Anyway...
at Arizona (Medlen) +178 vs Houston (g. Cole)
Starts 6:40 P
Still looking at Angels
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Anyway...
at Arizona (Medlen) +178 vs Houston (g. Cole)
Starts 6:40 P
Still looking at Angels
Looks like I shoulda passed with the public Braves under and gone with the non-public Cubs under.
Oh well.
Hopefully Reds under holds.
Decided to skip the Angels game. Done for the night.
Go Dbacks
1-2 yesterday
Here's two same game picks, starting at 1:15pm PDT:
Detroit (J. Zimmerman) +140 at Kansas City (Hammel)
Detroit/KC - Under 9.5 -120
I hesitated hitting "bet" on the under when it was -115 and it moved to -120 seconds later. So annoying.
Maybe more picks later
Next games up:
at White Sox (H. Santiago) -1.5 +215 vs. Minnesota (Lynn)
Miami (Caleb Smith) at Cincinnati (Mahle) - Under 8.5 -110
Starting at 4:10 PDT
One more:
Boston (E. Rodriguez) at Texas (Hamels) - Under 9 +101
Starts 5:05 PT
Won the first two Detroit-related picks, though the +140 side was razor thin close (thanks to 2 errors on routine plays by the Tigers).
TOTAL ON 5/2: 34-29-2, +7.188 units
5/3:
*GAME 2* Toronto (Biagini) at Cleveland (Plutko) - Under 10 -105 - LOST -1
TOTAL: 0-1, -1 units
5/4:
Miami (W. Chen) at Cincinnati (Romano) - Under 9 -115 - WON +0.870
San Francisco (Stratton) at Atlanta (Foltynewicz) - Under 9 -105 - LOST -1
at Arizona (Medlen) +178 vs Houston (G. Cole) - LOST -1
TOTAL: 1-2, -1.130 units
5/5:
Detroit (J. Zimmerman) +140 at Kansas City (Hammel) - WON +1.40
Detroit/KC - Under 9.5 -120 - WON +0.833
at White Sox (H. Santiago) -1.5 +215 vs. Minnesota (Lynn) - LOST -1
Miami (Caleb Smith) at Cincinnati (Mahle) - Under 8.5 -105 - WON +0.909
Boston (E. Rodriguez) at Texas (Hamels) - Under 9 +101 - LOST -1
TOTAL: 3-2, +1.142 units
TOTAL 5/3-5/5: 4-5, -0.988 units
GRAND TOTAL: 38-34, +6.200 units
Overs: 1-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 23-17-2
Sides: 12-13
I didn't realize this before, but Dan, are you betting exact 1 unit on everything, like always betting $100? I usually just bet a unit if it's the dog and enough to win a unit if it's a favorite.
I am always betting between 1 and 1.1 units.
If it's a dog, I bet 1 unit.
If it's a favorite, I will bet up to 1.1 units, depending upon the line. So if it's something like -140, I will just win substantially less than a unit.
I prefer to do this way so I don't get my ass handed to me if I bet a favorite and it doesn't win.
But since I don't bet many big favorites (in fact, I don't think I've done any yet), this doesn't really affect much.
Last-minute bet on 10:10am game:
Toronto (M. Estrada) at Tampa (Archer) - Under 8 -110
There were 3 "Trapper John" games today.
One was this one -- under 8 with two pitchers who had terrible records. Final score 2-1. Ding!
The second was Pittsburgh +112 on the road at Milwaukee. Crappy Chad Kuhl was up against the surprisingly effective Chase Anderson. So you can get a slight dog on Kuhl on the road against a better Milwaukee team and pitcher? Huh? Indeed, the Pirates are up 9-0. Considered this one, but ended up skipping it.
The last one was the under on Oakland/Baltimore. Featuring the bad Andrew Triggs versus the horrendous (9.64 ERA) Alex Cobb. It's 1-0 in the 3rd right now.
Three games which would appear to be obvious choices to the casual bettor (two overs and a side bet on Pittsburgh), and two decisive losses plus one on pace to lose.
Betting MLB baseball, everyone.
Anyway, I'll take my 1-0 day and be done.
Picked up +0.909 units today.
GRAND TOTAL: 39-34-2, +7.109 units
Overs: 1-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 24-17-2
Sides: 12-13
Mets (Conlon) at Cincinnati (Bailey) - Under 9.5 -106
Public money right now is very much on the over.
Starts 4:10pm PDT
I have to do this... out of principle...
Boston (Pomeranz) +205 at Yankees (Severino)
And while we're being contrarian...
Mets (Vargas) at Cincinnati (L. Castillo) - Under 9.5 -123
Both starting very shortly.
Three more:
at White Sox (Giolito) +132 vs. Pittsburgh (Nova)
White Sox/Pittsburgh - Over 9 -115 (you can get this line on Bovada, it's -125 to -130 elsewhere)
Detroit (Fiers) at Texas (Minor) - Under 9.5 -117
Starting at around 5:05pm.
Early game.. an under in.... Colorado?!
Angels (Barria) at Colorado (T. Anderson) - Under 12 +102
Easy cover with the Rockies.
I'll share a secret with you guys.
The Rockies can't hit.
This isn't the Rockies you've grown to know and love.
Even in Coors they are struggling to score, and their pitching has also improved.
Not to say that you should keep firing Coors Field unders, but I'm saying that it's not the complete crapshoot it was in prior years.
The Padres have scored just 2 fewer runs than the Rockies so far.
Okay here's a last minute pick for a 4:05pm PDT game:
San Francisco (Stratton) at Philadelphia (Pivetta) - Under 8.5 -105
Nothing today for me. Probably have some tomorrow.
I changed my mind.
One pick tonight, involving the Dodgers:
Cincinnati (Mahle) at Dodgers (Buehler) - Under 7.5 -110
Battle of two young pitchers with a lot of upside. Also a cool night at Dodger Stadium where the ball doesn't fly much.
Didn't want to see the Dodgers losing, but at least it helped my under cover.
Here's my record:
As of 5/6: 39-34-2, +7.109 units
5/7:
Mets (Conlon) at Cincinnati (Bailey) - Under 9.5 -106 - LOST -1
TOTAL 5/7: 0-1, -1 units
5/8:
Boston (Pomeranz) +205 at Yankees (Severino) - LOST -1
Mets (Vargas) at Cincinnati (L. Castillo) - Under 9.5 -123 - WON +0.813
at White Sox (Giolito) +132 vs. Pittsburgh (Nova) - LOST -1
White Sox/Pittsburgh - Over 9 -115 - WON +0.870
Detroit (Fiers) at Texas (Minor) - Under 9.5 -117 - LOST -1
TOTAL 5/8: 2-3, -1.317 units
5/9:
Angels (Barria) at Colorado (T. Anderson) - Under 12 +102 - WON +1.020
San Francisco (Stratton) at Philadelphia (Pivetta) - Under 8.5 -105 - LOST -1
TOTAL 5/9: 1-1, +0.020 units
5/10:
Cincinnati (Mahle) at Dodgers (Buehler) - Under 7.5 -110 - WON +0.909
TOTAL 5/10: 1-0. +0.909 units
TOTAL 5/7-5/10:
4-5, -1.388 units
GRAND TOTAL:
43-39-2, +5.721 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 27-20-2
Sides: 12-15
Milwaukee (Woodruff) at Colorado - Under 11.5 -110
at San Diego (Lauer) +127 vs. St. Louis (L. Weaver)
Two blowout losses yesterday.
Here's a last minute home dog:
**GAME 1** at Detroit (Boyd) +134 vs. Seattle (M. Gonzalez)