Quote:
Originally Posted by
MisterV
KJ, I am not a blackjack player but I know that it takes awhile to track the cards to verify what the count is, correct?
Given that, how short are the short sessions you play, and if they're short how can you accurately determine the count quickly?
Do you bet minimum til the count is right, then bet more, win, and immediately close out and leave?
MisterV, most evaluations start on the floor with pit calling upstairs to request an evaluation. So there has to be something that triggers that evaluation. Something that the pit see, that makes them uncomfortable. A player starting off betting $50 who suddenly ups his bet to $400, $500. Yeah, they will notice that, but there are many players that escalate their wagers. Players losing, bet more trying to quickly recoup losses. (That is called chasing losses). Progressive bettor increase wagers. Players winning, often "chip up" or bet more, trying to capitalize on a "winning streak". These are all longterm losing strategies, and the casino would love all these kinds of players. So raising bets alone, isn't the "tell". Again, the big tell is the retreat back to that small bet $50 at the shuffle. If you make that one of your exit triggers, you avoid that "tell".
A real evaluation takes 30 minutes. But they may see enough to make a determination in half that time if the count fluctuates fast enough. So to get to the point that an evaluation is requested and then the evaluation has to take at least 30 minutes.
So here are my exit triggers:
1.) I will exit a predetermined negative counts just because I would rather find a new game than play negative counts (sometimes the game right at the next table). This first exit trigger can results in some
very short sessions. I have sat down had the count go significantly negative in 2-3 rounds and exited. That would be a 2 minute session. (extreme)
2.) is the previously mentioned, exit at the shuffle after showing my big bets rather than retreat back to small bet. So I sit down, playing off the top of a fresh shuffle. Count hovers around zero or slightly positive for a while as it tends to do. So Maybe I am betting $50, maybe occasionally $100 on a slightly positive count. Halfway through the shoe a lot of small cards come out and count rises. I bet $200, then $400, then maybe $600. Lets say $600 is my max bet. After a number of rounds betting my max bet, the cut card comes out meaning it is shuffle time. Whether I have won or lost, that is my exit trigger rather than retreat back to a small $50 wager. So that is 1 shoe of play, probably about 15 minutes, depending on number of players and if players are playing side bets.
3.) Lets say neither #1 or #2 has occurred, I will exit after 30-40 minutes, just because I don't want too much of my play on "tape".
These 3 exit triggers assure a short session and makes a really big win.....the kind of big win, someone has to answer for, less likely. Not impossible, but less likely. And even if there is something about your play that triggers an evaluation, there just isn't enough time. You are gone before a determination.