Philadelphia vs. Dallas - Under 212.5
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Philadelphia vs. Dallas - Under 212.5
Another. You got 3.5 hours to act on this one. (The Philly game starts an hour from now, so you have some time there, tooo):
New Orleans at Golden State - Under 223
Houston at Golden State - Over 228.5
Starts 2pm PT
Really bad beat on that Housto over. 132 points in first half, and it lost.
Today, starting shortly:
OKC at Charlotte - Under 207.5
Charlotte -105 vs. OKC (-110 ok) -- Bovada has +100 right now
Golden State vs Dallas - under 217.5
Detroit at San Antonio - under 221.5
If I win this, I will be an undefeated NBA handicapper for the entire 2020s.
Minnesota at Milwaukee - Under 221
Towns & Wiggins out
Memphis at Sac - Over 224.5
Okay, 2-0 in 2020.
Let's go for 3-0.
Philadelphia at Houston - Over 227.5
Brutal loss on the Philly over.
118-108 with 56 seconds left, and I need 228 points.
Embiid misses a 6-foot jumper, then a foul against Capela, who misses BOTH free throws, then a bizarre 3-point attempt by Embiid which misses, then a rundown of the clock on both sides despite 27.4 seconds being left.
Today, decided to take a short break from totals and go with two sides.
Brooklyn -1.5 vs. Toronto
Golden State +135 vs. Detroit (+3 spread pick also ok)
Blake Griffin out.
Lost both yesterday.
Today's picks:
New York at Clippers - Under 220.5 (starting very soon) - Kawhi out
Minnesota -4 at Cleveland
Minnesota pick won, Clippers under lost
Buncha picks starting at 4:05pm:
Brooklyn at Orlando - Over 212.5
Indiana -6 at Charlotte
Philadelphia -7.5 vs. OKC
Philadelphia/OKC - Under 210.5 (211 in some books still)
1-3, only winning Indiana. Philly failed to cover by 0.5 in the last few seconds. Ugh.
Okay, took a day off, now it's time for some NBA picks again.
Starting in a few minutes (4:05 PT):
Charlotte +125 vs. Toronto (+2.5 ok)
Charlotte/Toronto - Under 207.5
With seconds left, I was going to win both picks on that game. I ended up losing both in OT. Ugh.
I've run really bad this year -- yes, I'm talking about 2020. Aside from the first 2 games which were easy wins.
Here's 2 more picks for tonight. Minnesota starts soon, Houston is at 6:30 PT.
Minnesota -110 vs. Portland (+1 ok)
Houston -4 at OKC
1-1, with Minnesota being the winner
Pacers/Bulls was +120 and +2.5 but it fell just as I was betting it. Damnit. Still like it. Trapper John line.
Chicago +100 vs. Indiana (+1 -110 ok)
Miami at Brooklyn - Over 218
Charlotte at Utah - Under 210.5
One today, after going 2-1 yesterday, only losing Chicago.
Milwaukee at Portland - Over 229
Whiteside questionable
Annoying loss where i just needed 20 in final 7:16 and couldn't get it.
Today:
NY knicks +8 vs Miami
Won NY outright.
Lots of NBA picks today
First I'll give you the one starting now, then will post other 4
Philadelphia at Indiana - Over 215
The rest:
Minnesota at OKC - Under 218
Orlando +110 at Sac (+2 ok)
Charlotte at Portland - Under 215.5
Cleveland at Lakers - Over 221.5 - Davis questionable
2-3 yesterday, wining Orlando and Lakers over (at last minute!)
Today last minute:
Utah at Brooklyn - Over 222.5
More soon
A pair of Over 224.5s:
Cleveland at LA Clippers - Over 224.5
Dallas at Golden State - Over 224.5
Hit 2 of 3... only losing the Dallas over. All three were close the whole way.
Two under today. Beware as they are under 210, which is a risk these days in this league, and my record on those in 2019-20 is poor.
Still....
Charlotte at Denver - Under 209.5
Orlando at Lakers - Under 210
Split yesterday, losing Lakers, winning Denver.
Starting soon:
New York +115 vs. Phoenix
New York / Phoenix - Over 226.5
Two more:
Milwaukee -11 vs. Boston
Orlando at Clippers - Under 215.5
Ugh. 0-4 yesterday, though all 4 were winning at some point.
Starting soon:
Philadelphia vs Chicago - Under 213.5 (213 ok)
Won yesterday.
Today:
Chicago -7.5 vs Cleveland
Starting soon
Lost despite huge Chicago comeback
Indiana -1 at Denver -- Milsap out
Bovada is an outlier right now, you can get it at +1 -115 if you want (or +0 -110 if you have "sharp" stuck to your account)
Won Indiana though it was down most of the game.
Today, call me old school, but I just can't go with a line like over 243 in the NBA if it's not the All Star Game.
But that's the line today for New Orleans vs. Memphis.
I just can't.
I will go with an old school type under though:
Orlando at Charlotte - Under 206
For a bit later:
Indiana at Utah - Under 216
Won both yesterday.
Today, only one game is going.
Starting at 5:35 PT
Clippers at Dallas - Over 232
Porzingis is coming back after an absence. You might want to consider this, as sometimes this wreaks havoc upon handicapping.
This is also the "public" side.
Lost yesterday.
Starting shortly:
Philadelphia at Toronto - Under 215
One more:
Denver at Houston - Under 227
Starting 5:05pm PT
Won both.
Here's another last minute pick -- two on same game
Cleveland -2.5 vs. Washignton
Cleveland/Washington - Under 230.5
Lost both yesterday.
Today:
Toronto at New York - Over 218
Atlanta +8 at OKC
Miami +115 vs. Clippers (+2 ok)
Miami/Clippers - Under 219.5
Miami has Dragic out, Clippers has George out
After going 5-1 in six games, I'm now 1-5 in the past 6. Only winner was the NY over.
I've got three totals bets today.
Brooklyn at Detroit - Over 229.5 (Drummond probable, Jordan out)
Chicago at Cleveland - Under 212.5 (Markkanen out)
OKC at Minnesota - Under 226 (Gallinari out, Noel out)
Won 2 of 3 Saturday, losing only Chicago.
Starting shortly.
Cleveland at Detroit - under 214.5 (214 ok)
Horrible finish last night. 18 points scored in last 2:51 during a blowout, including a pointless foul at 7 seconds, to make me lose by 1.
Today:
NY at Charlotte - Under 207.5
Atlanta at Toronto - Over 234.5
Atlanta's score was 152-133 yesterday, and they've had a total of 239+ in 6 of last 7 games.
Charlotte has scored 92 or fewer in 4 of last 6 games, NY has scored 92 or fewer in 3 of last 6 games.
Won both yesterday.
Memphis at NY - Under 221.5
Staying on the NY under train.
Lost yesterday.
Today:
Golden State at Boston - Over 224.5
Lost by 1.5 yesterday.
Starting soon:
Chicago at Brooklyn - Under 219 (you can get 220 at Bovada if you don't have a "sharp" account)
Lost the Chicago under on Friday.
Two NBA unders
Memphis vs. Detroit - Under 223.5
Sacramento vs. Minnesota - Under 225.5
Won both yesterday.
Just one pick on this light day:
Charlotte at Houston - Under 223 - Westbrook out
Here's a first quarter bet:
San Antonio +3.5 +100 at Lakers (first quarter only)
Won the first quarter bet, lost the under.
Today:
Another 1st quarter, starting shortly:
Golden State +2 at Brooklyn
Dallas vs. Memphis - Under 224
Lost the Dallas pick in the final minute. Lost the 1Q also on GS.
Going to fire on this, but be aware this is a marginal play. I almost didn't fire on it. So if it loses, I can hate myself for falling on the side of firing.
Indiana vs. Toronto - Under 218
Utah went on a huge streak and rocketed up the standings, but has been in a big slump lately, dropping 5 straight. However, fresh off a streak-breaking win in Portland, I believe they will do well against no-heart Houston in the 1st.
Utah +100 +1 at Houston 1Q
Went 1-1 yesterday on two picks I didn't post here, but posted on my other site. Went 0-1 on Friday.
Lost the Utah 1Q. Should've done the whole game, as that won.
After getting burned twice in a row with Charlotte unders, I skipped today's game against Detroit, only to see it's going way under. Ugh. I liked that one but was running too poorly to go through with it.
Here are today's picks:
San Antonio +6.5 at Denver
San Antonio at Denver - Under 216
Miami at Golden State - Under 218.5
Horrible luck to go 1-2 yesterday with a last-play loss on San Antonio after it was way ahead outright most of the game.
I can't believe I'm doing this, but...
Portland at New Orleans - Over 243.5
Yes, over 243
Pray there are no dead periods of scoring.
The NBA is officially dead with lines like this.
Oh, also on same game:
New Orleans -3
Won both.
Last minute:
Detroit +2.5 at Orlando 1Q
Washington at NY - Under 227.5
Portland at Memphis - Under 234.5
Miami at Utah - Under 216.5
Won NY under and Portland under. Lost other 2, including Utah under by 0.5 (ugh).
Today:
Clippers -102 at Boston
Forgot to post this here in time, but I posted the following 3 picks on my PFA forum:
Yesterday: Dallas at Orlando - Over 221.5 (won)
OKC -2 vs. Denver (won)
Today: Sac +9 at Clippers - going now
https://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/sh...l=1#post881277
Here's another one starting soon:
Atlanta -1.5 (-2 ok) vs. Dallas - Porzingis & Doncic out
Won both yesterday
Lakers vs Boston - Under 222.5
Lost despite a good 1st quarter.
Well, time to be a public favorite-monkey.
Portland -6 vs. Detroit
Keep in mind Lillard is still out.
dan,
do you post ytd records? what about previous seasons?
Lost both yesterday.
Starting soon:
OKC -7.5 at Chicago
Porter still out.
(I'll figure out my record soon.)
Considering NO over too.
Lost despite 17-point lead in 1st half.
Two totals starting soon:
NY at Charlotte - Over 207
Brooklyn at Washington - Under 233.5
Won both, though NY was close. Very close.
Just one today.
Sucks because I was considering Charlotte under, and it's very much on pace to cover right now, in early 2Q.
Phoenix -9 vs. Detroit -- fair chance it drops to -8.5 within the hour, so you might want to hold off betting
Lost yesterday.
Bunch of them today. All public (!!)
San Antonio -4 vs. Orlando
Phoenix -9 vs. Golden State
Portland at Atlanta - Over 239
Indiana -9 at Cleveland
Went 1-2-1 yesterday. Portland over won, Indiana tied, other two lost.
Last minute:
Sacramento vs. Detroit - Under 215
Washington -7 at Golden State
Hopefully this goes better than the similar Phoenix/GS pick I made yesterday, which got blown out.
2-0 yesterday.
Last minute:
Cleveland vs Utah - Over 222
This one starts at 4:35pm PST
Memphis at Altanta - Over 240.5
1-1 yesterday, winning Cleveland over.
Today:
Boston vs Brooklyn - Under 219 (Tatum & Walker out)
Lost yesterday after 85 point 4th (!!)
Today:
Boston at Cleveland - Under 215.5 (Walker, Garland, Drummond out)
Orlando +6.5 at Miami
Boston starting very shortly
One more.
The fail Knicks' 2-game win streak is about to end.
Utah -9 at New York
Should've gone 3-0 yesterday, went 1-2.
Really awful luck.
Both were like a 90%+ favorite to win at the very end. I had to fade 14 points in the final minute in an 8-point game in the Boston under, and had to fade a 5-point comeback when my team had the ball in a blowout with 36 seconds left (that one had to be like 99% to win) in the Utah game. Both lost.
Today:
Philadelphia at Sac - Under 218.5 (Simmons/Embiid still out, Fox likely to play but has abdominal pain)
Lost yesterday.
Two picks on the NY game:
OKC at NY - Under 216.5
NY +6
Starting now
Chicago +120 vs. Indiana (+2.5 ok)
New Orleans vs. Miami - Under 232.5
Both starting at 5:05pm PT
Posted on my PokerFraudAlert forum but forgot to post here (in progress):
Philadelphia vs Golden State - Under 220.5
Lost yesterday despite first quarter which was only 47 points.
Crap. Meant to post this pick earlier but got distracted.
It was 227 when I wanted to post it. It's 225.5 now but I still like it.
Starting soon:
Sacramento vs. Toronto - Under 225.5
Wow. I am very disillusioned.
I took the following 4 losses this week:
1) Easily on pace to cover under, 85-point 4th beats me
2) Easily on pace to cover under, 80-point 4th beats me
3) 13 points under in final minute, one team ahead by 8. Still lose.
4) I have the -9 favorite. They are up 13 with the ball and 36 seconds remaining. Somehow they only win by 8.
Honestly the variance is just falling the wrong way over and over, and I might be done soon.
Last NBA game for awhile
Sacramento vs. New Orleans - Under 232.5
Welp, looks like it’s over for a while
Sacramento +103 at Orlando (+1.5 ok)
Sac -3 vs. New Orleans
Won Sac under on the 11th, lost the moneyline on the 2nd.
Today:
Indiana vs. Miami - Under 218
Won.
One NBA game being played today. Let's bet on it.
Portland vs. Memphis - Under 231