Originally Posted by
kewlJ
Thanks (not really) for bringing it to my attention, mickey. I don't really care what redietz says. I certainly am not going to bother answering him over there. If he wants to discuss it here I could reply.
But really you responded for me mickey. My very good start was not just NFL, although Half smokes first 2 week's angle was a big part of it as underdogs kicked ass those first 2 weeks. Druff also started 6-1, I think. So that was 2/3 right there. And the college unders the second week which I announced before any of the games kicked ass as well. I was only betting the unders on the completive games, with 2 normal conference teams. I was not being games like Oklahoma and Est bubble fuck state that went 77-10. The reason I thought the unders were a good bet for a couple weeks was the new running clock rules. I thought that was more of an adjustment than people (and the books) were making it. And it was for the week I bet. I intended to bet a second week, but, I was out playing blackjack all night and never got that second weeks bets in.
So that is where my +25 in the first few weeks came from. It was all documented what I was betting before the games were played. Unfortunately, after that I started relying more on my own picks, a lot of +3, +3.5. +7, +7.5 picks in both college and pros and went down hill for a few weeks. this week was better for me both college and Pro so far.
I just want to finish the next few weeks at .500 or close and I will be elated.
Does Redeitz understand that the +EV of this for me was NOT winning games, but rather the 21k in bonus money?