We have no doubt that things continue to march onward...in your schizophRenic mind.
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We have no doubt that things continue to march onward...in your schizophRenic mind.
Hey Dawg, did they teach you photoshop in that third rate law school you attended?
You know fully damned well that the admin at GF has NOT put the "compulsive liar" on KJ: that is YOUR doing.
No doubt your personal and professional happiness would be better had you focused more on ETHICS in your legal studies.
MrV, reality, no longer matters to Mdog. Just look at the things he now frequently says and repeats. Male prostitution, homeless, sugar daddy stuff, Pacific Islander (which I don't even get and I guess that is meant as some kind of slur) all the homophobic slurs and attacks.Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterV
It is no longer about anything real or anything in reality. It is just about getting a good trolling in. Mdawg thinks that by winning some sort of troll war that it makes his claims that defy math and how Las Vegas works, more believable.
here is the simple truth. If this guy, Mdog was really the wealthy guy he claims, winning millions from casinos as he claims, and all the freebies he claims, he wouldn't care one iota about me or any other advantage players, what we think or say would he? :confused: Not in a million years.
That he is obsessed with this shit, really reveals all about him.
Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
Well said Kewl, well said.Quote:
It is no longer about anything real or anything in reality.
V, now, I don't think that you've mastered the art of "insulting" everyone, at once: An MDawg is a Singer with an education, and money. Ha.Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterV
Singer likes to endlessly wind KewlJ up. Mdawg is out to destroy him.Quote:
Originally Posted by Gottlob1V, now, I don't think that you've mastered the art of "insulting" everyone, at once: An MDawg is a Singer with an education, and money. Ha.Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterV
....except you've been caught making everything up about your personal life, so-called gambling life, and your :):) loveife.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
You are a fraud; you are The Joke. And you are broke.
Last time I wound him up like a top, baby bro quickly placed him onto his face so he could take advantage of the spin.Quote:
Originally Posted by accountinquestionSinger likes to endlessly wind KewlJ up. Mdawg is out to destroy him.Quote:
Originally Posted by Gottlob1V, now, I don't think that you've mastered the art of "insulting" everyone, at once: An MDawg is a Singer with an education, and money. Ha.Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterV
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rob.Singer
Except that no such thing really happened in the real world.....only in the alternative world of Rob Singer and MDawg.
What was proven was that I lied about one aspect of the backrooming lawsuit, in order to protect myself.
But if you need to believe this delusion in order to sleep at night...do what you got to do. It changes nothing about who I really am, not who you really are Jason Bourne. :rolleyes:
I suspect Robert went to college.Quote:
Originally Posted by Gottlob1
How else would the recruiters from U.N.C.L.E. have discovered him?
Dude you really need to stop denying all the other bullshit. I'd just drop it. The lawsuit was proven to the extent anything has been proven false. It has only been "proven" because you were so backed into a corner you had no other sane option.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJQuote:
Originally Posted by Rob.Singer
Except that no such thing really happened in the real world.....only in the alternative world of Rob Singer and MDawg.
What was proven was that I lied about one aspect of the backrooming lawsuit, in order to protect myself.
But if you need to believe this delusion in order to sleep at night...do what you got to do. It changes nothing about who I really am, not who you really are Jason Bourne. :rolleyes:
At some point we all make a decision whether something is proven or not.
Just like you haven't proven anything about Mdawg, your story about your programmer hacking that deckmate in 15 minutes is just as unlikely.
.
AinQ, you have every right to decide what you believe or 'think' is true or not. You, me and every other person on these forums has always had that right.
But don't confuse or conflate your "opinion" or what you "think" with proof.
Yes, IIRC KJ didn't go to college: his bio seems to be he worked / played BJ once high school ended, but I could be mistaken.
Regardless, even a crusty KJ-hater such as accountinquestion must recognize that the lad knows how to write effectively, to compose a sentence, and to communicate.
To me that shows native intelligence.
Heck, my mom didn't go to college and her MENSA IQ score was around 150 or so: college isn't required to be an accomplished individual; it's the ability to think things through, decide, then focus that seems to matter.
I think I have shared my education honestly, just as I have shared most of my history. I didn't have the opportunity to go to college as I had planned out of high school. I moved to a new city (Philly) and began to work to support myself and several years later began playing blackjack. I have since taken a few courses at UNLV, but nothing major or relevant.Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterV
I am not sure how important education is when you pursue advantage play as an occupation. What you need to learn to succeed will not be learned in some classroom on some college campus. I suppose some mathematical courses could be helpful.
This brings me to Rob Singer. Years ago, I think at WoV, Singer mentioned two different colleges that he attended. Not really important. Well not until he started talking about courses in probability and statistics as some kind of quasi-support of his claims. So just out of curiosity I contacted both Universities mentioned. One never had a Robert Argentino and the other didn't release that information. I suppose I could have pursued further contacting some alumni groups, but why bother. The fact is that no course on probabilities and statistics will support the conclusions that Singer came up with, which completely defies the real math.
So I am not diminishing the value of education by any means, but for an AP, you don't learn the art of advantage play on a college campus.
Anybody, regardless of education, that repeats the gambling voodoo concepts that both these two Singer and Mdawg have repeatedly done, got their gambling education from the college of degenerate gambling voodoo, course #101.
I hope that education served them well outside of gambling. That is all I will say.
I can prove the odds of this happening are 0.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
KJ became as incredible as Alan? Alan also sounded fairly "played out", on the end. Now KJ, too, except, apparently, with quite a way to go. A heck of a thing to look forward to, let alone with "baby bro" in tow. Vegas weeps. Pretty darn depressing. Ha.Quote:
Originally Posted by accountinquestionI can prove the odds of this happening are 0.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
How about an encore performance? Sigh, feeling better, already.
https://youtu.be/A_OboeBSMdk?list=RDMM
https://youtu.be/e6LQz0irkpk?list=RDMM
and fucked MrV right where he breathes, but to UNKewlJ's delight, he kept coming back for more.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
Down, Dawg...get down!
Fucking mutt, quit humping my leg...
This thread is turning into complete shit. I might have to edit it later.
Anyway, I finally lost in the NFL. My dream of being the first person in the world to post 100 or so picks and go 100-0 has been shattered.
New England let me down. The sad thing is that I almost skipped it. I looked at that the whole week but there were elements I didn't like about it. Just couldn't do it.
Then I saw that Vegas was getting a bunch of money on Miami yet still moving the line to entice more Miami betting. And the sharps seemed to love New England. So I did it. And I lost.
I won my other two NFL bets that day, so I'm still 6-1, but it hurts.
Also that same day I got stung by a last-minute baseball beat. You'd think having a 3-1 8th inning lead, a 3-2 9th inning lead with 2 out and nobody on, and a 4-3 10th inning lead with 2 out, you'd win. Somehow I lost that one.
I posted those numbers yesterday in the SB thread. (but of course the thread was hijacked immediately by Mdog). With the conclusion of week 2 last night it was 20-12. 10-6 both weeks.Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolf
Just curious, was the game that you middled with 7.5 points and 6 points, the SF/La Rams game? That game had a rather suspicious ending IMO. But it worked out for me. :cool:
Axelwolf, I am sure I am doing the same thing you are doing right now, although you are surely doing so at a higher level. I got 21k in bonus money, So I am just trying to play through the rollover requirements at as close to even as I can, eating away as little of that bonus money as possible. Finishing ahead would be even better.
I figured it would take me 3 months to get through the rollover requirements. After 2 weeks of NFL and 3 weeks of college football I am about 25% through and 18 games above even at this point, mostly due to Half Smokes first two weeks underdog with points play and Druffs 6-1 start. I am even a little ahead on my own picks somehow. :rolleyes:
But Half smokes first 2 weeks play is now done, so I will be relying on Druffs picks and an array or +3.5, +7.5 underdog picks, especially the NFL home +3.5 plays. I even make the plays that are just +3 or +7 just because I need the volume.
This is my first time doing this at this volume so if I can end up ahead 20 grand, or even 18 grand, for the football season betting and watching many games I would be watching anyway (because I love football), that will be a nice little extra income for me. :cool:
No one believes anything you have to say, so that you keep spouting make believe as if you are in reality doing much more than squatting homeless, is further proof of your mental illness.
https://i.imgur.com/IRL8weXl.jpg
AccountInQuestion had the honesty to state that he's taking a mood stabilizer. Why don't you admit to us how schizophrenia and manic depression run in your broken home UNKewlJ?
Typical Dawg shit from this guy.
Accusing KJ of being schizophrenic and manic depressive.
Fact is, KJ has had his number for years and this dawg feels compelled to discredit KJ, hoping to then gain credibility.
SS, DD.
I believe it was the Thursday night game. I bet early and got a +7.5 online, then hedged off at a casino on a -6, I believe it landed on 6. I have so many different accounts going with different bonuses, free bets, boosts, and using various different "+EV" methods it's hard to keep track. I can't even keep up with getting bets in. 20-12 with no pushes? I have no doubt I got a few bad lines(I can't shop much because I'm stuck betting on specific sites) and probably didn't get 20 out of 12. However, I did make some non-method picks and went 11 for 11 the first week. I posted a link.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJI posted those numbers yesterday in the SB thread. (but of course the thread was hijacked immediately by Mdog). With the conclusion of week 2 last night it was 20-12. 10-6 both weeks.Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolf
Just curious, was the game that you middled with 7.5 points and 6 points, the SF/La Rams game? That game had a rather suspicious ending IMO. But it worked out for me. :cool:
I have one account where they gave me 1k in free-play bets with a 3x rollover. Using the first 2-week dog system, I ended up $+3,080, $480 of which was won on MMA.
V, you have demonstrated an extremely poor ability to read people but still - if you can't tell that UNKewlJ is mentally ill, then you really have no read on people to speak of, at all.
Whatever, Dawg.
He may have some issues but to call him schizophrenic AND bipolar depressed is beyond your ability to diagnose.
Bottom line: I find his posts of value.
Heck, I even enjoy some of your posts here: maybe I should remove the block I have on you at WoV?
The way he looks at things is not normal. The way he lies and then cannot bring himself to admit it is not normal. The way he makes voluminous posts one day then cries off in despair declaring he will never return (but does return) is not normal.
He's clearly manic at time, clearly depressed at others.
All the askew mood shifting thinking of his, is at a minimum schizoaffective disorder of a bipolar type. We should ask him if diagnoses of mental illness have run in his family, if he's honest he will tell us. Oh but then, he's not. Honest. Is he?
As you describe it, he may suffer from frequent mood swings, but isn't that part of life?
I was under the impression that the mood swings last longer and are profound with bipolar folks, e.g. in a deep funk for days or weeks?
As for schizophrenia: I see nothing to support it.
He could of course be lying but I'm pretty sure he's not clinically insane.
Quote:
Some researchers believe schizoaffective disorder is a more severe variant of schizophrenia. Although a person with schizoaffective disorder also has a mood disorder that needs to be evaluated and addressed, the treatments are the same for both conditions.
As far as I know, the most common trait of schizophrenics is the urge to avoid others. The reason that they rarely show up even at the online forums. Nor are they overly opinionated. Most schizophrenics will lie about it, so, why would they put themselves out there, to begin? Moreover, with today's medications, most of them thus blend in nicely with the remainder of us. Hold decent jobs, get married, and all the rest of it. Many completely recover quickly, if treated soon enough, after the first psychotic break.Quote:
Schizophrenia Spectrum Disorders
The spectrum of psychotic disorders includes schizophrenia, schizoaffective disorder, delusional disorder, schizotypal personality disorder, schizophreniform disorder, brief psychotic disorder, as well as psychosis associated with substance use or medical conditions.
Yes, under various medications, say, for anxiety, people become highly suggestible, candidates for hypnosis, but it's just not likely what's going on in KJ's case.
21k in sports bonus money this year so far. I haven't taken the time to add it all up, but I doubt my sports bonus money since the start of the NFL season is more than 15k. I wouldn't want to be stuck with that much time and effort rolling over. I would hazard to guess I have significantly fewer wagering requirements, a higher bonus % and larger betting limits than you. I negotiated better terms based on my slot/vp play, and I brought them a big depositor/bettor.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
Additionally, I targeted places where I previously hedged off and my accounts were significantly in the red.
But you certainly got more bonus money, however, I don't envy you because....
Assuming you got the average WRs, the average betting limits, it's going to be hard to find over 250k in value bets. I guess a go big or go home strategy would be a fair strategy, but it doesn't sound like that's what you've been doing. I hope to be done with my wagering one way or another within a short period of time and will re-up at some point.
I am a newbie at this. I didn't even know you could negotiate better terms. :o 21k is the total bonuses for multiple accounts. I do have a large volume of wagers to get through, but am 22% there already. I also make all my wagers on Friday evenings @ 5% vig instead of 10%. That should help. I have looked at numbers from past years regarding the +3, +3.5, +7, +7.5 wagers and as long as results are ballpark with the 5% vig I think I should do ok. And I am off to a good start up 18 bets thanks to Half Smokes, first two weeks underdog play and Druff fast start.Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolf21k in sports bonus money this year so far. I haven't taken the time to add it all up, but I doubt my sports bonus money since the start of the NFL season is more than 15k. I wouldn't want to be stuck with that much time and effort rolling over. I would hazard to guess I have significantly fewer wagering requirements, a higher bonus % and larger betting limits than you. I negotiated better terms based on my slot/vp play, and I brought them a big depositor/bettor.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
Additionally, I targeted places where I previously hedged off and my accounts were significantly in the red.
But you certainly got more bonus money, however, I don't envy you because....
Assuming you got the average WRs, the average betting limits, it's going to be hard to find over 250k in value bets. I guess a go big or go home strategy would be a fair strategy, but it doesn't sound like that's what you've been doing.
It is actually kind of fun at least for the moment. Only negative for me is I play blackjack on weekend nights and then watch football all day Saturday and Sunday. i need mondays just to catch up on some rest. I wish it was past years when most of my blackjack play was during the week.
Who online has 5% vig, perhaps I missed that? Are you sure those bets count towards wagering requirements?Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJI am a newbie at this. I didn't even know you could negotiate better terms. :o 21k is the total bonuses for multiple accounts. I do have a large volume of wagers to get through, but am 22% there already. I also make all my wagers on Friday evenings @ 5% vig instead of 10%. That should help. I have looked at numbers from past years regarding the +3, +3.5, +7, +7.5 wagers and as long as results are ballpark with the 5% vig I think I should do ok. And I am off to a good start up 18 bets thanks to Half Smokes, first two weeks underdog play and Druff fast start.Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolf21k in sports bonus money this year so far. I haven't taken the time to add it all up, but I doubt my sports bonus money since the start of the NFL season is more than 15k. I wouldn't want to be stuck with that much time and effort rolling over. I would hazard to guess I have significantly fewer wagering requirements, a higher bonus % and larger betting limits than you. I negotiated better terms based on my slot/vp play, and I brought them a big depositor/bettor.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
Additionally, I targeted places where I previously hedged off and my accounts were significantly in the red.
But you certainly got more bonus money, however, I don't envy you because....
Assuming you got the average WRs, the average betting limits, it's going to be hard to find over 250k in value bets. I guess a go big or go home strategy would be a fair strategy, but it doesn't sound like that's what you've been doing.
It is actually kind of fun at least for the moment. Only negative for me is I play blackjack on weekend nights and then watch football all day Saturday and Sunday. i need mondays just to catch up on some rest. I wish it was past years when most of my blackjack play was during the week.
YouWager. Yes it counts. I think the 5% vig is 9pm Friday our time to 6am Saturday morning.Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolf
With betting NFL on friday nights, you risk a key player being declared out on saturday and the line moving. But I am not really handicapping the games anyway, just betting numbers so that doesn't really matter I guess.
I have an account there, but it's dormant. IIRC their max is a 1k bonus at 50% (yuck)Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJYouWager. Yes it counts. I think the 5% vig is 9pm Friday our time to 6am Saturday morning.Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolf
With betting NFL on friday nights, you risk a key player being declared out on saturday and the line moving. But I am not really handicapping the games anyway, just betting numbers so that doesn't really matter I guess.
or 100% max $300 with a 12-15 x roll. FYI be very careful if you're using a "friends" account there. Same bets or offsetting bets could be detected and whenever it comes time to cash out there could be problems.
.
quote - AxelWolf:
"so I will be relying on +3.5, +7.5 underdog picks, especially the NFL HOME +3.5 plays. "
in Mike's tracking it was the AWAY underdog, not the home underdog that showed an edge - see link
all underdogs did not show an edge - all away showed a small edge
in my personal tracking away underdogs who got 4 points or less showed a larger edge
looks like Dan is the KING of Nfl cappers -
https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/nfl/
.
.
re the above post - the home underdog actually shows a large loss in the tracking - greater than the book's take
too many bettors think that the home dog is a great bet and push the line away from it being a good bet
.
Just ban everyone and delete everything except your precious information that you want saved.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Fucking Censorship Bullshit.
RIP
Yeah, I was confused about this and even discussed it privately with KJ. I was certain I understood correctly, I believe I even confirmed with HalfSmoke previously, but I was going to re-re-confirm before I started betting it. I am wondering if KJ might be thinking of certain situations that cross key numbers. I know there's a +EV situation that deals with that.Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke
Thanks for the correction, Half smoke as to away dogs +3.5, not home dogs. Looks like I could just go with every away team and still be positive (based on these results). Since I need volume, that might be the way for me to go right now.
Since redietz is in hiding (and kew is simply The Joke) here's a pick on college football today.
Take Colorado and the points (+21) vs. Oregon. Aside from all the Deion Sanders/Colorado hype, Oregon hasn't played any real team so far.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rob.Singer
And Colorado HAS played anyone?
Colorado will probably cover in a higher scoring game, but theywont seriously challenge. And even if Oregon is way overrated and not nearly as good as people think, Colorado will not do well against the first real team with a defense that they play.
Don't fall for the hype, old fella
As I write this, the Ducks are up by 21 points, and it's early in the game.Quote:
Originally Posted by Rob.Singer
Just to rub it in, Robert ... 35-0 at the half.
Care to tap out now at halftime Ron? The score 35-0 doesn't even tell the whole story. Total yards 378-21.Quote:
Originally Posted by Rob.Singer
I suppose it is possible Colorado cover with a couple late Td' s against the 3rd string, but it will probably be 50-0 by then.
Colorado is not a serious top team. They will win some games against some weaker teams and there are some in Pac-12, but Colorado will just not fair well against any team with a decent defense. Colorado's offensive line is horrible.Even Mahomes would look horrible behind a line like that.
And no, I didn't bet Oregon. I don't like to lay 21 points even if I think it will probably be lopsided. Backdoor covers with scores against a 3rd string defense can kill ya.
He can move it all to a new thread so you can print it out and wipe your ass with it. Is that better?Quote:
Originally Posted by monetJust ban everyone and delete everything except your precious information that you want saved.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Fucking Censorship Bullshit.
RIP
I know, that was funny. Too tough to watch after Q1. About as pitiful pick as one could make.Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterV
Nobody is perfect, not even you.
I see TV is hyping next week's game between Colorado and USC as "the game of the year:" gotta think they scripted that ad before the UofO blow out.
How are you doing playing through the rollover requirements Axelwolf?Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolfYeah, I was confused about this and even discussed it privately with KJ. I was certain I understood correctly, I believe I even confirmed with HalfSmoke previously, but I was going to re-re-confirm before I started betting it. I am wondering if KJ might be thinking of certain situations that cross key numbers. I know there's a +EV situation that deals with that.Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke
I was 25 games over .500 after the first couple weeks, thanks to Half smokes, "first 2 weeks NFL underdog' play, Druff fast NFL start, betting college football unders the first week (new college rules) and even my own picks. But that is dropping steadily now. I am 13 games above .500 as we speak. I am just trying to get through my rollover requirements over .500, as close to as possible as the real +EV is the bonus. I am burning through my rollover requirements pretty quickly, almost 50% through. I thought it would take until Thanksgiveing, but it may be earlier than that. :)
.
quote Kewlj:
"I was 25 games over .500 after the first couple weeks, thanks to Half smokes, "first 2 weeks NFL underdog' play,"
if you or anyone else has any interest I am posting some NCAA and NFL picks on blackjacktheforum.com under the user name "drunk" in the Sports Picks thread
I will post next on Saturday - yesterday was my first week posting and I went 5-2
the NCAA picks involve some handicapping but the NFL picks are simply road underdogs that got 4 points or fewer - an idea I tweaked from Mike Shackleford showing that all road underdogs won at 2.57% after he tracked over 2,000 games
glta
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Thanks. I will check it out each week. I am already on that road dogs angle. As you know, I mistakenly thought it was home dogs at the start before you cleared it up.
Just one caveat Half Smoke. Try not to actually be drunk when you make these picks :). Although that might work just as well. :cool:
I haven't really had time so I have missed many bets, I probably won't even get any bets in this weekend.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJHow are you doing playing through the rollover requirements Axelwolf?Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolfYeah, I was confused about this and even discussed it privately with KJ. I was certain I understood correctly, I believe I even confirmed with HalfSmoke previously, but I was going to re-re-confirm before I started betting it. I am wondering if KJ might be thinking of certain situations that cross key numbers. I know there's a +EV situation that deals with that.Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke
I was 25 games over .500 after the first couple weeks, thanks to Half smokes, "first 2 weeks NFL underdog' play, Druff fast NFL start, betting college football unders the first week (new college rules) and even my own picks. But that is dropping steadily now. I am 13 games above .500 as we speak. I am just trying to get through my rollover requirements over .500, as close to as possible as the real +EV is the bonus. I am burning through my rollover requirements pretty quickly, almost 50% through. I thought it would take until Thanksgiveing, but it may be earlier than that. :)
I put in a ton of action over the weekend. Was in California for a few days attending the Eagles game and hitting a couple casinos on the way home yesterday, so I just got around to checking how I did. It wasn't good. :(
I had a 25 win cushion after 2 weeks of the season and that cushion is now down to 2 (meaning 2 games over .500). I am almost 65% through my rollover playthrough requirements, so I need to stick at around .500 for that last 35% to show the profit from the bonuses that I am after. (slightly under .500 would be ok). But based on my results of the last 2 weeks, I need to be a little more selective and not just be blindly putting through action. :rolleyes:
He still can't resist pretending that he ever leaves the sewers or enters casinos other than to ply his trade (after taking a shower at the shelter or nearest open drainpipe so that he'll have a better chance hustling).
Dude, your 3rd grade trolling and attacks of myself and a number of other real AP's and real players makes you so much more credible. NOT!!!Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
Have you just given up now? You can't make yourself more credible, because most of what you say is nonsense that all real players instantly recognize, so you spend your time trolling (on multiple forums) and hijacking legitimate gambling discussions, as if that buys you any credibility.
When was the last time you actually posted anything useful or that might be beneficial to any other players? :confused: Was there even a last time? :confused:
Never would be the last time you posted anything other than lies that wasted everyone's time.
Quote:
Originally Posted by MaxPen
I have built up too much money on online offshore sports books. At this point pure value betting is no longer my priority. I need to focus on attempting to direct the flow of the money to B&M casinos either online or offline(convert into instant cash)Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
I haven't had time to mess with anything online for the last 10 days or so. I don't think I have even opened my laptop.
People don’t understand how much of a hassle this can be. If you know you knowQuote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolfI have built up too much money on online offshore sports books. At this point pure value betting is no longer my priority. I need to focus on attempting to direct the flow of the money to B&M casinos either online or offline(convert into instant cash)Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
I haven't had time to mess with anything online for the last 10 days or so. I don't think I have even opened my laptop.
Quit lying you broke bitchQuote:
Originally Posted by SeedvaluePeople don’t understand how much of a hassle this can be. If you know you knowQuote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolfI have built up too much money on online offshore sports books. At this point pure value betting is no longer my priority. I need to focus on attempting to direct the flow of the money to B&M casinos either online or offline(convert into instant cash)Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
I haven't had time to mess with anything online for the last 10 days or so. I don't think I have even opened my laptop.
While you guys are busy jacking off, some of us are actually betting Hockey...
Oh, wow! A sign that you and Crimm really are now joined at hip by his latest signature line, "Monet sucks tourist cock in the casino bathroom stalls."
---> Fellow of the American Society of Genealogists.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
https://anagram-solver.net/While%20y....?partial=true
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I guess that the standard ending, -ologist, just wasn't good enough for you two. Ha.
Quote:
Originally Posted by KeystoneQuit lying you broke bitchQuote:
Originally Posted by SeedvaluePeople don’t understand how much of a hassle this can be. If you know you knowQuote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolf
Lol broke lololol
.
the 49ers who just crushed the Boys have won their 5 games by an average of 19.8 points - the lowest # they beat anybody by is 7 points
maybe weak teams - but still - pretty impressive
they're 9.5 faves vs. the Browns on Sunday - in their last game the Browns got crushed by 25 by the Ravens
I'll take the 9ers - don't mind giving up that many points in a situation like this
the news says that Browns QB Deshaun Watson will sit with an injury and P.J. Walker will start at QB - in 3 years he's thrown 5 TDs and 11 picks
.
KJ, redietz has a problem with the numbers you've posted. Over on Gambling Forums he's calling you a liar. But he did what he's famous for, he put down a false premise. He said that you said you were 25 games above .500 betting NFL underdogs. We know that is not true. You didn't say you were only betting NFL dogs. You said you were 25 games above .500 by betting a combination of NFL dogs, Druff picks and college unders.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
He continued mudslinging, albeit with false information:
He says AP opportunities are dying up. ROTFLMAO! He knows absolutely nothing about AP's or AP'ing. How would he know the state of things? I personally know that AP opportunities are everywhere. They are not drying up. The only thing that's drying up is my ability to put in the hours. Nowadays, I hit it a couple hours a day at most. I ain't busting a sweat anymore. I leave a lot of expectation behind. I'm smelling a lot of roses these days.
He says moving into sportsbetting is fashionable among us. He says VCT AP's are trying to "sucker in" investors. ROTFLMAO! No one on this site has a record of soliciting for investors....except redietz. My take on investors is why the fuck would I want to make money for someone else when I can have it all to myself.
Anyways, here's the link to redietz rant:
https://www.gamblingforums.com/threa...-at-vct.26479/
Thanks (not really) for bringing it to my attention, mickey. I don't really care what redietz says. I certainly am not going to bother answering him over there. If he wants to discuss it here I could reply.
But really you responded for me mickey. My very good start was not just NFL, although Half smokes first 2 week's angle was a big part of it as underdogs kicked ass those first 2 weeks. Druff also started 6-1, I think. So that was 2/3 right there. And the college unders the second week which I announced before any of the games kicked ass as well. I was only betting the unders on the completive games, with 2 normal conference teams. I was not being games like Oklahoma and Est bubble fuck state that went 77-10. The reason I thought the unders were a good bet for a couple weeks was the new running clock rules. I thought that was more of an adjustment than people (and the books) were making it. And it was for the week I bet. I intended to bet a second week, but, I was out playing blackjack all night and never got that second weeks bets in.
So that is where my +25 in the first few weeks came from. It was all documented what I was betting before the games were played. Unfortunately, after that I started relying more on my own picks, a lot of +3, +3.5. +7, +7.5 picks in both college and pros and went down hill for a few weeks. this week was better for me both college and Pro so far.
I just want to finish the next few weeks at .500 or close and I will be elated.
Does Redeitz understand that the +EV of this for me was NOT winning games, but rather the 21k in bonus money?
As far as UNKewlJ’s sports betting, let’s keep it simple.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray Finkle
redietz is crying out for attention over at Gambling Forums. It's easy to tell his feelings are hurt. He misses you guys but doesn't want to come slithering back to VCT with all that mud on his face. So he's writing posts on GA slandering the members here and hoping to get our attention.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
But he did bring up an interesting point. And that is about middles betting when you are chasing the bonuses. He said you should have switched to middles betting after getting 25 games above .500.
I would have questions about that. Is middling the way to go when working these promotions? How much time is involved? Seems to me sitting watching numbers all day in hopes of finding a middle would be way to time consuming. Time that would cost one money on other AP endeavors. Why would one start middling after unexpectedly gaining a huge lead? Why wouldn't one start middling from the get go?
redietz is a one trick pony, sportsbetting. He's never shown any aptitude at other forums of gambling, although he loves to speculate about what "AP's" do. And it's always false and/or derogatory speculation. He's always lashing out.
I don't think he knows anything about how AP's are constantly managing their time. I was always making choices of whether I should be on this play or that play. Or could I work both plays simultaneously? What would be the benefit of working just one of the plays? What would be the benefit of working both plays? What if working both plays meant I couldn't optimize the expectation on either play but I made more money than if I worked just one play. That would be the way to go.
I think that's what AP's run into when working these sports betting promotions. They don't have unlimited time to spend looking for middles because it would cost them income in other areas.
Mickey, I still believe Redietz is a person who make his money from sports betting for many years/decades. And I think that is part of his problem. He can't accept that modern day AP's are able to make money off sports betting now, using the bonuses and stuff. Not even handicapping games. Axelwolf is the perfect example. Axelwolf has told everyone long ago, he has no real interest in sports, or casual at best. But he is an AP and saw the opportunity with the bonus stuff. I actually am a sports enthusiast. And my sports betting up til now has been that of a ploppie sports enthusiast. It was always entertainment for me.
But I have now followed axelwolfs lead and am playing the bonus game. Am I playing it the most efficient way possible doing things like middling? playing it the way redietz would? No. It isn't my full time gig. And I don't have hours and hours to spend watching for line changes. As a matter of fact, I make all my wagers on Friday night in a 9 hour window to take advantage of the 5% vig. I am simp,ly volume betting, hoping to be above or as close to 50% as possible to eat as little of my bonus money as I can. My bonus money was 21k and I am hoping to clear 18k. Part-time supplemental for me. I am not trying to be a full-time sports bettor. And then, if it all works and I get paid, I will start a second cycle for the second half of football season bleeding over to January/february and I guess some NHL/NBA games. That is why I am pushing to get through my first cycle quickly. Again, I am sorry if redietz doesn't approve.
And you are right about managing our time. It so happens for the last year or two, weekends has been my busy time. I play blackjack Friday and Saturday nights during the busier times. Sometimes playing 10-12 hours straight through morning. And then watch sports during the day, which I enjoy doing. I am not sitting there for hours and hours looking for some last second line move so I can middle.
I am sorry if redietz doesn't approve or appreciate what I or any of the AP's are doing with sports betting and the bonuses. Redeitz reminds me of some of the older blackjack card counters that I still encounter on a couple forums. Guys that played in the 80's and 90's when card counting WAS advantage play. They seem annoyed at all the different advantage play things players are doing now. That is exactly how I see redeitz. Old school, annoyed at the opportunities and things players can do now. Well get the fuck over it redietz. IT is 2023!
Mickeycrimm, you really fucked up this Redeitz guy. :rolleyes:
He apparently so desperately wants or wanted people to think that he is something special...the only person on the face of the earth capable if making money off sports betting, that he is losing his mind at the thought that others can using fairly simple bonus whoring like Axel and I are doing.
You really did a number on him Crimm. :D
I still think Redeitz was successful at what he did and still does with sports betting and the contests and everything.
Let’s not forget that GroomJ looks at his current sexual partner through the lens of him being inQuote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
HIGH-SCHOOL with his brother. A Freudian Slip indeed for This perverted fraud
All I've done is point out the facts and the truth. But his attitude is so belligerant that it's hard to stay civil with him. Plus, he has lately shown he is susceptible to gambler's fallacies.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
Feel free to post any links to these posts with Redietz rambling on about APs in the safety of not being on VCT.
He makes it sound like +25 games is so unusual.Quote:
Originally Posted by mickeycrimm
these are the 3 angles I announced ahead of time I was playing:
1) Half smokes NFL under dogs first 2 weeks. Both weeks went 10-6 = +8
2) Dan Druffs picks went 6-1 = +5 for a total of +13
3) College Unders in competitive games. Week 1 11-8, week 2 14-8 = +9 for a total of +22 (wanted to play week 3, but didn't get bets in)
That is 51-29 right there or +22 of the 25. WTF?? Starting to wonder if he is math challenged or something? :confused:
Basically what it is, is that redietz wants the narrative to be that no one can win at sports betting but him. He is the expert.
Well guess what, I am not an expert. Don't claim to be. What makes what I am doing +EV is the very simple bonus whoring (is that the right term) activity. Just so happens I used some trends to make my picks that carried over well the first few weeks.
https://www.gamblingforums.com/threa....15744/page-78Quote:
Originally Posted by accountinquestion
https://www.gamblingforums.com/threa...-at-vct.26479/