Jordan Alvarez is returning today possibly for the Astros. Im sure his bat is quite valuable and his defense at 3B, but still... idk maybe +270 isn't enough today.
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Jordan Alvarez is returning today possibly for the Astros. Im sure his bat is quite valuable and his defense at 3B, but still... idk maybe +270 isn't enough today.
I did bet Colorado $200 +285 but forgot to post. Really glad right now w them up 4-1.
Im debating taking a long shot on the Astros to get AL #1 seed +1500 4.5 games back. They may get pretty hot once Paredes comes back and joins the rest. All these teams have some shots to slump or win.
I hope you thought better of doing that. Houston entered the day 4.5 back of the best record in AL, but that is 4/4.5 back of two different teams, not 1. So they would need to get hot and have not 1 but 2 teams cool off. That is why the high odds. To me, and this is just an opinion, I think Houston is more likely to go the opposite direction and not even win their own division.Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
Elsewhere an interesting day with the abbreviated schedule. Phillies and Schwarber woke up in a big way after being humiliated and swept by the Mets who closed to within 4 games. But then those same Mets turned right around and lost to the Marlins, giving one of those hard earned games right back (back to 5 game lead).
Season end 4 weeks from Sunday. That just isn't a lot of time for any team looking to make up 4-5 games. It just doesn't happen as much as people think it does. Of the teams nursing a 4-5 game lead, (Houstons is only 2), I believe the team that might fall (as in lose the division) is Toronto. Now I have a wager on Boston, so I am hoping, but it is more than that. Toronto is a decent team, but I think they have played above their heads, especially pitching-wise.
No didnt make the bet. I dont think it is terrible, but I just didn't do so. I am happy Schwarber got 4 HRs, it strengthens my HR champ and MVP bets. The MVP bet is a long shot of course because Ohtani is still 90% to win. It also stinks because the award isn't announced until after the World Series is over and happens to be 11/13/25. About the Astros, Im over bet anyways with too many WS odds +1000. The Brewers are playing badly, have had too many injuries recently and that stinks. I do not have a strategy to hedge or cash out any of these things. If anything, will do so in division series before first pitch. Of course hoping for the Dodgers to be a wild card and go home early to make things eeasier. It also seems the 100 win bet I made on the Brewers is trashed. It's unfortunate I just didnt get a good bet in earlier under 100.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJI hope you thought better of doing that. Houston entered the day 4.5 back of the best record in AL, but that is 4/4.5 back of two different teams, not 1. So they would need to get hot and have not 1 but 2 teams cool off. That is why the high odds. To me, and this is just an opinion, I think Houston is more likely to go the opposite direction and not even win their own division.Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
Elsewhere an interesting day with the abbreviated schedule. Phillies and Schwarber woke up in a big way after being humiliated and swept by the Mets who closed to within 4 games. But then those same Mets turned right around and lost to the Marlins, giving one of those hard earned games right back (back to 5 game lead).
Season end 4 weeks from Sunday. That just isn't a lot of time for any team looking to make up 4-5 games. It just doesn't happen as much as people think it does. Of the teams nursing a 4-5 game lead, (Houstons is only 2), I believe the team that might fall (as in lose the division) is Toronto. Now I have a wager on Boston, so I am hoping, but it is more than that. Toronto is a decent team, but I think they have played above their heads, especially pitching-wise.
After hitting his 4th homerun, Phillies needed to put several guys on base for Schwarber to come to bat a final time in the 8th inning. With the game well out of hand, Atlanta went to a position player pitching and the Phillies did have enough guys reach base (or homer) to allow Schwarber to come to bat. If he had homered it would have been 5, which had never been done before. BUT it would have cheapened it, being off a position player. I had mixed feelings about it. In the end he swung so hard he just popped out. Swung so hard, I hope he didn't hurt his back. :DQuote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
The Astros can take this lead down when more by labor day. They play 4 at home against the Angels. Toronto is playing 3 at home versus Milwaukee, though the Jays are favored to win the series. Detroit is playing 3 in KC after being swept by the A's. Risky bet, but potential to make the odds a lot less than +1500 within days. I have too much bet already on Houston. I really had thought Iaaac Paredes would be back soon, but he apparently won't. He is probably going to lay back and wait for the last possible second to return, it's almost September now. Last time I was really optimistic about the Astros, lost 4 to the A's. About the A's, aka the Athletics, the new stadium is awesome and Ill intend to come to Vegas now to see some ball games. I typically say Ill smell the roses and usually don't.
I am a philly guy, so Raiders and A's can't replace my allegiance to my Philly teams. Hockey, I was never a huge fan, so I have adopted the Golden Knights as my team. While the A's won't replace the Phillies as MY team, I am excited about the A's move to Vegas (and the new stadium). The A's have a decent young team with some really good young players. That "big Amish" kid is fun to watch. If they can hang onto some of that young talent and field a decent...not great, but decent team in 2028, when they move, I will go see some games and root for them. They won't replace the phillies, but they could be my second favorite team.Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
Of course the irony could be me hoping for Schwarber then only to have them knock the Brewers out of the playoffs. Id like them and the Dodgers to be at home(out) never to play them.
The real issue beyond mere games for the Astros to get the number one seed is their record has to surpass the Rigers by 1 since the Tigers have won 4/6 against the Astros and would have a tie breaker advantage. I did not research that aspect. As of now the Astros have the edge against the Jays having swept them and having 3 games upcoming.
So it turns out nicely yes I didnt make a move with Houston. Im starting to think SF Giants could sneak in if they keep playing well. They have 6 games against the Dodgers remaining and there are less than 25 games left now. I placed some big bets today and lost around the diamonds so Im laying off any other serious betting as Im in the midst of a losing streak.
The Padres really stink. They could get lucky in a 5 game series only. It will be interesting to see what pans out soon. October will be here soon.
The Astros are at least as close to the very top in the AL as they are to the bottom.
Tonight's game gave me some confidence in the Brewers tonight.
https://youtu.be/mdMcZ-Kp8Po?si=3siWrZuJbFLXG7Yk
The Giants are 4 games back of the Mets, but actually 5 because the Giants lose any tie breaker with the Mets. The Giants have 7 games left against the Dodgers, 3 against the Rockies, 6 against the Cardinals, and 6 against the Diamondbacks. The Mets play the Phillies(4), Cubs(3), Padres(3), Texans (3), and Reds (3), then the Marlins(3) and Nationals(3). Idk, doesn't seem entirely to be wishful thinking, could get closer than people think.
Even after that disappointing loss in the series finale against the Blue Jays, the Brewers are now 15-4 on the season against the current division leaders, as pointed out by Milwaukee's Senior Director of Media Relations, Mike Vassallo, on the social media platform X. They have swept both the Phillies and Dodgers, and taken two out of three against the Blue Jays, Tigers, and Astros.
With their series win over Toronto, the @Brewers have now won every series they have played this season against the other division leaders, posting an overall record of 15-2 in those games.#ThisIsMyCrew pic.twitter.com/PEpUbLLn4q
— Mike Vassallo (@MikeVassallo13) August 31, 2025
Im thinking Detroit has the advantage over Toronto for the number 1 seed and home field advantage by enough to count but not enough for it to be drastic. Wishful thinking but I would like to see somehow the Mariners and Astros play other teams in the wild card round.
The Dodgers cannot buy a victory against mediocre teams. They did not warm up un August and they did not warm up in September like all the people assumed so hard. I'd need access to time travel to bet on the Dodgers to prosper in the playoffs. .
This HR race has not been exciting since Schwarber hit 4 a week ago. Im pretty sure Raleigh and Ohtani have had 1 each since the 4 HRs. Im certainly expecting the 3 of them to be hitting more than 2 home runs within a week.
SF still creeping up. They'll be down 1.5 games of the Mets needing to get 1 ahead. Again Mets own tie breaker so the fight needs to be with others.
Little known secret, I cashed in my best season record for $1830 instead of $2050. I do like having the stress off and feel better being out after 2 straight losses. It allows me to wonder if maybe the number 2 bye isn't so bad at least terms of opponents. Being in Philly is too hard, Idk if weaker matchups for the Brewers matter more than home field disadvantage. I've lost faith in this Brewers team, but this could be good.