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First lesson. If you’re gonna bullshit, come up with bullshit that’s at least close to believable.Quote:
Originally Posted by The Boz
maybe you should give him some guidance on how to write and make people believe him.Quote:
Originally Posted by BaccMasterAfter the market closes we’ll hear about 19 more trades that were all (obviously) winners , but damned if he’d just held on longer he would’ve made even more LOL.Quote:
Originally Posted by Ozzy
Napoleon complex is brutal
The top dogs (Dawgs?) came through quite well, especially by the end.
Now to carry on with this continuing rally. One may hope!
Another thing about people actively looking for these machines. Rob advised what to look for also the lack of machines now available and where certain machines were.
Mickey I think you made a mistake posting in this thread about the machine. This is the...HEY GUYS, LOOK HOW GREAT I WANT YOU TO THINK I AM!! Thread.Quote:
Originally Posted by mickeycrimm
Wait! Mdawg wins and makes money when the market goes up. And he makes money when the market goes down too?
Phew....we need to see this boy on Fox Business Network and Bloomberg!
Buying on dips is not dead. Never died, actually.
When they do a documentary on bullshit artists you’ll see him featured prominentlyQuote:
Originally Posted by Rob.Singer
We recovered some today anyway though.
https://i.imgur.com/sTteqtNm.jpg
...even though TSLA stock is too high "imo." (Musk's opinion, not mine. My target remains over a thousand.)
LOL. That definitely made me laugh!Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolfMickey I think you made a mistake posting in this thread about the machine. This is the...HEY GUYS, LOOK HOW GREAT I WANT YOU TO THINK I AM!! Thread.Quote:
Originally Posted by mickeycrimm
Yes, but that he injected the appositive phrase "I WANT YOU TO THINK" - left a stain on his armor. If he just wanted to make a point, he'd have said LOOK HOW GREAT I AM!! but by saying LOOK HOW GREAT I WANT YOU TO THINK I AM!! , he's showing that stain of jealousy, meaning that Axel is saying, "I KNOW HE'S GREAT, BUT I DON'T WANT TO ADMIT IT."
If someone's strong, he ignores. If he has to try to rattle, he's already lost.
For the record MDawg, when I laughed, it wasn't because I was laughing at you. I just thought it was a funny post, and it made me laugh.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
I know. :D I mean maybe I just wanted an excuse to use the word appositive, and Axel gave it to me. ;)
It was actually more powerful (and accurate) the way Axel phrased it.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
Obviously. It was certainly no accident I phrased it that way.Quote:
Originally Posted by PuckerbuttIt was actually more powerful (and accurate) the way Axel phrased it.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
I find it humorous that MD thinks I'm jealous of what most people believe are fictitious posts.
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I don't really pay attention to any of MD's post about stocks. Perhaps someone can clue me in a little. Is it normally after the fact he posts how well he did? Has he ever come on here and told people when to buy and sell particular stocks prior to the movement both ways? If so, how many of them have been successful and over how many trials has it been?
It appears TOP DAWGs, day trading is flawless, no matter how volatile the market, has been the last 2 months. Trading during these turbulent times with 100% accuracy, as well as winning the last 50 sessions of baccarat. These claims put Buffett and every AP on the planet to shame. 18 yo territory people.Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolfObviously. It was certainly no accident I phrased it that way.Quote:
Originally Posted by PuckerbuttIt was actually more powerful (and accurate) the way Axel phrased it.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
I find it humorous that MD thinks I'm jealous of what most people believe are fictitious posts.
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I don't really pay attention to any of MD's post about stocks. Perhaps someone can clue me in a little. Is it normally after the fact he posts how well he did? Has he ever come on here and told people when to buy and sell particular stocks prior to the movement both ways? If so, how many of them have been successful and over how many trials has it been?
Why was Tony BigCharles arrested for making terrorist threats online, and not ZenKing? Why is a universal thread of homelessness found in the lives of MDawg's detractors?
Points to ponder as the DOW opens another green day!
Every trade is a winner. And we hear about them only after they are done.Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolfObviously. It was certainly no accident I phrased it that way.Quote:
Originally Posted by PuckerbuttIt was actually more powerful (and accurate) the way Axel phrased it.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
I find it humorous that MD thinks I'm jealous of what most people believe are fictitious posts.
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I don't really pay attention to any of MD's post about stocks. Perhaps someone can clue me in a little. Is it normally after the fact he posts how well he did? Has he ever come on here and told people when to buy and sell particular stocks prior to the movement both ways? If so, how many of them have been successful and over how many trials has it been?
If the stock was up that prior day, he was in it. If the stock went down , we always learn that he thought
about getting in but decided not to. If the stock went down and then up, then obviously he got in and
waited it out.
100% pure bullshit. For entertainment purposes only.
AMZN 2331 to 2333
It went lower after I bought (and higher after I sold), but it was a good trade.
The one I missed, so far, is NFLX. I wanted to buy at 422 but hesitated.
I hold both of these long term, but these are additional shares.
I'd think AMZN might be good for another quick trade just as it drops below 2330 again.
These aren't trades for most, they require a lot of buying power and just going for a couple points in order to make two grand requires really substantial buying power especially if you get stuck and need to average in more shares. Trade at your own risk!
Examples of what I don't do, which might be instructive for anyone wanting to trade:
I got busy for a while with some other work, and came back to the market.
I now see AMZN at 2338, and TSLA at 769.
AMZN, well, that's much higher than where I traded it before, so that's an obvious one (for me); I am not re-trading it.
TSLA, looks enticing at 769, but then I look and see that it is on the rebound from a dip to 762 that must have happened while I was away from my screens. In these situations, especially given that I am holding long term AMZN and TSLA anyway, I usually pass. I'm looking for high probability trades that are at the first savage dip of the day, and then when I rinse repeat it is as the stock does it gradual dance downwards and then immediately back up - more or less classic dip buying.
There are other ways to trade. Some like to buy on the way up, but I am more of a dip buyer. And I'm just usually looking for a few point scalp. I miss a lot of great trades, by being so "cheap" and careful, but I also miss a lot of potential heartache.
Both were investigated: One was found to be a possible credible threat and the other wasn't. Case closed. I don't think either of them are capable of doing such horrendous things. However, if there was a chance and I had to guess who would do it I would pick Tony. I'd be more worried about some Baccarat player finally hitting a bad run and using his VIP status as an aid to help plan something sinister.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
I'm in and out of these trades in most cases within minutes. I'm posting here just 'cause. I'm not going to mess up a trade where I have over a million tied in just for the benefit of posting it here first. I'm not even logged into this, or any forum, all the time, just the process and time taken to do that takes sometimes more time than my entire trade. But, there are times when I have been stuck for longer that I have posted the trade here and then come back to post what happened after I got out of it.
Also, when challenged at WOV I did post both screen shots and video of my phone showing the completed trades, for a few trades, yes after the fact, but also after I had posted about them, to corroborate. I guess there are (homeless, or formerly homeless) people here who think that posting nonsense would be something that anyone would ever waste his time with, but I would never bother with that sort of thing. I can't see the point.
And, as I have offered, if anyone is serious about trading and wants to bring something to the table...like knowledge and not just a big jealous mouth, I'd be happy to connect via instant messenger as we trade together and bounce ideas off each other as it happens.
https://getyarn.io/yarn-clip/92435d8...c-66f94855ba92
Let’s hear the daily checklist:
1: every trade was a winner
2: there was a winning trade where you sold too early and could’ve made much more
3: there was a stock that you were looking at. You considered buying. It dropped. You never bought.
Just about every end of day post in this thread contains those 3 items
If this is the case
The coronavirus has mutated and appears to be more contagious now, new study finds
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/05/the-...udy-finds.html
and we may never have a vaccine, then the market is doing extremely well. I mean I'm already beyond the highs of February in my stock acounts, and the DOW isn't even anywhere near back to where it was.
This is actually a bit disturbing. Too fast or unwarranted rebounds generally result in a double bottom.
This morning I was watching AMZN climb and cued an order to short it (against the box) at 2339. Then I thought, nah better raise it to 2342 and it never quite got there, and kept dropping. So I just left it alone and got busy with some other work. I wasn't going to short it at levels below 2339, the trade didn't seem so high probability.
My wife made a smoothie which I was drinking, and then I noticed that it had dropped substantially to the 2325 range, so I entered an order to buy it at 2323 and BAM! I was short. I had forgotten to close out the cued order from before, which was an order to short, and the system of course accepted this as an order to short at limit 2323. (That's one of the hazards of trading off a smart phone...even a phone with as big a screen as the iPhone 11 Pro MAX, which is what I have, isn't as clearly visible as the screen on a desktop or laptop.) Big mistake! I went into panic mode, but then noticed that I was filled at just under 2326, because the stock must have spiked at that moment.
So I first entered the cover at 2322, but when that seemed overly ambitious, I entered it at 2323, which it filled, just moments later.
Big mistake - but - just goes to show how EASY it is trading these days. It is a trader's dream. Every day these stocks are moving up and down and then up and down again, such that at any given moment, long or short, as long as you keep your nerve, you may make money. Indeed, even the one day where I lost on that little short...seems like forever ago, but I think it was about two weeks ago (I just looked...I posted about that on the 16th), if I had just held a couple hours longer I would have made money.
And now we are back to 2338. Up and down, and then back up and down, a trader's dream.
If you're not making money in the market right now, something's wrong.
AMZN 2345 to 2350. That's what you do...wait for bottom scuttling, then...attack. The high probability of such a trade just screamed out, at least in my mind.
That's what I'm talking about though, you look back and realize that you pretty much got the low for the day. At least so far.
Tony got reported to law enforcement by at least one of his followers. I don't think that happened to Zenking. I disagree with axel on which is the most dangerous. Tony is afraid of his own shadow. His hotel bill is twice what it should be because he is so concerned with security.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
I actually did a couple shorts against the box today and clipped some points.
Just goes to show how easy it is to make money in this market these days.
Let's hope it keeps up.
Take a look at TSLA...last week Elon posts that the stock is too high, it plummets. Now, for no reason whatsoever, it is higher than it was before the drop. That's what kind of market we are dealing with these days, pretty unstoppable. Hope it keeps up!
One thing that feels good is that we were among the last of the Mohicans to experience the best of Vegas. Last to enjoy massages and salon treatments, last to gobble up self serve ribs in the buffets
https://i.imgur.com/Ertd88bm.jpg
last to sit at a table and have the cocktail waitress serve a pot of tea, last to high five other players and the dealers, last to give happy handshakes to the pit bosses, last to pick up your own drinks and food in the VIP lounge, last to sit at a table and have a female player sitting right next to you hit on you, last to loot Vegas for a gang of unsanitized chips, lot of lasts.
Imagine, if you want a towel and want to just pull it off the maid's cart, that could be considered a capital offense these days.
Used to talk about how Vegas might not have been as good today as it was, say, twenty years ago...but today was still fabulous, compared to what may be.
It's a new world now.
This is Barney,
I really enjoy this thread, but my friend Eustace gets you beat. He claims to be the last personage to get the clap before the Vegas shutdown
That uh, makes a statement.
This is pretty much what is described hereQuote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
A Casino Card Shark’s First Time Getting Caught
https://i.imgur.com/3rriDAim.jpg
in terms of getting the max bet out there during a good count.
was betting stacks of orange chips we called “pumpkins,” up to $10,000 per hand.
(except that their technique is to bring in the "big player" to make the max bets, while I would just lay them down myself when I felt appropriate),
but this too,
being barred from a game or eighty-sixed from a casino wasn’t a remote possibility; it was inevitable.
as described in the story, is what I experienced as well with my BJ play, and why I describe “AP" players as
Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
Like many of your posts - just shy of coherence - but I was able to gather its meaning (somewhat). Do you mean that "bots" are contributing to the traffic of MDawg threads? There is bot traffic across all threads in a forum! so what's your point?Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolfDo you understand that those numbers are fake as f***? If you really believe that those numbers are anywhere close to being accurate, I don't know what to say to you. If all your numbers are super inflated, then I'm going to assume some type of bot is involved or some other type of shenanigans is going on.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawgNo on both counts.Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolf
https://i.imgur.com/BMP5vmZ.jpg
The Adventures of MDawg has over a hundred thousand views in just the three months it has been in existence at VCT. That is unprecedented.
#1 thread in the past year, at WOV too
https://i.imgur.com/3BWeGTu.jpg
and then we have the statistical Alexa proof that the WOV falls to sh*t in traffic during periods that MDawg is suspended
https://vegascasinotalk.com/forum/sh...l=1#post104826
Second count...although yes I've been trading and that has helped, my stock accounts are now higher in value than they were at their peak in February 2020. Not sure where you have been, but the stock market has rebounded magnificently.
Would you like to try for three errors?
https://i.imgur.com/xsnMzPbt.jpg
https://tv.getyarn.io/yarn-clip/2c0f...0-6a296218fd34
You can't explain a thread that has EXPONENTIALLY MORE traffic during a three month period than any other thread in the HISTORY of that forum, with bots.
For someone who claims to make a living online you don't seem to understand the internet much. At the end of the day Alexa rank is the gold standard for measure of website traffic, and it has RISEN when MDawg is extant at WOV, DROPPED at WOV when MDawg is suspended, and has JUMPED at VCT since MDawg joined here and started his thread. Any questions?
I guess you made it. Three errors!
https://getyarn.io/yarn-clip/810f171...2-4b32319958e7
As long as you realize that everything you ever say eventually gets outed as garbage. I don't know much more clear I could be.... All the views are inflated by a very large Factor. I've already describe before how it happens on the wizard of Vegas, I have no doubt there is a way that can happen here as well. I haven't cared enough to look into it I think I read somewhere where that about 52% of web traffic is On average is fake anyways. A simple click bot that anybody can get for free online could significantly drive up numbers. I wouldn't put something like that past you, especially since you seem to be obsessed about your views or whatever you want to call it.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawgLike many of your posts - just shy of coherence - but I was able to gather its meaning (somewhat). Do you mean that "bots" are contributing to the traffic of MDawg threads? There is bot traffic across all threads in a forum! so what's your point?Quote:
Originally Posted by AxelWolfDo you understand that those numbers are fake as f***? If you really believe that those numbers are anywhere close to being accurate, I don't know what to say to you. If all your numbers are super inflated, then I'm going to assume some type of bot is involved or some other type of shenanigans is going on.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
You can't explain a thread that has EXPONENTIALLY MORE traffic during a three month period than any other thread in the HISTORY of that forum, with bots.
For someone who claims to make a living online you don't seem to understand the internet much. At the end of the day Alexa rank is the gold standard for measure of website traffic, and it has RISEN when MDawg is extant at WOV, DROPPED at WOV when MDawg is suspended, and has JUMPED at VCT since MDawg joined here and started his thread. Any questions?
I guess you made it. Three errors!
https://getyarn.io/yarn-clip/810f171...2-4b32319958e7
Mdawg "For someone who claims to make a living online you don't seem to understand the internet" much. That's probably one of the more retarded things you said. First off I've never said I made a living online I make a living Advantage playing and online contributes to that.
But the main reason that's a super retarded statement is because the the internet is vast ocean and one of the most Advanced Technologies we've ever come up with. You can become a Millionaire on the internet and barely know how to work a computer. The personal computer and much of the internet is purposely designed so you don't have to understand how anything really works.
And yes, I have used Alexa ranking to check out the ranking a regarding a casino online I might be interested in. However, there is an easier safer way for me to get that information.
I can actually prove I can, I have, and will(I guess I can't really prove that I will, just that it's more likely than not)made money online via account records that show money in and money out, Witnesses, demonstration, mathematics, knowledge and logic. Unlike you, Who puts up a bunch of after-the-fact bullshit.
I don't know if it's poor speak to text (which is what you told me happens to you sometimes), or ? ... but I can't follow much of what you just posted.
But if you can't comprehend that a thread within the same forum that has over a hundred thousand views is more popular any way you slice it than a thread with a few hundred views, then you needn't bother to translate whatever it was that you just posted. And if you can't follow that both WOV and VCT's Alexa ranks are much higher when I am active and posting, than when I am suspended and not posting, then once again, there's no point in your translating for me whatever it is you were trying to say.
Strangely enough, most other people get what I'm saying, even people from foreign countries who should thoroughly be confused at times. So quit using that as some lame excuse.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
Of course, your threads are more active, everybody likes watching a train wreck, and, or getting a good laugh. Look how popular Nathan/Kentry and all her sock puppets were/are. Nathan's corner was Super Active/ popular until it got shut down. And some people think she's legit retarded. I wouldn't call her retarded, but she's definitely off. 9O% of the stuff she says is total nonsense. And yet, people have a fascination with her. Does that remind you of someone? If you haven't figured out by now that most people think you're a joke, then you are legit retarded or super delusional.
Whatever the case, your audience here is less than 35 people and I'm probably being generous putting the line at 35.
MDawg got martingaled at WoV much harder than others. Like I said at one point broke Billryan did eight 3-day suspensions in a row. If MDawg was doing so much for their viewership he probably would have been treated better.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
If anything, he was probably hurting the business over there and distracting from their main goal. They need people to click an affiliate links, sign up and make deposits into the online casinos they advertise. I have a feeling WOV makes money on the surface. Obviously, there are people clicking ads and signing up at casinos. However, how many people does it deter from doing so? The general consensus on that forum is that people shouldn't touch online casinos with a ten-foot pole. I don't think there's any way to know how many people would have signed up for an online casino at one of their other sites had they not been put off from what they read there.Quote:
Originally Posted by mickeycrimmMDawg got martingaled at WoV much harder than others. Like I said at one point broke Billryan did eight 3-day suspensions in a row. If MDawg was doing so much for their viewership he probably would have been treated better.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
I have no idea how it works, but maybe it's all linked up to their other sites and what really matters is all the keywords getting up in the ranking. I'm pretty sure it's the wizard of odds that makes all the money and being linked up with the latest casino bonus website.
Yes I am sure that WOO is what makes money over there, if any of those Wizard sites even make much money any longer. Even with a site as popular as Facebook I often wonder why or if anyone actually clicks on those stupid advertising links that appear.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
With a site like WOV, most of those members (including me) are set in their ways and are not going to click on any of those online casinos unless that is what they came to the site for in the first place.
However, bottom line - when it comes to SELLING those plugs, as a site holder, all that matters is the Alexa or equivalent to the Alexa rank, and the higher the website traffic the more advertisers are willing to pay. So I am sure that advertising plugs on WOO cost more to the advertisers than plugs at WOV, simply because WOO has higher traffic than WOV.
For this site here if Dan wanted to make a few bucks he could easily add Google Adsense to the banner at the top, and at one or two other positions per a page. He'd get up to a buck every time someone clicked on the link. Although a violation of Google's TOS he could ask us privately to click on those links regularly to help him out.
In any case:
The VAST majority of forum traffic comes not from members but from guests. At any given moment there are, even on a small traffic site anywhere from 10X to 100X or even much higher people looking at a post or thread than actually logged in as members. As far as bot traffic, the search bots scour over NEW content quickly, and after that let it go, and these bots scour over crappy dull content just as much as hot content, so bots really do not inflate the traffic figures other than across the board - evenly - that is to say that while yes a given thread that has only one post on it is going to be left alone by the bots if it never gets any fresh content, and another thread that gets one post a day is going to get a once over by the bots each time that content is posted same as a hot thread is going to get a once over every time a fresh content is posted into it, still this issue of "bots" cannot and does not in any way explain why MDawg's thread has - well, look at it -
https://i.imgur.com/CSp76vx.jpg
a hundred and twenty seven THOUSAND views in under three months. That is unprecedented in the HISTORY of this forum.
So today I grabbed extra TSLA at 787 and let it go at 5pts. Can't look back.
But then I wanted to go short against the box for AMZN and I lost track of a decimal point lol and I entered 2309.5 instead of 2409.5 (of course, on my iPhone 11 PRO Max - small screen tends to lead to errors) and WHAM I was short at 2406.47 is where it filled. That was no fun, as it climbed up to about 2416. It did fall a couple times to below 2409, which is where I would have covered if my short had been entered properly, but then went back up to around 2415.
Meantime I had an order in to short more shares at 2417, but it never got that high.
It didn't look all that iffy though. It looked like it was weak, so all I did was enter a cover order first at 2405, then I figured, nah, just do it at 2406, and it filled eventually to give me around five hundred bucks and get the hell out. Of course now it's 2400, lol.
Some of my broker friends, and I also know a couple of fund managers, who know how I trade give me hats off for consistently making money, but more than a few times ask why I'm putting in - for example today - two million into a trade just to make a few grand (which today I made only five hundred bucks on that last trade). Well part of the reason is that - I can - it's because I have the buying power that I am able to clip just a few points and have it translate to a few grand. And secondly, even a grand a day adds up to a quarter million a year, and I average five times that a day, so it does add up.
Also, I don't trade every day. I trade when I see the high probability trades.
But I suppose the biggest reason I do it, and I'll admit it, is because it's fun. I don't view it as gambling, in that I mean look - today I royally even screwed up the order and got filled three points below my intention, and I still made money. If you know what you're doing and are willing to be patient AND have the buying power to average in when things go against you, in the market we have had for over a decade now, it's hard to lose.
Okay now I had to log back in and make sure that short order @ 2417 was cancelled, wouldn't want to leave it open by mistake. Yes, it was already cancelled, but best to check.
On the other hand I looked at onenickelmiracle at WOV again, and looks like last week he bought SPY puts. What a disaster. He was mentioning that one of them was already worth only 90% of what he paid. I forebode deep trouble for him if he keeps this up. Someone like him WOULD be better off just buying and holding blue chips. But, we traders who make money daily need all those who lose to fill our pockets.
Shorting AMZN? Say it aint so Dawg.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
No I get it. It's only about 50-60 pts off it's all-time high, not a lot for this Co.
We're still totally content letting our long term hold ride.
This is a very bad habit I have. And the two times I lost on trades over the past two years were when I went short AMZN.
Of course - I went short against the box, which means that I hold my long term AMZN shares, but hope to clip some money on a short term drop - short.
But sometimes, I don't know - it seems like at that moment, it makes more sense to go short than long. And I have made tons of money on shorts over the years, but also - as mentioned, my only two losing trades the past two years were shorts.
At the moment, seriously, as long as you are in and out quickly, you could practically go long or short against any given stock and still make money. Assuming your entry point makes at least half way sense. We go up and down all day long.
But almost all of my trades are long, buying on dips, buying additional trading shares of stocks I hold long term. For the stocks I trade, given that they all tend to go up over time, it's a great strategy. Even if I get stuck, just average in more shares, ride it out.
zero chance you had a hundred and twenty-seven thousand legitimate views.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawgYes I am sure that WOO is what makes money over there, if any of those Wizard sites even make much money any longer. Even with a site as popular as Facebook I often wonder why or if anyone actually clicks on those stupid advertising links that appear.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
With a site like WOV, most of those members (including me) are set in their ways and are not going to click on any of those online casinos unless that is what they came to the site for in the first place.
However, bottom line - when it comes to SELLING those plugs, as a site holder, all that matters is the Alexa or equivalent to the Alexa rank, and the higher the website traffic the more advertisers are willing to pay. So I am sure that advertising plugs on WOO cost more to the advertisers than plugs at WOV, simply because WOO has higher traffic than WOV.
For this site here if Dan wanted to make a few bucks he could easily add Google Adsense to the banner at the top, and at one or two other positions per a page. He'd get up to a buck every time someone clicked on the link. Although a violation of Google's TOS he could ask us privately to click on those links regularly to help him out.
In any case:
The VAST majority of forum traffic comes not from members but from guests. At any given moment there are, even on a small traffic site anywhere from 10X to 100X or even much higher people looking at a post or thread than actually logged in as members. As far as bot traffic, the search bots scour over NEW content quickly, and after that let it go, and these bots scour over crappy dull content just as much as hot content, so bots really do not inflate the traffic figures other than across the board - evenly - that is to say that while yes a given thread that has only one post on it is going to be left alone by the bots if it never gets any fresh content, and another thread that gets one post a day is going to get a once over by the bots each time that content is posted same as a hot thread is going to get a once over every time a fresh content is posted into it, still this issue of "bots" cannot and does not in any way explain why MDawg's thread has - well, look at it -
https://i.imgur.com/CSp76vx.jpg
a hundred and twenty seven THOUSAND views in under three months. That is unprecedented in the HISTORY of this forum.
I'd spend more time trying to explain this to you, but it's best just to say that you have a knee jerk reaction to disbelieve everything, even something as simple and obvious as this. As a result, I don't put too much effort into trying to prove anything to someone who apparently always sees the glass half empty.
So you see - back and forth between 2405 or so and 2415 or so, several times so far. Of course, sometimes, by the time you figure out the pattern - it changes! but the success rate of hitting it long on that first drop or short on that first pop is very, very high. Even on the second cycle the success rate is still, quite high. But as it keeps happening, and as you get closer to the bell, the deviations tend to increase.
Also keep in mind what happened the day before - did it push to close at the high, or sell off at the end? for whatever reason, the pattern seems to reverse the next day. You just get a feel for all this, over time, especially if your goals are modest scalping. "There's nothing new under the sun."
Sounds like you are still playing Baccarat. At least in your mind.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
Interesting.
Somewhat.
Although even I will concede that stock patterns are much more predictable than Baccarat.
But then that's why they call it...gambling.
I don't think it would be fun if there were no chance of losing.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Igvkg_1cOdk
While I love "The Twilight Zone" this five minute clip was disturbing. The robber brought a paper bag to heist jewelry? Gold is a dense metal. A lunch bag is not going to be effective. Secondly, if you case a joint, an alley with a high fence is not one of your top options. Run through the roof tops, if you have access to the stairs. Third, if you are being chased and made the poor decision to go down that alley with a high fence, make your escape expedient. Why initially, climb the fence with a gun in your hand, take two random shots, put the gun in your pants, and then climb the fence? Climb the fence with two hands and escape. Lastly, where the hell (pun intended) is the damn paper bag? He ain't leaving without the bag. Too much bulk to throw into his pants. Even if he could, the eight foot fall from the fence would have dislodged the bag from the person.
Yes, Sebastian Cabot (Family Affair) was easy to recognize after removing the notion of white hair. I did not get the villain until the end. You have to visualize him with glasses. He is Larry Blyden, the host in the 70's of "What's My Line". Jeez, I never though of early game show hosts as actors.
If nothing else, the crook was from Brooklyn. That should make MaxPen happy (LOL).
I couldn't find the full episode online (not free anyway). In this short clip they left out the part where Rocky (the robber), starts musing about how he could have never imagined that he could get tired of beautiful dames and constantly winning at casinos, and asks Pip if he could make it so that he doesn't at least win ALL the time. Pip gets ready to accommodate him, but even then Rocky realizes that it wouldn't be the same if he knew that he wasn't going to win sometimes - that he would still realize that it was all a set up.
Well there we had it - the selling off that was to be expected along the way to complete recovery.
I'd expect a quick rebound from this though, although we will no doubt have more ups and downs in the near future.
Thanks for the tip MDawg. So that means I shouldn’t expect the market to go up every day or down every day in the near future? That was a bold prediction. It’ll be interesting to see if it comes true. Don’t take this seriously. I couldn’t resist.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
What I meant when I posted
was more a reference to what I posted May 5thQuote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
which was that we recovered a bit too fast, and that we could be headed back down again.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
when it comes to your glass, I see it much more than half empty. It's got more cracks in it than a teenager's smart phone.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
Just to repeat what someone else said, verrrry apposite it would seem:
<<Mdawg the reason is because mostly the people on that site are the polar opposite of your tag line you have on your forum handle/name. From memory it’s something like I’m just happy to be here with you it great life etc.
—Sadly many people are unhappy, are resentful of others successes, are just nasty for the sake of their own unfulfilled life. Sometimes I think it’s envy as well and the frustration of being unable to say you know what I’m wrong. The mathematics says it cannot be done but here are people that can do something, you know what I will have an open mind . No they cannot because they have dug themselves in to deep and that resentment just keeps snowballing. They accused you of being egotistical at some point when in fact it’s their egos that cause the problem there. IMHO
-You be you mdawg don’t worry about those clowns. When you go to sleep at night it’s your head on your pillow not theirs.
Love your work mdawg
Cheers>>
We're in recovery mode today, at least for the tech stocks.
It’s your unfullfilled life, along with your diminutive stature , that causes you to postQuote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
total bullshit on message boards on a daily basis . As interest in your posts continues to decline,
you’ll be forced to seek other ways to try and feel better about yourself
It's pretty remarkable when you think about it. Where were the people selling off at 2348 last night? We're pushing 2400 again already with AMZN.
I was talking about this last night with some of my friends who are also heavily into the market. Just hang in there people, if the market can recover from this, it can recover from most anything.
One stock though that doesn't seem to want to recover, at least not yet, is GE.
Wasn't such a bad finish, considering what happened towards the end of the day yesterday.
I was trading the first four hours of the day was loooo-easy then I had to take care of some work for clients, and checked in at the finish. Put in a lowball bid for some extra AMZN; no fill.
That's one I have been thinking about off and on for a few years now but fortunately never pulled the trigger and bought. At one time I think it was the worlds largest company by market cap. Now they have negative earnings and cut the dividend to .04 - annually. And while I like the idea of value investing, and GE I think hit a multi-decade low today, I just can't do it.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
I actually had a GTC to buy some at 6 that filled yesterday, not a lot of shares just a taste, but will hold long term see what happens.
It's crazy how things may change...there was a time when "professionals" across the board were advising to buy THOUSANDS of shares of GE anytime it dropped below 30. The paradigm shifted though, and I'm hoping 6 is the new 30.
You can't always get the very bottom. I picked up a fair amount of extra shares of AAPL at 250 during this rout to add to my other very long term shares of AAPL and keep holding. I had watched it go so high over the well over a decade closer to a decade and a half that I have been holding and I didn't feel comfortable adding more shares until this recent drop. AAPL did drop even lower after I pulled the trigger, as low as 240 or so I recall, but look at it now.
I bought some more to add to what a family member has been holding at higher than 250 too, but it's fine now too.
But I will agree with you in that thinking that "it's so low now it can't get any lower" may be a dangerous philosophy at times, and that often it's better to buy on a breakout than at what seems like the bottom.
Market is mixed. My NFLX is way up, CMG up, most of the rest red, although some were green earlier.
As far as trading - buying on dips is definitely not dead!
Looks like the Hard Rock Vegas may not be dead after all.
https://vegas.eater.com/2020/5/14/21...ctual-property
The Hard Rock Vegas was sold to Virgin which will rebrand, remodel and reopen the property as a Virgin Hotel, but Hard Rock International bought back the rights to use the name.
I had a LOT of fun at the Hard Rock in the late '90s / early 2000s before it went downhill. It was a combination of the battle of the implants and the battle of the thin hotties back then. Eventually, the place lost its lustre, and turned over the keys to the Palms, which was the hotspot in Vegas for some years until it too, experienced its own decline and fall.
Will be interesting to see if HRI opts to put money into a new Hard Rock Vegas casino, even during these troubled times.
https://i.imgur.com/fLyFfAml.jpgQuote:
Originally Posted by monet
I did that today. BORING. People actually get a thrill out of pushing buttons mindlessly? You'd have to pay me a LOT, a TON more than than the minimum wage these AP "slot cheats" are earning after we factor in time and expenses, to play a slot or any kind of video gaming machine.
I set the Wynn contest to just autospin 500 at a time. Had sex while it was running, and didn't pay attention to the screen.
Psychologically speaking, there are two types of gamblers.
One - like to zone out, they reach some kind of "high" while pushing slots and other gaming machine buttons.
The others - like me - prefer the rise and fall of the thrill - rising tension as the bet is placed, cards are dealt, and then tension released as hand results are revealed.
There are degenerates in both camps who don't really even care if they win or lose - just about the play. A prime example would be Allan Erlick the Canadian former mattress millionaire (more recently a broke Uber driver - now I assume an unemployed due to coronavirus broke Uber driver). In 2007, while he was still printing money in Canada, Allan would hit a big Vegas slots jackpot, turn to look at Louis Theoroux,
"See?" Allan would say, his face so blank it wasn't even there, as expressionless as the countless times he'd spin and lose.
In other words, you play like every other amateur gambler that prays in a casino.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawghttps://i.imgur.com/fLyFfAml.jpgQuote:
Originally Posted by monet
I did that today. BORING. People actually get a thrill out of pushing buttons mindlessly? You'd have to pay me a LOT, a TON more than than the minimum wage these AP "slot cheats" are earning after we factor in time and expenses, to play a slot or any kind of video gaming machine.
Psychologically speaking, there are two types of gamblers.
One - like to zone out, they reach some kind of "high" while pushing slots and other gaming machine buttons.
The others - like me - prefer the rise and fall of the thrill - rising tension as the bet is placed, cards are dealt, and then tension released as hand results are revealed.
One thing this Rob Singer fiasco with his posting pictures of a 2008 for-sale motorhome claiming it is his own private 2011 motorhome makes me realize is that people really are willing to spend time and energy just to paint some fantasy image.
One of the arguments I used to support the truth of what I post was “Why would I lie?” To me, it seems absurd to waste time and energy posting untruths. Why would I bother? I’m a serious businessman, a lawyer, I play with fifty grand at a time in Vegas, and millions at a time in the stock market, to me – if I’m going to spend my time writing something it’s only because I enjoy writing, and reminiscing in what I’ve done gives me pleasure. There’s no pleasure, for me, in writing untruths, as untruths are not based on fond memories!
But when I tried to explain all this to a few of you, it would fall on deaf ears. I always assumed that the reason you guys couldn’t relate was because in your peer group people lying and fantasizing to make themselves look better was the norm, but today was the first real example I observed of it tried and proven with Rob’s stunt. I suppose it just goes to prove that I still have a wildly positive impression of people in general when I say that Rob probably does own a motorhome, even though it seems clear that the 2008 for-sale Newell he posed in is not the 2011 Newell he claims he owns.
In my world, spouting lies is not the norm. I can now see, to a certain extent, why some of you tend towards being dubious if you have had to deal with charades such as the one Rob just pulled.
Good post...I personally don`t have an opinion regarding your and Rob`s claims. As a matter of fact I hope both are true as I find both of you to be pretty entertaining writers and its cool seeing people knock the casinos dicks in once in a while....you`ve offered up quite a bit of proof and if it is fabricated it really doesn`t affect me one way or the other....the true hidden gold is all these others having aneurysms over it because it bothers them so much lolQuote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
You have an innate need to turn every story or topic into being about you.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
You and Rob are very much alike, you both have an intense thirst and desire for attention.
You craving for it gets worse as interest in you has continued to deteriorate more and more
each day. It’s all part of being a diminutive fella, quintessential Napoleon complex display.
Coincidentally, the likelihood of you playing baccarat with an advantage is exactly the same
as Rob owning that RV.
I wonder how the weather in New Jersey is these days.
Agreed!Quote:
Originally Posted by Keystone
And nothing I have posted has been contradictory.
If you tell the truth, you don't have to remember anything.
I'm now endorsing the MDawg baccarat system. All your dreams will come true.
Been watching that admittedly stupid 2011 reality series Casino Confidential about Binion's.
Reminds me about how in the old days (around when I first started gambling barely of legal age) there were no posted limits at Binion's just the table minimum and they would book any bet as long as it was your first. You could pick up the single deck and cut it with your own hands (actually, with just one hand, as I recall), and no one bothered you if you jumped your bet around, at least I was never molested for varying my bet anyway. Not that I was ever much of a craps player, with notable exceptions on some trips, but I recall 100X odds at the old Binion's Horseshoe too.
I wasn't into Baccarat yet but I remember seeing a 4% commission table as well.
And then once the original family sold it off in 2004, it became about the worst place to gamble period - all players were handicapped to a 3X spread based on their first blackjack bet of the shoe. Post 2009, as depicted in Casino Confidential, they apparently used a new tactic which was to shuffle the BJ deck anytime a player jumped his bet. It's actually pretty funny the way they describe it in the 2011 show - card counters are Welcome - but we'll Shuffle every time you jump the bet.
That show was taped less than 10 years but seems much older. I wonder what happened to the drunken female dealer?Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
That's funny you mention that - the show was taped 2011 - 2012, and in the last episode Jana gets fired, and I have been wondering the same thing! First they were talking about how she was their best dealer, and tried to promote her to pit boss, and next thing you know she was fired for showing up late one night, then not at all the next night on her birthday.
I actually wasn't even aware of the "Cowgirls" until after I watched this show, which I watched it for the first time very recently, and I haven't played at Binion's since the early 2000s. Has anyone been to Binion's this year? Are the Cowgirls still dealing?
This sounds like a job for the Wizard. I'm sure he wouldn't mind finding Jana to interview her.
https://i.imgur.com/DbpBbUsm.jpg
A lot of casino dealers have alcohol problems, but most of them seem to be able to function. I've never actually seen a dealer under the influence at work (unless on something that was hard to detect) but I've noticed many of them hung over.
They were degenerate gamblers, coke freaks.
https://i.imgur.com/pY2PFQIm.jpg
In no time I had half the dealers in the Tangiers in my pocket.
Yea they still have them as of last fall. And they have a bar with them on Fremont. Most of the casinos were “awarded” space on Fremont to sell frozen and other drinks to compete with the small places that were selling cheap cans.
Cowgirl up cantina would have been a great job for Jana. And yes, she would be a perfect “interview” for the Jizzard.
I did a 5 pt. trade on AMZN the hardest part was even logging into one of my accounts. Heavy volume - trading brokerages overloaded.