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Tracking a 2nd table .. who cares. It seems reasonable some people could do that but then you got bulkshit greedy and bumped it up a notch. That's when I gave you a hard time. I just couldn't imagine... and the attempts to imagine were LOLable thoughts.
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Originally Posted by kewlJ
Red, what do you think the number of people that believe you and your story are now after everything mickey has exposed? :confused:Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
As for me, I don't care who beleives me or not. I really don't. I know Mdawg and Singer and some of the other trolls (I guess you are in that group) think I care, but I dont. If I cared, I would have stopped posting long ago. I am for the most part a card counter. There are no other professional level card counters that participate on this forum, except zenking. Just a bunch of nay-sayers who want to say "oh that can't be" when they have no clue about the topic.
The tracking a second table is a perfect example. I shared that technique and all the naysayers clueless about card counting jumped up and down. But when that discussion made it's way to other forums, and it did, several known professional card counters, past and present, chimed in saying they had done some version of tracking a second table, including Don Schlesinger, Richard Munchkin and a couple players that have asked me not to even post their names or handles on this forum. Only the trolls and naysayers here flew into a fit.
And that is why I have stopped sharing most anything I do with blackjack on this forum. Just this week, I was going to make a post about hitting all-time high (ATH). Probably few people know this but a blackjack player, even professional, is at his ATH, less than 5% of the time. Because of the extreme variance and long swings associated with blackjack card counting a player can and will fall back significantly after hitting ATH and it can be weeks or months until he gets back to a new ATH.
BUT, there can also be a period where he hits a number of ATH's in a row or within a short span. I mean if you are at an ATH and win the next day, you are at a new ATH. I had such a period in the past few weeks, hitting new ATHs more than half a dozen times within a short time. I was going to share that and how ATHs work, but then decided, why bother? It is a forum of complete boobs, buffoons and trolls, who know nothing about card counting professionally.
That is what this forum is and continues to be, and why so few real players, (not just blackjack) participate here.
But I will parrot what YOU said redietz. What YOU don't know is stunning to me. It just don't jive for a guy who claims to spend 100 days a year in Vegas for 40 years. :rolleyes:
The difference is I have a 40-year documented record under my real name. In national publications. In national public competitions. You are some anonymous twit making shit up on forums. Why you do this, I have no idea. Either you're trolling for cash customers (which is the only real reason to keep hammering the gay thing all the time), or you need mental help, or both.
And finally, I must admit to (currently) not being the best handicapper in the household. Karen knocked out a 6-0 game, 21-0 unit day to lead LineMasters after two weeks.
Why do I feel like James Carville?
You LOOK like James Carville....I'll give ya that. :DQuote:
Originally Posted by redietz
Red, I did not come to this forum "hammering the gay thing". I didn't even bring it up. Axelwolf did, in an attempt at a joke.
The fact that I am gay is irrelevant to me as far as any gambling forum. It isn't me who brings it up or dwells on it. It is you obsessed freaks. Look at today. I have made several posts talking about blackjack, sports betting. You felt the need to bring up something about being gay. NOT ME!.
Now I will admit, every once in a while I will make some small reference knowing that it will throw the many homophobic obsessed freaks here into a tizzy. It isn't me that has the problem. I am good with gay people, straight people (breeders) bi people confused people, closeted people or most of the other letters of the LBG and many expanded letters community, although I admit, I haven't come to terms with the whole trans thing. I am good with white people, black people, Latinos, and just about every other race. I am good with all religions or no religions. I may make jokes or fun of someone or some group, but I am really good with everyone. Live and let live. Few here can say the same.
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Originally Posted by kewlj
And of course someone who doesn't care what people think of her is going to spend hours crafting these lonnnnng posts in defense of herself.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
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Originally Posted by Gottlob1
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Originally Posted by MDawg
What does 10X have to do, however, with MDawg?Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
10X more credibility than UNKewlJ, that's what!Quote:
Originally Posted by MaxPen
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Originally Posted by MaxPen
And this one had to hurt, the most unkindest cut of all! :Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawgWhat's entertaining is how at first it was just RobSinger, MickeyCrimm, monet, CoachBelly, EvenBob, Blackhole, Bosox, Tater/Moses, BillRyan, DeMango, SM777, 100XOdds, vegas, JohnnyQ, GWAE, Norm and some others, who were anti-UNKewlJ and calling him out for his lies. Then MDawg joined in, and one by one everyone else has boarded the
train, calling the bum out as both mentally ill and a compulsive liar.
And then as each forum member turned against him, Ozzy, AccountInQuestion, UnJon, redietz, Ray Finkle, MarcusClark66, WellBush, mcap, keystone, Mission146, PunkCity, Wizard, seedvalue, unowme, smurgerburger, Gottlob1, Dan Druff, Tasha, MaxPen, Boz, AxelWolf, etc. it was as if a knife was turning again and again in his weak bowels, until...no one was left on his deserted island. Just the pain he exhibits as he realizes that the gig is long up and yet keeps, as MisterV put it, flailing about deflecting...unmasked...unable to deal with it running around the forum like a scalded monkey, hurling feces in the hope that some will stick is at least as good entertainment as the free show at Circus Circus.
Almost as much fun as watching him flail about is hearing him try to claim that
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Originally Posted by kewlJ
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Originally Posted by MisterV
Whatever he is, he occupies blocks of prime real estate in that minuscule brain of yours….Get help JerkoffQuote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
And this one had to hurt, the most unkindest cut of all! :
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Originally Posted by MisterV
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Originally Posted by MDawg
The hound, while relentlessly snapping and foaming at the mouth, never seems able to bite anything other than his own tail.
"Arf"
KewlJ basically said I past-posted my post here, which means he either can't read, can't tell time, doesn't know what day it is, or all of the above. Why would anyone give him one ounce of credibility?
Oh, calm down Red. Posting from my phone, I saw the 6am and thought it was today, not noticing that it was yesterday. I made a mistake. Sue me. Congrats to you for whatever chalk you picked yesterday. Ok?Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
All this bickering....and over a lying loser faggot no less.
It's pretty darn clear: kew OBVIOUSLY is continually bothered by NO ONE believing his pathological lies, and he's even MORE BOTHERED over how he just cannot convince anyone about anything he makes up while trying so hard to impress a handful of nobodys. The proof? Who else needs to keep posting long-winded denial after denial. His sick heart isn't the only diseased organ in that wimpy body.
This is the textbook definition of a loser in life. It also explains his continuing obsessive need to try and keep his "counting two tables" (or was it three....the bozo never CAN keep his lies straight) fabrication active.
Much better week in week 2 for the under dogs. I went 9-4 heading into the sunday night game, which I had some wagers win (chicago +6.5) and some push (chicago +6).
So Half Smoke's 1st 2 week underdog play went 15-13 for me, with a couple games, one last week and one Sunday night this week partial pushes and partial wins or loss (last week). Back of envelope math has me up $3586. Not the windfall I was looking for, but not bad after a 6-9 first week. There is one game remaining, monday night, but I am not betting that using this play. I like a different play involving the over/under for that game.
That I eeked out a profit, doesn't confirm that this play is +EV, or -EV. But I feel strongly that it is +EV based on now 12 years of data provided by Half Smoke. And I plan to play it again next year. Thanks to Half Smoke for sharing this play and the data backing it up. Hope you did well Half Smoke, as well as anyone else tagging along.
By the way, most of the underdogs won outright. So if you were doing something with underdog money lines, you did quite well also. I only bet the points.
And 3 of the 4 biggest favorites lost out right today. Add that to the biggest favorite last week, Cincinnati losing and there must be a lot of people out of those suicide pools and contests. I don't play them.
It ALL just goes back to the basis of this Half Smoke underdog with points play over the first 2 weeks. The favorites, while likely the better team and will show that later in the year, just aren't anymore ready to play the first couple weeks than the worser teams. There are a number of things that contribute to that, including now only 3 preseason games, in which many starters just don't play or play much.
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Originally Posted by MDawg
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Originally Posted by kewlJOh, calm down Red. Posting from my phone, I saw the 6am and thought it was today, not noticing that it was yesterday. I made a mistake. Sue me. Congrats to you for whatever chalk you picked yesterday. Ok?Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
You post a complete fabrication about somebody who has been in the public eye doing this for 45 years, you post a complete and utter doofus lie, and you want that person to just blow it off because you allegedly read your phone wrong? You went on some made-up rant because you can't read? It didn't occur to you to actually check what you were writing? And you want to criticize MDawg for making shit up?
You are stone cold guilty of libel.
What kind of completely gutless loudmouth undisciplined moron are you?
I suggest we get together at South Point next time I'm in town and discuss this, because this is not going away, my friend. You owe me, at the least, an in-person apology and an explanation in writing or in person as to how this will not happen again.
Good God redietz! Your nuts! I thought the post about betting favorites was made 6am Sunday instead of 6 am saturday. I made a mistake. Get over it.
But still, you didn't really say what games or that you were betting favorites in all games. Just made a post about betting favorites. then come back the next day with some numbers about favorites winning and your numbers didn't even match other people's, like Half Smokes's for how favorites did.
But whatever. Again if you bet favorites saturday and did well. Good for you.
You want to make a big deal out of libel, look at what YOU and others say and claim about me. So just go fuck yourself.
Going to be in the 80's today and all week in Vegas and I have a busy week planned, so not going to waste time on here. But I want to say one final thing about this Half smoke play.
This is a legitimate play based on 12 years of data. And it is a narrow part of a bigger underdog data provided by Wizard for decades of NFL games, 10's of thousands of games. It was and is +EV, even though for me just barely won this year. Last year was 20-12 for the 2 weeks, which I did play online after Half Smoke first shared the play. Of course every year wasn't going to be 20-12. Wouldn't that be sweet. And it would have been +EV, even if it had narrowly lost instead of narrowly won.
I publicly stated what I was betting before a single game was played. Actually have mentioned it several times throughout the summer waiting for these first two weeks. Last sunday morning, I even commented how I may have over done it for my comfort level when I realized how much I had riding on week 1.
What I got fro our expert Red, was calling this play a trend. Even Boz said something about me chasing a -EV trend. This is/was a +EV play that Half smoke gave out to several gambling forums, with the data backing it up. Any AP that bets football that didn't jump on it, just left money on the table, even though it only turned a small profit this year. But really the only other AP, that I saw publicly jump on it, was Axelwolf and good for him. I hope he stuck with it and played the second week.
And after the first week and all the comments about trends and chasing -EV, when this +EV play turned around, Guess what? Not a single chirp. Crickets. Not a single person had a word to say. Not a single "good for you for sticking with it". Why am I not surprised?
NO, NO, NO it wasn’t an AP play. You are just wrong on that. I can find any historical “trend” and say the next game is +EV based on historical context. That doesn’t make today’s play +EV when you have a built in house edge like sports does.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
I am happy you won on it but saying you had an edge is just wrong. At least you didn’t follow this ass clown. And you didn’t bet parlays so there’s that. Again, congratulations since no one else is saying it.