Actually, let's break the whole thing down from the viewpoint of a third-rate writer (me):
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That's how they can go on the big ones. Generally speaking, if they run higher than you are expecting them to hit, then you often will lose some large sum of money. The reason for that is because, let's make a really aggressive assumption and say that you're only expected to drop 15% on the reels, in terms of EV:
Notice that we immediately establish a direct relationship with the reader by using words such as, 'You.' Even though anyone can read the post, it's almost as if I meant the post specifically for that reader. Because I am explaining my position on must-hits whilst simultaneously trying to encourage people NOT to play them unless they are really good, it's important to establish this direct link. I'm not talking to everyone; I'm talking to YOU.
In the third sentence you'll notice I say, "...let's make a really aggressive assumption," you see, I'm not making an aggressive assumption by myself, nor is the reader; this is something that we are working through together.
You'll also notice the superlative, 'Really,' being used; that's going to be very important in that it indicates to the reader that this is not merely an aggressive assumption, oh no, this is a hyper aggressive assumption. In fact, if we were talking about penny denomination MH machines, this assumption would almost never be true to begin with.
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Okay, so let's suppose you start playing one at $9880 and we will call it a $5 meter move just to keep things really simple. The machine looks like $9880.00, so suppose that it runs all the way to $9990.00 just for the heck of it. Okay, so we have done 11,000 meter moves ($55,000 coin in) before the machine actually managed to hit. If we had an expected loss on the reels of 15% of all coin-in, then we would expect to lose $8,250 on the reels, but the jackpot hit at $9,990, so we should still look $1,740 to the good, right?
We are still on this journey together, but now I am painting a picture. The reader is now in a casino and has spotted a MH machine at $9,880 and thinks, "This is awesome," but is it really the slam dunk can't lose play the reader might be thinking it is? You'll also notice that the meter, 'Looks like,' in the next sentence, and the reason it, 'Looks like,' that is because I know that there are many readers in the northeast/east part of the country that would prefer for things to look like things rather than just being what they are, for whatever reason. Although, saying it, 'Looks like,' also relates to vision, so helps us continue to paint the picture of the reader actually being in the casino.
After that, you will notice that WE have done 11,000 meter moves, which is my way of telling the reader that we are taking the wonderful journey to the destination of getting our teeth kicked in on a must-hit together. That's also why if WE had an expected loss, etc. This is our loss. Of course, they almost certainly had a bigger piece of the action than I did. lol
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The first problem is that you're probably betting at least $5 per spin if you don't want to be there for 7,000 years, so that $1,740 to the good that you think is going to happen if you run that high (and is also based on a VERY aggressive assumption, imo) is really just the difference of running a few Free Games less than expected, the average return of free games being less than expected, or even just running a few decent line pays below expected.
He's betting at least $5 per spin because he doesn't want to be there for 7,000 years. I wanted to reduce variance and we could just work it in shifts, but he didn't like that idea. Notice that I also gave multiple examples of different ways that the reels could go awry rather than making a generic statement such as, "Not running as expected."
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Anyway, I'm not going to break down the rest of it. I'm just bullshitting anyway. I wrote it the way I wrote it and am just justifying the way I wrote it after the fact.
However it was written, it kept you reading long enough to make it to at least 500+ words, which is more than a great many writers get out of people.