Quote:
Originally Posted by
Rob.Singer
I don't mind answering decent questions like this. And naturally, an obsessed sicko like eddie won't like that we've stopped back here at Tahoe for a week on our way back to S. Dakota after going to a SF wedding, so I have the time to.
I'd say about 2000 hands on avg., which is 10,000 coins in. My speed was 1400 accurate hph as an AP, but since the new strategy was developed I don't rush.
An avg. session is about four hours. One ended on the second hand, another took more than 12 hours. Given that my avg. win/session played (including losing sessions) has been over $3000, my % of bankroll win is nearly 6% overall. In just the winning sessions, it's quite a bit higher. However, this includes sessions where I lose money as well as "failed" sessions where I have to quit after winning anywhere from $1 to $2499. Having to quit means I've played thru all of my credits. There is never a total loss of bankroll, because of the numerous amounts of soft profit 40+ credits cashouts along the way.
Ah, yes, the soft profits. This is where Rob plays a game with himself. He will occasionally cash out a ticket, stick it in his pocket, then insert more money into the machine. He says he usually does this after a full house. Does it change his results? No. He is still up or down the exact same amount. There is zero effect on outcome. But what it does serve to do is muddy up the waters for anyone trying to draw a bead on what he is doing.
He starts with a 57K bankroll. And he had three 57K bankrolls. He says he has an 85% success rate at getting the $2500 or higher win with just one 57K bankroll. From these two stats one would assume he has a failure rate of 15% of losing the 57K. Failure rates are important. You can calculate things from it. Like you would have a 1 in 44 chance of losing two 57K bankrolls in a row. And a 1 in 267 chance of losing all three 57K bankrolls in a row.
A trip a week to the casino is 50 times a year. Ten years and its 500 visits. That would be like a dozen times Rob would have lost two bankrolls in a row, down to his last bankroll and sweating bullets. And he dodged the bullet of losing three bankrolls in a row, which would wipe him out, even though it should happen about twice in 500 sessions.
Thats what the overview is. But Rob muddies all that up with the soft profit bullshit about not really losing all of the 57K bankroll. So much so that any math professor would be driven nuts by his bullshit.