Come on Padres, beat those Marlins top of 9th.
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Come on Padres, beat those Marlins top of 9th.
I bet on many strikeouts in the Brewers game and so far they're getting them. I also made a parlay bet with Cal Raleigh hitting a HR with the over and Brewers -1.5, quite a long shot.
Astros came from behind and won key moments including a weird call safe at the plate which couldn't be overturned. Brewers lost 0-1, never could deliver with 10 strikeouts then failed to score once the starter was taken out. The Miss didn't play enough innings to get 8 strikeouts, only 7 ks in 4 innings and 2 outs. It could have been the game costing mistake, but coach said he has pitched enough. The Dodgers look to be losing after tying up the game at 3 and 5 but are now down 5-9. I'll be very happy every time the Dodgers lose, I need them a little worse for my other bets to make sense. I need the Dodgers to not rest players ideally.
Was a bad day for overs as well. 5 overs, 8 unders and 2 pushes. I laid off 4 games with good pitchers but still went 4-5 with 2 pushes.
Tomorrow is another day. And there is some really warm weather hitting the east coast this weekend. Ball should be jumping.
Also seeing some totals edging up slightly. Seeing some totals of 9 and 9.5 that I think would have been 8.5 a month ago. To be expected, I guess.
I couldn't resist +1400 odds on a Shoetahni HR. Bet $70 instead of $170 because seemed too expensive. $70 pays over $1165. Would have been almost $2900. Awesome the HR leaving the Twins 5 run lead to regression survivable for my -1.5 -160. When I made the bet, I almost thought it stupid, and later before the bottom of 8th almost bet, -5.5 but I thought it was too crazy to assume a bigger lead. Almost took Dodgers +300 but didn't. Ohtani instead Im very pleased. Spending more on futures since my monthly loss was low with many more future bets made.ohtnai just had seemed to be ready to hit a monster and almost did in his last at bat, and Raleigh homered, felt like a good bet, but too many Brewers bets lost afterall.
Today Im betting the Astros, the Padres, the Dodgers and over 8.5, the Brewers, the Angels, the Padres.
I bet too much tomorrow and too many parlays I wish I could cancel just out of precaution and many seem too similar.
Today would have actually been a depressing nightmare based on my bets and parlays made last night. Except I took the Pirates, under 8.5, Torkelson and Mckinistry to get a hit and Falter to get 4+Ks. Saved by the bell.
Oh oh tani a HR 5 games in a row. Not +1600 this time, +160. I bet more than my usual on the Phillies to sweep the Red Sox, really need HRs in that game by Schwarber and Brice Harper for a big win today.
The Brewers are just that awesome, they seem to have no weaknesses in their lineup and every one of them is always taking an extra base or run. They are that good.
The Brewers are just that awesome, they seem to have no weaknesses in their lineup and every one of them is always taking an extra base or run. They are that good.
Im super greedy tonight betting on the Phillies ML, -1.5, Z2.5, Over 8.5, Luzaro 7+ Ks, Schwarber HR, Harper HR.
Brewers odds fell to +1600 to win the World Series. I must be onto something.
Brewers odds fell to +1600 to win the World Series. I must be onto something. I can do not wrong today, have won 90% of my bets and I bet all the winnings wherever Im not maxed out here. I will start playing other books soon. Holy cow the Dodgers were making me sweat tonight and the Twins just messed up. There was a great call where the batter was hit by a pitch so easy to miss because it hit his jersey.
Oh yeah, fuck yeah Schwarber homers in the bottom of the first. Lol I did not see today me winning many thousands.
What???? Fuck yeah Harper gets a HR! Didn't mention Max Kepler, but HR money on him too. Come on Kepler!
Ouch. I needed Luzardo to get one more K and so did he. He loaded the bases, walked in 2 and then obviously allowed a grand slam to put the Phillies down 6-5 after starting the inning ahead 5-0. This current state kills most of my bets until the Phillies retake the lead.
Wow down 6-5 and the Red Sox only have 2 hits.
Hahaha Aaron Judge Homers, I win $800.
The Phillies should not lose this game but probably will. Harper coming up, if he homers, money.
Again I needed something, a 2nd hit from caminero from the Ray's and he was hit by pitch. $600 shame if he can't get a hit during the rest of the game.
Blue Jays improved odds of winning the World Series +1400.
Luck. Phillies tie it and caminero got a second hit. Need them both to win for large parlays.
Well the Red Sox lost and the Rays are down in the bottom of the 9th. Sucks on parlays getting the hard parts then mismanagement and bad pitching loses your sure thing. That's baseball, had a great winning day and added plenty to my futures bets. Made a new bet on Schwarber as HR king, long shot at +1600 but he has been on fire.
Well the Red Sox lost and the Rays are down in the bottom of the 9th. Sucks on parlays getting the hard parts then mismanagement and bad pitching loses your sure thing. That's baseball, had a great winning day and added plenty to my futures bets. Made a new bet on Schwarber as HR king, long shot at +1600 but he has been on fire.
Both the Phillies and Red Sox showed playoff potential to get in and get out. They will not make the World Series. I will not have any bets on them. Im not interested in a 4th ticket to win the world series. I've won quite a lot this month, my winnings piling up inside these future bets. They count them all as losses. Even though the odds may come down, Im actually surprised Im not seeing many increases in cash out values. I've only seen changes in best season record.
Overs went 8-7 today. I bet them all. The overs trend has cooled off a bit over last few days. But there is a heat wave going to cover much of the country, especially each coast and middle of country, for the next number of days. Thursday is a light schedule with only 5 games, but I am expecting lots of runs over the next 3-4 days.
I couldn't actually see the Red Sox game, no wonder I decided not to pay $16 a month but $2000 in bets became 0. They would have paid a lot more than double. I had all the pieces and those guys getting home runs couldn't get 2.
Schwarber will cool off. These HR hitters are very streaky. Ohtani went 3 weeks with no HR's, and now has hit one in 5 straight games. Judge hits them in bunches as well.Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
As a Phillies fan, I root for them every year, no matter what. Don't always bet them, but I root for them. For the last 4-5 years, which has included a WS appearance and NJCS appearance, I have had concerns because the Phillies are basically a hitting team that relies heavily on the HR. In the summer months they are all crushing the ball. Come October it is 35-40 degree during night playoff games in Philly and HRs are harder to come by.
I think the way you win in October is with pitching. And the Phillies have 3 real good starting pitchers right now. Zach wheeler has been cy young caliber for several years (might actually win it this year. I don't even know where Christopher Sanchez came from. I thought he was a flash in the pan last year, but he is the real deal. Going to be an ace in this league for years. I hope the Phillies can keep him. And Suarez, is finally returning to form after missing most of last year with an injury.
3 strong starters and you can go al long way in the playoffs. Of course, bullpen is an issue. I think their bullpen guys are good enough for 7th and 8th inning. They need a closer. A legit closer. I don't know if they can get one at the trade deadline, but if they do, don't be so fast to write them off. They have all the pieces.
I was picking some parlays and accidentally picked under 8.5 in the Padres St. Louis game. Im going with that one heavy as probably my only bet tomorrow. I like the Blue Jays, I like the Orioles and I like the Astros and like the Angels. I might bet an additional $100 on each of these games and not even watch them or make any more bets.
I probably shouldn't. Im happy with the bets I've made on the Brewers and Astros but they're still both considered middle of the pack. It's hard to stop betting them. I also have a strange desire to simply bet all I can to be maxed out on my bets, which is now low $2000s for Brewers NL pennant and Astros World Series. It's a lot of money to lose use of for sure if things go badly. Im seeing great things ahead, others seeing value I see now. I just dont see other teams getting that much better from trades coming and mostly see them failing (teams Im not betting). I want to bet as much as I can to quit on later and hopefully at good percentages. We'll see that in locked up number one seeds I expect my Brewers and Astros to get. Ill bet them and if they keep winning Ill bet more.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJSchwarber will cool off. These HR hitters are very streaky. Ohtani went 3 weeks with no HR's, and now has hit one in 5 straight games. Judge hits them in bunches as well.Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
As a Phillies fan, I root for them every year, no matter what. Don't always bet them, but I root for them. For the last 4-5 years, which has included a WS appearance and NJCS appearance, I have had concerns because the Phillies are basically a hitting team that relies heavily on the HR. In the summer months they are all crushing the ball. Come October it is 35-40 degree during night playoff games in Philly and HRs are harder to come by.
I think the way you win in October is with pitching. And the Phillies have 3 real good starting pitchers right now. Zach wheeler has been cy young caliber for several years (might actually win it this year. I don't even know where Christopher Sanchez came from. I thought he was a flash in the pan last year, but he is the real deal. Going to be an ace in this league for years. I hope the Phillies can keep him. And Suarez, is finally returning to form after missing most of last year with an injury.
3 strong starters and you can go al long way in the playoffs. Of course, bullpen is an issue. I think their bullpen guys are good enough for 7th and 8th inning. They need a closer. A legit closer. I don't know if they can get one at the trade deadline, but if they do, don't be so fast to write them off. They have all the pieces.
If you are betting overs as I am right now, The Padres are a very tough team to bet. They just don't score many runs, particularly right now. Royals are another team that doesn't score a lot, despite that they did in Chicago this week. Often I will just skip betting the over with these teams, especially if they or their opponent has a decent pitcher pitching.Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
But I actually like the Cardinals-padres game to go over tomorrow. the total is a low 8, with temperatures of 94 degrees and wind blowing out to left field (will double check wind closer to game time). Darvish ERA is above 6 and Sonny Grey is above 4, despite a decent w-l record. This means the Cardinals usually score a lot of runs for him, because he gives up some. Add in the Cardinals bullpen is bad and I really like the over in this game, even though SD has screwed me often.
On the down side, Sonny Greys splits are better at home, but there is enough other factors I think this game goes over. Which of course means SD will win 2-1. :rolleyes:
Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
I enjoy talking baseball with you, but I have no clue what you are doing, or how or why you are making your bets. There must be some method to your madness that you feel these bets are of good value and/or +EV. (at least I hope) ;)
I on the other hand am just trying to hit long-term above 50%. My +EV comes from the bonus money, if I can avoid eating it all up playing the rollover. So this overs angle for the last month+ has allowed me to more than do that. I have actually made some money during that time. Much like I am looking forward to the first 2 weeks NFL season underdog angle, coming up in a couple month. Any angle that can keep me above 50%. above 55% even better. the last month almost 60%. ;)
I'm not betting the over in St. Louis. I am betting the over in Detroit with some hesitance because Detroit hasn't been looking too good lately, and neither has St. Louis or San Diego and because it is -130.
I'm actually betting on two teams I actually think will represent the two teams in the World Series. I'm intending on betting more than I would be comfortable with thinking the option to cash out early will be high. I probably have about $8,000-$9000 bet I actually forget, but my portion bet on the Brewers I wouldn't cash out for less than $25,000. I have a good mix between the Brewers and Astros, I'm unsure of all the money bet, because I made many bets in the small hundreds to allow cashing some tickets out and not others. It just takes forever. If on July 12th, Brewers were +4000, let's say 8/31 they are +700, I have bet with a lot of value and with a large bet in total. The success or lack of success compared against NY, Toronto, LA will be major factors influencing this, and of course also, their own winning records which I feel will surpass expectations. The Astros are actually very good and are playing teams not as good by far throughout the rest of the season. The Brewers are playing some good teams but have already played LA with 2 sweeps, so their remaining schedule is still on the harder side, but I think the Brewers will win the 4-game series against Chicago like a boss. The Brewers are going to be daddys to the Cubs. After this the Cubs can trade all they want, the Brewers might be getting Suarez. If I'm wrong, I'm possibly totally wrong and the whole thing could look like a mistake, but I don't see them being actually mediocre and I'm currently oblivious to it. If I'm right and totally right, I'm looking between $100,000 and $200,000 when the World Series is done. I've made so many bets, I can't remember them all with the most active parlay being Brewers-Astros and Brewers others to small degrees.
Also true I have been winning by betting on these teams
If they streak and if they win by a lot sometimes, I win on streaks and also cash parlays. Really in the parlays Im usually guessing on some other aspects, but at least I have profit boosts and better chances of filling at least some of the legs. I just can't believe the As will win tomorrow and I cannot believe Detroit will win tomorrow. I actually think these series will be quite revealing. Tarik will be pitching this weekend, will be interesting to see who the Blue Jays pin against him. As far as the Astros go, they should win all 4 against the As or else they should be embarrassed. Im partially scared Im wrong and 2 tremendous losses could be against the As. These are should win games, the As have been so terrible I cannot also imagine less than 3/4 for the Astros. They need all the easy wins under their belt they can get.
The Tigers have been swept by the Pirates which blows my mind, yeah Detroit isn't what people have been betting on.
I keep feeling like I'm betting on today and tomorrow and everyone I meet is betting on today and yesterday.
Funny Astros pitcher is Jason Alexander like George actor from Seinfeld, not that there's anything wrong with that. He actually has little experience in the major leagues and is 32, the Astros have recently activated him. This is a red flag possibly. It's an experiment the Astros want to see how he will do against a team which should be dominated. This speaks to the over, but the pitching could be better than expected. Over under I cannot make up my mind.
Ten seconds later, I bet over 8.5 +110. Under 8.5 -120 didnt seem attractive like I couldn't believe it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by smurgerburger
Brewers odds of winning NL pennant +800 now, was +900, was +1000, was +1200, was +1500, etc. All my bets on them were at higher odds so that's the EV. Im actually disappointed seeing them fall, I was going to spend a few hundred more last night but wanted to take my chance betting today's games first and buy up with profits.
Would you mind talking baseball?Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawgQuote:
Originally Posted by smurgerburger
My $10,000 parlay long shot:
Orioles under 8.5, Blue Jays over 8.5, Padres under 8.5, Houston under 8.5.
I actually have very little confidence in my bets today, but I didn't have confidence yesterday and lucked out hard even with the Phillies costing me thousands by blowing the game. At least Im no longer betting things hard I know nothing about like Cricket and tennis.
Practice what I preach, not what I do. Too many bets out, Im adding bets by watching the scores, and there is some worry early. These bets are must bet bets though.Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
Lance McCullers out on 15 IL for blister back dated, not happy seeing this. Sal Frelick back from IL, very happy to see this for the Cubs come Monday.
On a day I said I may not bet, I've bet $1800.
Only 5 games today. I like(d) them all to go over. really like Houston and the A's over.
Since there are only 5 games and I am betting a little more per game, to try to hit a good amount of play towards the rollover. I don't just double or triple my bets. Instead, I make some other bets related to a lot of runs being scored.
So for Baltimore/Cleveland. My extra bets were a 1st inning run scored which won and over 5 for first 5 innings, which won. Still lost the bigger bet of over 8.5 for the game, but in this case the "related bets' saved me and I am only down a very small amount after the first game.
Hoping for and predicting a lot of runs scored in the 4 remaining "night games".
Maybe. If it comes down to the Astros and the under for me, I will hedge tonight. If anyone had money on me betting tennis today after I said I didnt anymore, I've bet $500 so far. I like the matches early when odds under -200. Then it's up to luck.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
Tiafoe already up 3 games to 1 so my first set and match bets.
That shit worked out for me because after the first two legs hit, I bet more on the Blue Jays and the over thinking I could use the money to hedge the big parlay ticket. Unfortunately from there once the Padres and the under were knocked off, I started chasing the Astros. Screwed by Costanza, can't stand ya. Of course Im losing confidence in the Astros, Paredes is probably out for the regular season but definitely out now. The Astros need some replacements hitting now they need more than pitching.
Ha The Astros have George Alexander and John Singleton on the team.
I bet more on the Brewers to win the pennant and some eith them to win the NL pennant along with the Blue Jays as insurance. I have zero bet on LA, NYY, NYM, Phillies, $50 on Cubs I might cancel.
Brewers down to +700 now to win the pennant, shame I only bet $50 +4000 for them to have the best record in baseball. I thought I would bet more later but the bet wasnt available for days then I didnt take it at +1800 and bet pennant and world series instead.
Overs went 2-3 today. That is 15-18 over last 3 days. Seems the gravy train that was betting overs has temporarily (hopefully) paused. :( I am still looking for next few days to be big "over" days. But there are a few games I will be laying off on Friday. Maybe as many as 4.
Todays 2-3 actually wasn't that bad for me as I hit some over "related" bets, like first inning run and 5 inning totals. Wenet 4 of 6 with those smaller bets. So not a bad day. Lost just a few bucks while playing through a good amount of rollover.
The one game that really surprised and disappointed me today was Houston and the A's. I bet the over at 8 last night. It was 8.5 this morning and 9 this afternoon. I felt really good about this game going over. The A's did their part. Houston sucked!
Anyway, tomorrow is another day.
addon: BTW, looking at the Totals for Friday and making some early bets (before they move up), these totals are definitely ticking up. Line setter have definitely picked up on the overs hitting the last month.
Yeah Houston sucked and couldn't get it together. Im actually thinking about laying off some Houston bets and putting them on the Blue Jays. Actually a lot has changed in the app. Previously all my bets would be available to be canceled full refund if the odds hadnt changed. Today though the bets I made today were unavailable for cash out but older ones at the same odds would allow cash outs.
Oh actually I forgot my theory about the game, the coach thought the A's were so bad, he was testing other players. John singleton and Jason aalexander would not be getting playing time against teams other than the As.
The Dodgers have a losing record against winning teams over .500, 26-28. The Dodgers cannot be actually the favorites. The day will come soon they are higher odds. They cannot miss all the holes and keep being the favorites.
My bets from earlier are now starting to be valued
Example Brewers +4000 to win the World Series now have cash out values of $257 for a $150 bet. My bets last week to max out Brewers World Series winner $600 +2500, now valued at $660 cash out.
Wow. Horrible first hour. For me as far as runs. Seeing a bunch of 0-0 and 1-0 games.
Yeah that sucks as badly as the Astros.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
I really had hoped a pure sweep of the As and the Marlins by the Astros and Brewers. Im thinking Houston might be set to odds accurately and accordingly.
I really had hoped a pure sweep of the As and the Marlins by the Astros and Brewers. Im thinking Houston might be set to odds accurately and accordingly. At least the Cubs are shitting the bed against the White Sox.
When you bet on baseball you bet on statistics more than the players. Shit just has to happen at some point. I dont think the Yankees got much from the Rockies 3rd basement to help win that much. I think he will underperform and Im glad he didnt land at my betting teams. Suarez I hope will go to the Brewers or the Astros, he isn't going to NY. Toronto will be getting more respect playing how they should after a winning streak with more winning streaks where things just happen. The A's are embarrassing the Astros. Is Julia-Louis Dreyfus pitching for rhe Astros now.
The Astros are playing like losers, the Brewers are starting to scare and Toronto keeps being the right pick for victories and large victories. Im sure they have their bad moments, but they are the best team in baseball today by record. Get beat betting on them unfortunately before pretty bad and I missed out today.
Things picked up some after that first hour. My over bets went 6-7 (laid off SD, as they just don't score). I also played Dan Druffs 2 picks which went 1-1, but Colorado won @ +170, so that was a win of 3/4 of a unit, making my losses for the day minimal.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
Still a fourth consecutive day of overs not doing much. I expected a lot more homeruns and games like Baltimore/Colorado and Phils/Yankees. Going to stick with betting overs. It feels like a big overs day is coming.
Detroit is really terrible right now. Skubel pitching Saturday, but they are so bad right now, I am considering taking a shot with Toronto @ +175
.
I don't follow the MLB closely - but this story caught my interest
Nick Kurtz of the Athletics had an amazing day yesterday - from the link:
"Then, on a nondescript Friday night in downtown Houston, Kurtz launched himself into baseball lore. He played one of the best games in Major League Baseball’s 150-year history, hitting four home runs and collecting six hits during a 15-3 shellacking of the Houston Astros at Daikin Park.
Kurtz is the 20th man to hit four home runs in a major-league game. None of the other 19 were younger than 25. Kurtz did it at 22 years and 135 days old during his 66th major-league game.
Kurtz is the first player in baseball history to finish a game with at least six hits, six runs and eight RBIs."
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/651...e-four-homers/
Add a single and double to the 4 homeruns for a 6 for 6 night. On Thursday night Kurtz was 3 for 5 with 2 doubles. All told in his last 10 at bats, 9 for 10, 4 homeruns, 3 doubles, 9 rbi's. That is a good month for a lot of players. :)Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke
The kid is a monster. 6'4', 240 lbs. He and the A's are fun to watch (especially if you are betting OVERS). If the A's can aquire some pitching, they might be REAL fun to watch by the time they move to Las Vegas. :cool:
119 different players have had 6 hits in a gameQuote:
Originally Posted by kewlJAdd a single and double to the 4 homeruns for a 6 for 6 night. On Thursday night Kurtz was 3 for 5 with 2 doubles. All told in his last 10 at bats, 9 for 10, 4 homeruns, 3 doubles, 9 rbi's. That is a good month for a lot of players. :)Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke
The kid is a monster. 6'4', 240 lbs. He and the A's are fun to watch (especially if you are betting OVERS). If the A's can aquire some pitching, they might be REAL fun to watch by the time they move to Las Vegas. :cool:
Rennie Stennett, in 1975 is the only MLB player to have more than 6 hits in a game - he had 7
but only 16 different players have ever scored 6 runs in a game
no MLB player has ever scored more than 6 runs in a game
and no MLB player has ever had more than 4 homers in a game
Despite that I am on this "overs" kick, looking to bet overs in the hot weather, I only bet 10 of the 16 games over today. I took a pass on, Phils/yankees, Toronto/detroit, Tampa/Cinn, A's/houston, LAD/Boston and mets/SF. Various reasons why I wasn't crazy about the overs in those games.
So....this will probably be the day that overs go 14-2 and I miss out on half of them. :D That would be alright though.
And that time may have come. Judge is out Today, getting an MRI on his elbow. If there is a problem that keeps him out a few week, that could spell big trouble for the Yankees, who have already fallen 5.5 games back in the division.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
I also didnt take the over with Detroit. To justify it, I made a parlay bet with both pitchers having decent strike out numbers and Detroit winning. I took the over in the Guardians KC game.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
I spent about $300 so far betting Brewers World Series +2000 $50 tickets to pay $1050. I think I'm going to start buying some as $20 tickets at this price for slot attendant tips. They'll get those instead of cash. Now I dont like how the much recent past is doing for my enthusiasm as both winning and losing streaks are all part of the true team win percentage. The Blue Jays could be that impressive. 8 game winning streaks are for bad teams and 12 game streaks are for really good teams. I'd really hate for this to blow up in my face with the Brewers and the Astros falling apart. Both teams need to get some trade wins and I think one of two will. I think if they were trading to the bigger teams like Philadelphia, NYM, NYY, the trade would already be done. Im sure they Brewers and the Astros both have trade capital they want to bargain with. Ill still have a shot with the Angels if the new pitching draft pick comes up quickly like in 2 weeks or less or not at all. He throws 98 i think if not 100. While my traded as writes I remembered something about something about what someone can't do. I remembered something else. I keep forgetting what they are. It's definitely instant block out.
Overs went 7-8 today with one push. As I mentioned, I only wagered 10 of those game. I went 6-4. So I definitely threw out the right games that I didn't think would go over. Really, if I don't think a game is going to go over, by default that means I think it will be under and I should bet it that way. But I just can't bet many unders right now in the heat of summer with ball traveling. I would rather just lay off some games I don't like.
I also picked Toronto over Detroit @ +175, as I mentioned last night. And I played Dan Druff's pick of SD. Both won. So a pretty good day.
Druff made his pick so late, as he often does, that I couldn't get it in before the game started. I had to live bet it, so got slightly worse odds and was limited in the amount I could bet, to about half what I normally bet. But again, a pretty good day and worked off a lot of rollover while making a profit.
Still waiting and think a BIG overs day is coming. Sundays and almost all day games conflicts with that as Sundays have been mostly under. But I am going to keep firing. As long as I am winning, even a little bit and working through rollover, I am going to stick with this overs strategy, as long as it stays hot and the ball travels further. But they are making it harder now with higher totals on some games. I see 3 different games on Sunday with Totals of 10 or more. And none of them are in colorado, Sacramento or wrigley with wind blowing out. Those are the usual places for 10+ over/unders. So they ARE getting bumped up.
Im embarrassed the Brewers and the Astros faltered to the Marlins, but that is statistical. Cannot be swept by the Marlins but if so must take ground against the Cubs from my lips to God's ears. I dont think either are dogs all through, I think my bets odds will be very certain. It's a weird scene right now things have kept the leaders all struggle. Im not sure which team is worse, Detroit, Houston, Milwaukee, NY. The NL East is looking pretty good right now. So every milestone at this point in the season will be truly impressive starting with 70 wins because 60 wins has been like an invisible invincible wall for teams. It will take this month to separate the better teams. During August the Astros should be getting a lot of people back making the team better on paper.
The Marlins aren't the horrible team they used to be. They are 50-53, so almost .500. They are 20-8 in their last 28 games and 6-2 since all-start break. So they are no longer the "patsy" they used to be. For that matter, White Sox and A's are playing better. Both are capable of beating anyone on any night. It is a mistake for teams to look at the schedule against some of these teams and think "easy win".Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
But it is truly amazing that some of the teams that are suppose to be the best teams are really struggling right now. Yankees are now 6.5 games back of Toronto. And they got the news today that Judge is going on the IR. Not sure how long. They think maybe it won't be for long and he can hit (DH), just not play the outfield and throw the ball. I guess you don't need your elbow to hit. :D
April 19 to May 1
The Toronto Blue Jays faced their worst struggles in 2025 during the first half of the season, particularly from April 19 to May 1, when they were struggling with a record of 4-12. This period marked a significant decline in performance, leading to concerns among fans about the team's ability to compete effectively.
BlueJaysNation
+2
The Blue Jays have come together, it's up to them if they want to be passed up, and that was a long time ago. I still haven't bought straight Blue Jays bets, because the odds have been coming down on me and I hadn't expected them to stay this good. I have plenty of coverage for the Blue Jays winning the pennant along Milwaukee, but both are long shots. Obvioulsy I'm feeling some anxiety I may have completely lost over $10,000 or near it if some bets are cashable at profit. I suppose it is a little bit of anxiety I'm feeling seeing them losing because I wonder when any of these teams but the Blue Jays will stop losing.
I was kind of thinking the Marlins were a better team but it wouldn't do the Astros any good. Perhaps betting against my teams should be an option. Duh huh.
Bad day for overs. Not sure what it is about Sundays other than all day games. :(
You can stop betting overs if you want to stop because any decent bet fills your needs.Quote:
Originally Posted by kewlJ
I have no idea how regional restrictions work, regional restrictions don't have anything to do with geography, they make no sense. I want to see the Mets game in SF, and I cannot due to regional restrictions.
The Brewers and Astros are not really listed as teams for anyone listed highly on trade discussions. I'll most likely be disappointed.
Im so angry I cannot see the Mets game with my mlb subscription. I look at my espn app and I look at Google and I can't be sure what is actually going on, bsse runners are not lining up and not even because of a delay.
The little Atari like graphics showing you what the game is doing is so bad. I was watching once and the hame showed a ball tbe pitcher fielded and said whoever hits ground ball to right field. People bet off that information and I dont even think espn really endeavors to display accurate information and doesnt guarantee it because they know some of it is wrong or bogus.
What are you blacked out of seeing 1 team? That is the way it works for most of the country.Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
However here in Las Vegas, 6 teams claim Las Vegas as part of their territory. The 5 California teams and Arizona diamondbacks. That is a lot of games I am blacked out from seeing. It is ridiculous since I am paying for a subscription. That means on a day that all 30 teams are in action (15 games), I might only get to see 9 of them. That is why I like to watch The Big Inning and at least see parts of some of the games I can't otherwise see. I presume when the A's get here in 3 years, I will only be blacked out of 1 team like everyone else.
I just went back over my overs betting from late June. I am still up pretty significantly. I am going to stick with Overs for a couple more weeks, in places where weather is hot, and there aren't really top pitchers going. I think there are plenty more overs still to be had. And since all I really need to do is break even to make money, I am riding this strategy for a couple more weeks until Mid August.
Based on recent game results for Houston, their August schedule actually looks scary and not weak anymore. Th Mariners and Rangers are now only both 4 games behind them. The Astros need to get back to not allowing many runs and getting many strikeouts. They n3ed to get hitting again it is ridiculous hitting like Pittsburgh. There are 3 more days to have dominance to display by trades and by plays. Those bats need to start hitting but Paredes was their main dude and he isn't coming back. If the Brewers dive too, that's going to be hard to deal with. They need to get their pitchers rest by being on the field hitting and scoring all the time. I really dont like Ward from LAA, I think he sucks or at least does for for LAA. No idea where he is going but Houston would need him. 5 players from opening day lineup gone and damn it if Paredes isn't a major injury, their RBI leader. After what the As did to them, I thought the Astros are trying to go far in the playoffs with the best possible team which looked so much better until a week ago. I didn't think I could have been picking a pure loser with Houston, if their odds fall, then those bets are stuck and most are now, so I think the book will raise odds on Houston back to +1200. Cash out unavailable so quite certain.
I really dont want to publicly fail with my bets, but it is too late for that. Season doesnt end until November unless told otherwise. I just wanted two teams ahead of the pack. I've definitely either lost my touch or never had any but Im sure I did. I really need the Brewers to get hot again for unfortunately my peace of my mind.
I took the Mets and the Mets -1.5 because I couldnt get but +105 SF. SF sucks. It came so close it was unreal to be waiting for the game to be over and then it wasnt and I saw bases loaded with 2 outs. Good teams get into those situations and win. SF sucks. I can easily count them out just so often, I always lose betting them.