You have to watch out for those old timer lady boys on scooters. Especially the angry ones dripping wet from their 10 hour shift working the restroom stalls....RIP
It is only human nature to want to be believed, to be supported.
KJ, I am one of the few here that haven't openly turned against you, and I doubt that I ever will: I believe your lies have been for a good reason, and I don't believe a lot of what others claim to be lies are in fact lies.
Maybe I'm wrong, but for now I'm kinda in your corner...at least more than I am in Robert's or the dawg's corner.
Personally I'd suggest you spend less time responding to flames; you should post more gambling-related content, which is what led me to find you credible in the first place;these flame wars are a time-sucking rabbit hole.
This is yet another example of you concocting a scenario that fits your sick agenda so you can pretend that what you say is real. Do you have proof that J Logan was me? And as per your usual misguidance, you neglected to mention that Shack posted that he looked into every possibility of Logan being me, and he determined I had nothing to do with it. Like MSNBC, if it hurts, don't mention it!
You also need to fact check your next lie that Dan found out the girlfriday account was mine. He ignored your whining then just like he does now, and its likely because you're a known jew-hater. The only reason you keep lying about that one is because that poster probably hit a nerve that you didn't expect to be hit.
You have a history of being a liar here and everywhere else kew. Every day clarifies why.
Thank you MrV. The problem is this forum in not really about sharing gambling related content that might be useful to anyone. It is about trolling and tearing others down. So any of us that stay here and participate, that is what we are knowingly doing. You may occasionly pick up a little bit if useful gambling content along the way, but it is minimal and almost by accident.
And this isn't specific to this forum. All public gambling forums are now just about the infighting. Contrast that to just 10-15 years ago when I was able to learn a ton from other players on forums. It is sad. I don't know why it is this way, but it is. And there is no going back.
Just stop goofball.
I am not even going to bother looking up where Dan busted Girlfriday. Anyone that cares can just ask Dan.
Add on: if I remember correctly, the GirlFriday posts came from the Wi-Fi at a Phoenix hospital and you had a family member in the hospital at the time. You are King Rob.... King of the fools.
V, he doesn't care one bit about your kissing up to him. Yes you at times foolishly give the proven liar before your very eyes, the benefit ot the doubt. But all he really cares to use you for is to accept and repeat his lies about myself and mdawg.
Your characterizations about him are so very lacking in substance. His backrooming lies beget other lies. You believing his whopper about the MGM execs who personally dropped off WRITTEN records of mdawg's gaming actvity? You believe that wimp is a surfer? You believe max lied when he said he saw him and his faggot partner? You believe kew got his arm broken in a casino and then he claims to have immediately gone on a cross country trip with his fake baby bro....only to renig about posting proof that he was really there? You believe he lives in luxury? On and on.
Please get real and wise up.
You gotta love how Rob phrases things to suit himself and aid in his manipulation of what he wants people to believe. Mdawg is good at this too, but I believe Mdawg stole it and much of his whole troll from Rob. That I will give to Rob.
The MGM execs was a friend of mine that works the pit at an MGM strip property. I have been friends with this person since 2011 and it is actually a great story of how we became friends. I have told it elsewhere (the perfect shoe), not going to repeat it here. And it has been very beneficial to have a friend that works in the industry. He started sharing information in my database files with me, without me having even asked. This is very, very valuable for a card counter to know what is in the database.
So it so happens at one point in time when Mdawgs claims were particularly annoying me, I said something like 'see what you can find out about a player that plays Cosmopolitan and claims to have been comped for the last 7 months, while winning over half a million". At the time the sale of Cosmo to MGM was underway but had not gone through. So he git the info by simply asking a colleague, who printed out a win/loss total. I guess the player wasn't hard to find. And it so happens a few days later when he was coming to a party at my condo, he brought that printout. But to hear Rob, Mdawg and Moses before he passed, tell the story, execs from MGM brought stacks of files to me. It was a printout that spilled barely onto the second page. And of course it was obtained not as part of any official duties. Later on, I actually felt bad that I had even asked. felt bad that I involved him in some internet shit. But it did serve its purpose, as Mdawg immediately rescinded his 7 months of winning to "about even".
What else. Oh teens that live near Daytona Beach surfing. Good god, how unusual!!!!! All my friends surfed. That is what we did in that area. Of the 3 of us in my current household, all who grew up in the same area, 2 were avid surfers. I guess it is understandable a guy from Boston, doesn't understand that.
Maxpen and Axelwolf did not see me and my partner. I thought they might have at the time, but it is clear they did not. Descriptions of me by both are 100% incorrect and descriptions of my partner the only things correct is that he was heavy. Balding and hair color wrong. They did not see us. That is all there is to it. I guess each of them saw a couple 20 years apart in age and guessed (incorrectly) that it was me. Just weird.
Not going to rehash the other stuff. No reason too. I travel back to Pa usually twice a year, although I guess it has only been once a year since covid. Just so happens the trip this year occurred in the spring, just after my backroom incident. And the trip was planned and booked long before the incident. Rob seems to think people can't travel with a cast on their arm I guess. Like most things he is wrong. Life doesn't stop because of a broken arm.
But anyway. Hey rob what do you think of Dan Druffs jackpot picture with no exercise equipment in storage in the reflection. THAT is mighty odd isn't it? ;)
So let's get this straight KJ.
They both reported sighting you at different casinos, and you thought at the time they had sighted you, but now you realize they hadn't?
Were these reports years after the fact? Because if someone says they think they saw me at some random casino within a reasonably specific time frame, I would know whether it were possible, and if it weren't me it probably wouldn't be possible that it was me. (I.e. dates times and details wouldn't line up.)
Back then the AP community was more niche. Not many rats or scammers around. There certainly wasn’t as many darksiders lurking. Even on 2+2 the information was free flowing for all sorts of things from poker to crypto to real estate plays
Then Taylor Caby and his two Bi fuck buddies Cole, and Hasting decided to Monetize poker coaching with card runners. That marked a switch to paid content, less info sharing, and for semi queer guys like Aaron Jones and Leggo to copy CR.
So it’s clear the rise of homosexuality in gambling coincided with the reluctance of the Alpha Straight Male APs willing to share information. Why would we want to enrich you fags who will never contribute to society in a meaningful way.
I had shared that two smaller local casinos that my partner and I liked to visit were eastside Cannery and Club Fortune in Henderson. Maxpen apparently played both of these casinos. My blackjack play at both these places was very limited because my play, even with bet spread cut down was just above their tolerance or comfort level. At Club Fortune I played blackjack for a total of a number of weeks, once a week on Mondays when they had a suited blackjack promotion. At East Cannery, I played blackjack for a couple times a month, usually on a friday, when it was busier, off and on for a year or so. So my blackjack play at both was very Limited. BUT Maxpen and I both witnessed East Cannery cheating a blind patron (a very regular player), so I thought he and I may have even played the same table, but no now I don't think so, because everything MaxPen describes about me is incorrect and the only thing he got right about my partner is that he was heavy.
Axelwolf said he saw me and my partner, I am not sure the location, but axelwolf described me as an Asian or Chinese kid and I am not. I am white. MaxPen described me as non- white, Not sure if that meant black, or latino, or middle eastern but again, just wrong. Iam of Irish decent. It isn't even a close call. I am pale, pasty white. Therefore, I now know neither saw me, nor my partner. I guess the saw two guys 20 years in age a part and speculated it might be me.
The after the fact question: I just didn't doubt either at the time. It wasn't until they both claimed the person they saw was playing red chip, which was fairly recently, that I knew both were mistaken.
I'll tell you the truth, I think Axelwolf is confused or has forgotten, but back in the day (this was 10 years ago), he claimed to have seen us outside eastside cannery, crossing the street. We often walked down to Eastside from Sams town, rather than drive and re-park and this happened to be a day we were there and walked so we would have been crossing the street to get there. And I believe Axelwolf even described accurately what my partner was wearing.
So there is a good chance he did see us, but somehow has now confused this with a second sighting involving an Asian kid. I don't have any idea where that second sighting may have been, you would have to ask him. Maybe he wasn't all that close at eastside cannery and thought I looked Asian. I don't know. I don't look Asain and have never had anyone ever mistaken me for Asian.
I can describe myself because I am so very ordinary looking.
Come on dude, Mdawg made up that Pacific Islander thing. You are playing off that or taking talking points or something. In 10 years you never said a word about non-white or Asian or Pacific zIslander. Only after Mdawg started feeding you talking points.
If I was Pacific Islander or Asian looking, it would have abslutely been 100 times harder to pull off what I have pulled off in LV. Can't have something like that, that makes you stand out and be easily remembered.
And if I was Pacific Islander or Asian, I would have been screaming to Dan Druff that you were doxing me. Ask Druff> I have never said a word. Just laughed at you and Mdawg.
KJ, I know you believe you are not required to prove anything to anybody: got it.
But...perhaps you could agree to meet briefly with Dan Druff for the limited purpose of having him then report to the forum that "I met KJ, and here is what he looks like..."
Of course it won't shut up the haters, but it will make them look like idiots.
It really does rub me the wrong way, that I should have to prove anything. It is a bad precedent. If a forum is going to start requiring that of members, don't expect too many AP's to participate.
BUT, that said, I did basically propose what you are asking just 2 days ago. Not a peep from Mdawg on the proposal.
If a forum requires members to prove something, or meet with someone, then it is no longer an anonymous forum.
There are private forums that do this. You must be referred or sponsored by a current known member. But that is NOT what this forum or any of the other public gambling forums are.
That’s the key to his delusional life spiraling out of control. He’s getting older and he spends no time on his health. He can’t get the premium price he did when he was younger selling that ass. He’s now more like a Craig’s list escort looking for autistic seniors to suck for dollars
He would never do that unless he threw in a substitute. If he played it straight which we know he's not capable of then Druff would be reporting what has been said.
Axel can chime in if he wants about how I've described FraudJ from years ago. The same way he confirmed the chip denoms I saw FraudJ playing with in Eastside a few times. FraudJ likes to say I saw him playing in Club Fortune. No, that's where he was with his Sugar Daddy. Story has never changed.
Fact
There are real life senior men over 60 who can identify Gunplay FraudJ. That have already said they would go on the record if need be.
Kewj is like a ball of yarn being played with by a cat. He just doesn’t fully understand lol
These Gays can’t help but dox themselves online through various hookup sites and message Boards. Their lust for hot cum betrays them
The evidence that KJ and I are the same person:
MDAWG: KJ and I, both have used the bold feature.
Rock solid evidence!. Notice the bold font? Scary that the State Bar of Calif granted a license to a person who thinks this qualifies as credible evidence.
Since I have a "Math" sounding user name, I must be KJ!
Since I started a thread about a POKER CHEATING Table, the evidence points to KJ and I being the same person!
Since I have never criticized KJ, we must be the same person!
This is MDAWG'S issue:
He wants to be viewed as a "Professional Gambler" or someone who consistently beats the breaks off of casinos at will. It just kills him that someone he views as inferior (because they are gay), not only did they call him out, but this person has been able to support himself via the Casinos for nearly 2 decades.
Now, if KJ is lying about any part of his story, Shame on him. I have no reason like MDAWG would to hire a private investigator to find these things out. People lie on forums all the time. For those that enjoy calling out people that lie, it is fine as long as you have credible evidence. For example: one person said KJ is a prostitute, now how many are saying it? Evidence? I wouldn't care one way or the other as long as the claim is backed up with evidence, which if true - would be easy. Until then, Im fine being the only person besides Mr. V and Boz, not spreading this info as if it is fact.
I enjoy calling out gambling scammers. They ruin people's lives. All the little stupid shit people lie about on gambling forums, I don't care to necessarily call out, especially when it is dead obvious. I feel the same as Druff does in this respect, since they really aren't hurting anyone financially. Yes, people can listen to their non scene and try to duplicate what the liar claimed. Is that hurting people? Absolutely! However, I must "draw the line" somewhere and that would be when money is paid. This is really why I didn't get in the discussion on WOV when MDAWG was making his claims. It was obvious,he wasn't trying to collect money, and there were already plenty of folks making valid arguments.
I'm not sure what credible evidence could ever be given with the anonymity of everyone involved. If you are not anonymous in some vouchable manner then I am all ears.
I just went to pfa to read a few of your posts. I didn't read too much but just the fact those are the types of threads you start. Very very kewl like.
On the other hand having the same basic motivations on these forums could lead you both in attacking mdawg.
I don't play poker. I don't know much about poker. Barely know what hand beats another hand. I don't talk poker. I am not on Druffs poker forum.
AinQ, aren't you a poker player? If this is your read, I am not very impressed.
Come on man... Don't be stupid. VP and poker are not the same thing.
Knowing the order of hands is useful in both.
What happens if I post a video of Kew ? If I had one like he happens to be in the background but I didn’t know it was him ?
It's impossible to be a VP player and not know what hand beats the other. You need to start thinking things thru before typing. We understand you're desperate. But holy hell....lol
You just say whatever whenever. Just like when you claimed to let your brother and boyfriend use your account.
Imagine FraudJ who has talked about slinking around behind his boyfriend's back sucking other dude's cocks in the building(tunnel) he lives in letting him use his account.
I said "barely". Fool!!
Not long ago you posted a picture from the parking lot of Hollywood casino Morgantown PA. You were standing to the right of the main entrance if you are looking out from the casino. Directly behind you and to the left and right are no less then 6 security cameras. Morgantown is a brand new casino and has the latest security cameras and biometric scanners. Now the question is did you take the picture? Or was it someone else ?
How would one obtain this video footage? Could someone with inside knowledge of how the casino operation works at this particular location be able to sneak a peak? Did you rent a car or use an Uber ? Could someone who knows before hand when marketing will change the offers have contacts in the casino to obtain this info ? Could that result in getting you put on the PA exclusion list ? People have been put on that list for much less then the skills you want us to believe you have
I think for me, I just missed "the wave" when everyone was questioning MDAWGs claims. I don't believe I am "attacking him". I'm questioning what is dead obvious to anyone that knows anything about gambling, which is nearly every one on this forum.
Look how many people questioned his claims on WOV in the beginning. Look at how many people quit posting there, or were suspended. There was a lot of people that "held back" their thoughts due to the policy at WOV. For every 1 poster, there were at least 50 yelling at their screens wondering why SHAQ allowed it. Now, since administration allows it, he continues to post, but gets very few views, as well as responses.
Really, I'm just "late to the party". The only thing I am guilty of is not keeping quit. When someone says, "They can jump off the Empire State Building and fly to the Moon", it is time to say something. Most of these guys that make these claims did very poorly at math, because there is no way they would make the claims that they do. This has all been said before, but it is so true (and obvious).
The problem with some posters here, is they believe if you dislike KJ, then you can't say anything about the 2 or 3 other posters that make math defying claims. With the exception of MaxPen, he is criticizing KJ but he also criticizes Singer, so I must give him credit for that. Not to say I agree with him criticizing KJ, because I really am not sure what the issue at hand is. Some think it has to be one or the other - Criticize KJ or call out nearly impossible claims. If KJ told a lie, that has nothing to do with math defying gambling claims.
I hate to say this, but without KJ there would be no Vegas
Casino Talk. It would eventually dry up. Even though 90% of the chatter are users criticizing one another, it still allows for the occasional quality post/topic, however rare it may be. Without this daily back and forth the forum will dry up.
It's also no secret that this is the forum that houses the banned users of WOV. They migrate here. Many are top AP's. When you get many suspended or nuked members together, it will cause conflict. Like bringing Felons together in a prison, will cause fights. People still browse this forum to try and get a tid bit of information. Their punishment is reading through all the garbage to find the very small pieces of good stuff that are buried within. It is a trade off.
Oh, for the record, I have never had an account on WOV.
Prior to the last year, there was a small amount of riff amongst the users, but for whatever reason everyone is going at everyone with pure hatred.
Even if you had some inside source to get you the footage you are dreaming of, you think the casino keeps footage of a guy in the parking lot from more than 6 months ago? I have heard for general footage the requirement is they keep it either 14 days or 21 days. That is why when something happens like a slip and fall, and you want footage from the casino you have to have your attorney get on that quickly. Now for things involving payments like footage from the cage it might be longer, I don't know. How could you be the top AP in the world that you want us to believe and not know that casinos don't keep general footage very long?
Anyway, so you are going to try to get me on the exclusion list for card counting in Pa. Well guess what genius card counting isn't illegal in Pa. Isn't really illegal anywhere. But in Pa like many places they can tell you that you can't play BJ anymore, although technically if you read the statute, that isn't even clear. I always thought someone would challenge that, but never read where anyone did.
And finally, YOU claim I am not a card counter or AP, but here you say you are going to get me blacklisted for card counting. :D Which is it fella...make your mind up. Reminds me of the small group of people that either doxxed me or repeated the doxxed information of where I live. Then a short time later these same people jump up and down saying I don't live there and demand that I prove I do.
You trolls are nuts! I mean garnabby type nuts.
Who are these "some posters" who believe if you dislike KJ you can't say anything about other math defying posters...? huh?
This forum does fine without Kewl. Kewl just adds noise for the most part. The forum would dry up the sewage Kewl can't help but post. Yes. I'm not sure that matters. It is likely that sort of stuff that brought the cat-creep guy over here.
"Criticize KJ or call out nearly impossible claims. If KJ told a lie, that has nothing to do with math defying gambling claims."
You're not helping refute my suggestion. lol. What a Kewlism.
This is totally unrelated, but I find it interesting. During MDAWG's claims on WOV, I remember reading how forum posters thought they were going to "get revenge" by not posting on the forum, in turn thinking this will devalue the forum, monetary. The amount of traffic that the forum generates is a small fraction of the overall traffic it gets from internet search engines to other parts of the site.
The search engines not only create more traffic, but better "quality" traffic. The traffic that comes in from search engines, are the type of people that click on the "Gambling Ads", where the site owner is getting 35% of the losses from that person.(These kickbacks are as high as 60% for online slot losses). No one is clicking these links from the forum.
I remember there was chatter about the "daily" forum traffic being up or down due to MDAWG. It makes no difference.
Bottom Line: That forum could disappear tomorrow and it wouldn't affect their bottom line. Maybe 1 quarter of 1 percent, but that would be stretching it.
Will it disappear? No. It is SHAQs baby.
PositiveVariance, I need to address you and some things. First your common sense view of things does not play well here with these guys who are blinded by hate. But I welcome it. That in itself probably isn't good for you as far as any popularity contest. :D
I was not familiar with you until you showed up here, with your forensic take apart of the Rob Singer jackpot picture. Since then I have read everything you post here and find myself agreeing with 99%. Again this probably won't help you make friends here. ;)
And as someone, I guess AccountinQuestion surmised, I like your handle. That right there tells me a lot about how you think. But I would like to know more about your gambling history. Maybe you don't share that and that would be ok. Maybe you have shared it at the poker forum, which I don't read.
What is your history? Obviously an AP. Is that how you make a living? Is it poker related....is that why you are on the poker forum? Has anybody ever met you because you know, according to the haters here, you can't be here if you won't meet people and actually want to be anonymous on an anonymous forum. :D
About the biggest and only thing I disagree with any significance is what you posted about how you and Druff both view scammers that aren't charging people money differently than scammers that are. I get that scamming for money takes it next level, but scamming people with false information that they can get hurt by is very, very close in my opinion.
Take Mdawg for instance. Any player that tried a $100-$5000 spread playing double deck blackjack on the strip, would be 86ed and have a fresh new entry in the database. Now, yes there is some personal responsibility to not be an idiot and believe everything and be able to figure out the difference. BUT, there is also the counter-argument that these stupid ass things posted on Wizards forum WoV, get credibility because they are allowed on Wizards forum. "hey I saw it on Wizards forum it must be legit" type thing.
Mdawg even takes it further than that. For a while over at GF he was saying things like "Wizard approved" concerning his claims. Wizard NEVER< EVER< EVER, approved or endorsed Mdawgs claims. He simply verified that Mdawg had one small winning session. This behavior by Mdawg at least to me, escalates his behavior to scam, even without the element of taking money from players. And is a large part why I have been so adamant in continuing to call him out.
Anyway, a belated welcome. It is always good to add a non-nut, non-troll, non-agendaed member that just makes sense has no bias and uses common sense.
Once again you have no idea what your are talking about, and are putting words in my mouth. You just regurgitate old information. Morgantown PA and newer casinos have more capabilities then you realize. If you think they only have 6 months of video footage you’re sadly mistaken. The only knowledge you have regarding casinos is what others have posted. You don’t have up to date information. Only people who actually go to war with casinos everyday do. They certainly are not sharing anything with a fraud like you.
Now You didn’t answer the question dodge ball champion. Did you take the picture or was it someone else ?
Just rubbish. I only asked if he had met anyone because we could almost immediately discern he is not you and this theory could be put to bed.
All the haters here but I bet you've been banned from more forums than all of them. What's that say about you?
I would love to know how many sentences Kewl has ever typed back to back that were 100% honest and not misleading in some unknown way. Likely it is more than people would think but far less than most APs on here.
O and how do I know they keep footage for more then 6 months ? Because they pulled footage from The first month they were open a year later during an investigation regarding a play run at all three casinos. If you were at Grantvile then you would be correct.
So was it you taking the pic or another one of your sugar daddy’s ?
Seedvalue, you are clearly attempting to dox me by posting a picture which Dan Druffs Rule 3 prohibits, expressly stating "picture". I am not going to help you do so, nor give my permission.
I also never told anyone where you live or who your biological father is and where your extended family lives. I have No reason to do so. I may from time to time say just enough to let you know what’s up. Your smart enough to read between the lines. Your motivation for this fantasy life online however is baffling to me lol. A true case study
Carry on fraud J lol
I was first drawn to PFA for a thread on gambling scammer, Christopher Mitchell. It was something about the ridiculousness of him compared to other gambling scammers. I have been on several other AP type forums prior to this, but PFA was the first under the name "Positive Variance". If you are not familiar with PFA, this is a group of guys that have followed each other between at least 3 different forums, for the better part of 20 years.
As far as the forums I was on, I don't believe on any one forum I had more than a couple hundred post, but I was a very active reader of anything gambling related, since I was 13 or 14.
As far as AP:
Here I'm California, outside of Indian Casinos, it is illegal for a casino to "Bank their own games". As a 'work around' of the law, table games are allowed in California as long as they are 'Player Banked'. The issue is no players want to bank, therefore "3rd Party Banking Groups" were born. This is a business that operates inside the casino, that provides the casino with 'Bankers' at each table. The dealers function is still the same, except they take/give chips from the Bankers. The banker is essentially a 'chip sitter'. The card rooms and the Indian Casinos are always going after each other. There is actually a piece of legislation that will allow the Indian Casinos the right to challenge the legality of "3rd party bankers" as the Indian Casinos lose Hundreds of Millions annually to the CA card rooms. Law allows it since the local municipalities earn huge tax revenue from it.
How does the card room/casino make money? They collect a flat fee from the banking group per round. That fee is structured by the amount wagered for that round.
How does the banking group make money? The natural house edge built into the game, minus the fee they pay the card room per hand. The difference is the profit. On top of what they pay the card room per round, they also have to pay a monthly fee to the card room for the right to bank. I am familiar with one of these agreements, for a small 12 table room, it is now up to $90,000 per MONTH. This is on top of the collection fee they pay the house per round. A place like Commerce Casino is LA has to be close to $500k.
These 3rd party banking groups are only there for when no players want to bank. This is what I do, I "Player Bank". There is a lot that goes into this, I have to be careful as to what details I give away.
This has been discussed, 4 times in total very briefly on "Gambling with an Edge", most notably by "SmallCapGrowth". The info he gave was accurate. He could of had an extremely lucrative career, if he didnt give it up to -EV stuff, when he wasn't playing +EV. Something Richard Munchkin once said, "It is the Wild, Wild, West." This may have been true in the 90's, but is NOT the case today. Games are as safe as any Vegas Casino.
I believe this is a form of AP, some would disagree, which is fine. The money is important, not the title lol.
Years ago (8-10), I briefly posted on a couple forums about banking games (under another user name). I have never met any AP's in person. I think because what I currently do isn't traditional AP type stuff.
I don't believe I have mentioned it on PFA, Most of what I posted in the past on other gambling forums as well as here isn't going to give much away. Believe it or not there is a lot of strategy that goes into it. Game selection, time selection, player selection, dealer, location, ect.
Everyone that is playing in these casinos/cardroom is aware that they are not playing "against the house", and they have the right to "bank". It is no secret.
The most well known card room in California is Commerce Casino and Hustler, where Hustler Live takes place (Poker Podcast). I would prefer not to get into the "hours", as there is a lot of strategy involved, but I do "Just Fine" :-). Variance can get wicked at times. High edge games can often bring high variance.
In closing, on the very last episode of Gambling with an Edge (Mailbag) Richard and Bob shared their missed gambling opportunities and Regrets. Want to guess what Richards regret/ missed opportunity was???
Wow. Very, very interesting. Thank you for sharing.
Kinda a side story to my post above. The card room doesn't give a shit since it isn't there money. These "3rd party banking groups" consult with guys like Elliot Jacobson for advice on game protection. Let me first say, I like Elliot, I have nothing against him. You know how Elliot doesn't like card counters? In CA card rooms they are 6:5 Blackjack. Well the banking group was told that no card counter could beat a 6:5 game. Elliot has contracted with these Banking Groups in the past.
Guess what? They were wrong!
Now, I can't say with 100% certainly that it was Elliot that advised them on 6:5 being unbeatable, but I'd like to think it was :-) Maybe he will chime in here.
They never thought of the scenario of a guy like "SmallCapGrowth" would walk in there and spread $5-$2000. It may even have been $5-$5k max bet. They were just told, " Don't worry a 6:5 game can't be beat" or "The variance would be to high, no one will attempt it" lol. I guess they never thought of the probability that a guy could walk in there with a million dollar bankroll and work with a razor thin edge.
I don't remember his hourly EV, maybe someone can SIM it. He said he could sit there for hours unmolested. Remember, at Commerce casino, they get more action/high rollers than many Vegas casinos. Large bets aren't an issue, especially since it is the Banking Groups money. The card room justs makes a "reasonable attempt" to protect the games. They generally don't get AP's because the rules are so terrible (for the player).
On GWE SmallCap talks about APing the Baccarat Dragon side bet, at the time I believe the limits were around $1k on the Dragon. Variance would have been wicked paying 40:1
I communicate privately with Eliot on occasion. I think I can say with some certainty that he isn't going to come here and post. He really is retired and seems to be done with forums.
As Per 6:5 BJ, there was a guy, that went by Automatic Monkey that was on the blackjack forums when I started on them about 17 years ago. AM was a pretty smart guy. I don't believe card counting was his full time gig, but he did well for a long time. When 6:5 came to Atlantic City and no card counters would play, but he would. Just like you said, except on a smaller scale he would use a huge bet spread. The variance was huge, but if you are going to put in enough time, you don't have to be afraid of variance. And the big plus, was just as you said, casinos and casino personnel were so sure it couldn't be beaten that they just didn't care, even with a huge spread. AM played unmolested day after day for a number of years and kicked ass. I guess eventually someone got around to running a simulation and figured it out.
Casinos and casino personel are a funny group. They get something in their head and they stick to it without really even bothering to look into it. It works the other way too. Like I have seen casinos back off a card counter spreading 1-4 at an 8 deck game (average pen). The player isn't even playing a break even game, let alone a +EV game. But somebody gets it in their head that he is spreading 1-4 and a card counter and doesn't even bother to check and see if it is +EV. ;)
I didn't ever claim I saw you or the limits you were playing. I only ever saw who I assumed was your partner. I had seen that same guy years before playing FPWD at the Aliante Station in in about 2008. He was with a much younger Asian-looking guy who was playing BJ(the kind with cards). I wrote a long description of this before.
Axelwolf, My partner didn't even move to Las Vegas until 2011, so it couldn't have been him you saw in 2008 could it? In 2008, we both lived in Philadelphia.
You guys are mistaken. That is all there is to it. I guess you saw somebody that for whatever reason, you thought was my partner and/or me, but it wasn't. Back in the day, neither you nor MaxPen mentioned anything about that you thought I was Asian, or Hawaiian or whatever. Had you done so, I would have told you right then that you had the wrong person in mind.
I don't want to keep going over this crap, as I am really tired of it. I hold no ill will towards you or MaxPen, although he has grown particularly nasty about everything.
In thinking about the 6:5 scenario, without even running a sim, the 6:5 adds about 1.4 to the house edge, making it roughly a 2% house edge for an 8 deck game. With a .5% offset per true count, the game wouldn't turn +EV until true counts of better than +4. So in playing the player would be betting $5 at all counts +4 and below and then jump up to his max bet of five hundred dollars or in the case PV mentioned several thousand. Imagine betting $5, 98% of the time and then jumping straight up to a huge amount 2% of the time. It would be ultra obvious, but the key was they didn't care because they were certain it couldn't be beat.
I think AM even said at time pit folks were actually laughing at him.
What don't you understand. I am not going to keep going over this shit. If you guys want to keep at it, keep at it, but I will no longer respond. I think it was you that suggested this policy and you are right. This is something I should have done a long time ago.
I don't claim it to be you or him. I would have to go back to our conversations and posts on the forum, but you led me to believe it was your partner whom I saw at CF. I described him and what he was playing and the time he was playing. I guess it's possible it was not the same guy I saw in 2008, but they looked very similar, both played VP. Both seemed gay, and both seemed to like younger men.
There is nothing to go over or understand with this one because there is nothing you or anyone can say about the Bob thing to convince me otherwise. You were absolutely suggesting/hinting/planting seeds that you had a history with Bob N and were/had been in communication with him or could chat with him anytime. You may have not come right out and said it, but as I said, the implications were there and the posts were crafted that way intentionally. You made it seem as much more than what you are claiming now. I made special mental notes of this because I do know Bob well enough.
You are pissing me off now. Are you drunk again, or just being an asshole?
I am not discussing who I know or don't know anymore, and as for my partner, at the time both you and Maxpen seemed to think you saw us, I had no reason to doubt it. We were out at some casino almost every day. But if you think I am Asian, something neither of you ever mentioned at the times, then you have the wrong guy or are thinking of the wrong people. Just the same if you said, yeah I saw you...you are a black dude. Well then NO, you didn't see me.
How fucking hard is this to understand? I am not Asian.
Anyone who reads VCT (and who is not a sociopath or psychopath) in more than a cursory fashion will quickly become an expert on the characteristics of sociopathy and psychopathy whether they want to be or not.
Sorry KJ, Seed is right on this one. Cloud storage changed the video surveillance business from years ago. Even when I got out of owning a business 4 years ago it was cheap to send your security video to the cloud to store 6 months worth of video. In my case it made sense in case someone came back with an over served claim months after an accident. Years ago when it was videotaped, you had a months worth of tapes you rotated. Then it went to digital and you could hold it longer based on the quality of video with time skips and depending on the size of the drive. But sending it the cloud changed all that. It’s all a matter of how much storage you want to pay for and I’m sure the casinos see value in saving it.
As for the rest of the premise, I’ll stay out of that one.
I already clearly stated many times that I had probably never seen YOU. I described who I had seen and wondered if that was your partner. You are the one who seemed to confirm that it probably was. I agree, I have probably never knowingly seen you or your partner. It really is a moot point to me. So there's no reason to be stuck on that issue with me, you can discuss it with Max on what he thinks he knows.
I have no idea why you're pissed off, you can go back and read your own posts you have absolutely led us to believe what I said earlier regarding Bob N. Go find your posts, reread them, and then explain to me why you're pissed off.