action than seedvalue's?
He seems adamant that his is the meat to beat.
Tell that yayhoo to put his money where his meat is.
There can be only one...
You're just a stupid narcissist who makes stuff up to get attention. Nobody can believe a word you say.Quote:
Originally Posted by Rob.SingerYou must have trouble keeping up.Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesdayI'm still hoping he is planning on killing himself. Maybe he can call a suicide hotline to get help doing it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I have no doubt I will outlive every loser here. I'm old, but I'm healthier, smarter, and way more resourceful than everyone on the gaming forums that only thrive because of me. I am not diseased inside and out like kew, I'm not a backwoods delinquent like redietz, I've never once sucked in the toxic smoke of a meaningless pothead like MrV, I'm not deeply into loan sharks like the disappearing maxpen, I don't burden my mind with a fake family and an online gambling addiction like Dan Druff, and I have the resources and ability to take out anyone else who thinks they could get the upper hand on me.
Lick me.
He's more believable then Kew :)Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesdayYou're just a stupid narcissist who makes stuff up to get attention. Nobody can believe a word you say.Quote:
Originally Posted by Rob.SingerYou must have trouble keeping up.Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
I have no doubt I will outlive every loser here. I'm old, but I'm healthier, smarter, and way more resourceful than everyone on the gaming forums that only thrive because of me. I am not diseased inside and out like kew, I'm not a backwoods delinquent like redietz, I've never once sucked in the toxic smoke of a meaningless pothead like MrV, I'm not deeply into loan sharks like the disappearing maxpen, I don't burden my mind with a fake family and an online gambling addiction like Dan Druff, and I have the resources and ability to take out anyone else who thinks they could get the upper hand on me.
Lick me.
Ain't nobody got time for that.Quote:
Originally Posted by OzzyHe's more believable then Kew :)Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesdayYou're just a stupid narcissist who makes stuff up to get attention. Nobody can believe a word you say.Quote:
Originally Posted by Rob.Singer
Rob has put on his blackface and is playing minstrel again, claiming he won the alleged $1.5M VP jackpot at Resorts World.
Why is Ron posting this shit over at GF and bad mouthing Druff again? Has he left this forum again?Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterV
I am sure he isn't getting the attention he craves in South Dakota, so he is trying to get people to chase him down the praise dog hole again and then in typical 'boy who cried wolf' fashion, will say "made you look".
That is what this troll that some here celebrate, is now reduced to.
He is an acquired taste like Gilbert Gottfried or Primus.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJWhy is Ron posting this shit over at GF and bad mouthing Druff again? Has he left this forum again?Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterV
I am sure he isn't getting the attention he craves in South Dakota, so he is trying to get people to chase him down the praise dog hole again and then in typical 'boy who cried wolf' fashion, will say "made you look".
That is what this troll that some here celebrate, is now reduced to.
First reaction is often negative but you grow to appreciate over time once you start to understand.
Quote:
Originally Posted by DGenBen
Why is redietz, who is supposed to be to busy to post here, posting over there? And he is also pushing the "no such thing as EV in sportsbetting" nonsense over there too.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJWhy is Ron posting this shit over at GF and bad mouthing Druff again? Has he left this forum again?Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterV
I am sure he isn't getting the attention he craves in South Dakota, so he is trying to get people to chase him down the praise dog hole again and then in typical 'boy who cried wolf' fashion, will say "made you look".
That is what this troll that some here celebrate, is now reduced to.
Two people bet Team A at -2. The line moves to -4. One person then bets Team B at -4 to shoot for the 2 point middle. Then after that the line moves to -5. The other person then bets Team B to go for the 3 point middle.
Which is the best bet? Of course it's the 3 point middle. It obviously has a much higher Expected Value than the 2 point middle.
How would the EV be calculated? My guess is pro sports bettors are most likely using long term statistics to measure the EV.
There must be statistics that exist that show how often a team that is favored by 2 points wins the game by exactly 2 points, or 3 points, or 4 points or 5 points---or win by 1 point, tie, or lose the game outright.
In the Fezzik video he said if you bet a game at -2.5 then the line moves to 3.5 at game time the -3.5 bet is expected to win 50% of the time but the -2.5 bet is expected to win 60% of the time. Of course, this revolves around the key number, 3.
So how would Fezzik know that -2.5 wins 10% more of the time than -3.5?
I think he is making two assumptions
1. The -3.5 line is sharp.
2. The 10% difference is derived from statistics collected on prior games that show how well the favorites do against the spread.
If a team is favored by 3 points how often will they win the game by 2 points or less or lose the game outright.
How often will they win the game by exactly 3 points?
How often will they win the game by exactly 4 points?
How often will they win the game by 5 points, 6 points, etc.
I've heard that NFL football games are won by exactly 3 points 10% of the time. Can't say if it's true or not....but I would have to think that a game where the number is right around -3 then the chance of the game landing exactly on that 3 would be much higher.
I'll have to take a look to see if Shack has any stats that break down the win margins of teams against the spread according to the number, whether it's -3 or -7 or whatever.
Redietz is clearly mental. Hes also running off to avoid. Likely there are more rubes on GF.
And yes Mickey, you use historic statistics to infer the EV. I haven't messed with it in ages and have better things to figure out so I'm hesitant to make claims but I believe you need a sharp line you assume to be correct. From that you can calculate EV of other lines.
Handicappers wouldn't really need the concept because they just go off their feelings. Line shoppers do need it.
Late congrats are in order for the.Crimmster, who's officially the leading active poster on VCT. He quietly surpassed his buddy Singer within the last month. Very impressive Mickey, you are without a doubt a VCT legend. Hell you even put Druff to shame almost doubling him in posting. Take away Dan the Man's sports picks and it would be a complete blowout!
You are so freaking weird and have priorities in all the wrong places. What if it was Tasha, AKA Nathan, that had moved into the 'post lead'? Would you still be offering congratulations on a million posts, most which have nothing to do with anything of interest? And for the record the only reason it isn't Tasha is because of limits placed on her/him.Quote:
Originally Posted by Ozzy
Now I am not comparing mickeycrimm to tasha in any way. Crimm is a great poster and very valuable, when he is on topic. :D But volume alone really is nothing to be celebrated. Otherwise, you end up with a lot of posts like Spike/Evenbob.....nothing posts, from someone wanting to be the leader. luckily for us, Crimm is able to combine value and quantity in most of his posting.
Are you sanctimonious on all the forums you post on or does this particular forum just give you an outlet?Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJYou are so freaking weird and have priorities in all the wrong places. What if it was Tasha, AKA Nathan, that had moved into the 'post lead'? Would you still be offering congratulations on a million posts, most which have nothing to do with anything of interest? And for the record the only reason it isn't Tasha is because of limits placed on her/him.Quote:
Originally Posted by Ozzy
Now I am not comparing mickeycrimm to tasha in any way. Crimm is a great poster and very valuable, when he is on topic. :D But volume alone really is nothing to be celebrated. Otherwise, you end up with a lot of posts like Spike/Evenbob.....nothing posts, from someone wanting to be the leader. luckily for us, Crimm is able to combine value and quantity in most of his posting.
Ridiculous post by UNKOOL1. Mickey completely deserves the recognition for his league leading active post title, surpassing you're undefeatable nemesis:) Unlike you, his posts are of high quality and humour. So bringing Tusha into the argument is a complete non sequitor.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJYou are so freaking weird and have priorities in all the wrong places. What if it was Tasha, AKA Nathan, that had moved into the 'post lead'? Would you still be offering congratulations on a million posts, most which have nothing to do with anything of interest? And for the record the only reason it isn't Tasha is because of limits placed on her/him.Quote:
Originally Posted by Ozzy
Now I am not comparing mickeycrimm to tasha in any way. Crimm is a great poster and very valuable, when he is on topic. :D But volume alone really is nothing to be celebrated. Otherwise, you end up with a lot of posts like Spike/Evenbob.....nothing posts, from someone wanting to be the leader. luckily for us, Crimm is able to combine value and quantity in most of his posting.
Oh come on. 10 pages of drivel with in depth analysis of Rob Singer's motivation and the usual acrimony and grudge matches among various posters here. Rob is an Internet Troll. He's always been an Internet Troll. He does it to get attention. He does it to get people riled up. To get their panties in a wad. Judging by the 100+ posts his mere absence has created, I'd say Mission Accomplished.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Everything you say is true unowme. Some of us, out of boredom and entertainment value, do like to feed and play with the trolls. In the end it only empowers them though, so again, you are correct.Quote:
Originally Posted by unowmeOh come on. 10 pages of drivel with in depth analysis of Rob Singer's motivation and the usual acrimony and grudge matches among various posters here. Rob is an Internet Troll. He's always been an Internet Troll. He does it to get attention. He does it to get people riled up. To get their panties in a wad. Judging by the 100+ posts his mere absence has created, I'd say Mission Accomplished.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Ps: Love the Trump tattoo in Rob the trolls arm. :D