Talking about baseball

I am trying to find little angles to bet on for the next few weeks. Probably more individual situations rather than a general angle. Just so I can keep working through rollover until football season. I can bet anything that is a 50-50 type proposition, so I could even bet NFL preseason, but I don't want to do that. I am trying to do a little better than 50-50. 52 or 53% is a big difference in what I make per cycle.

If it wasn't for trying to find something to work through rollover, I would be content to just sit on my 4 division wagers and watch the games play out each day.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by MaxPen

This dude is a fraud. He just tries to piece together things that he imagines goes on based on a culmination of bits and pieces of stories he pulls from the Internet. Clown world.

---

I woke up today and bet Pittsburgh $100 +175, Houston $100 -225, Seattle $100 +105 @ NYM, and Brewers $800 -145 starting pitcher to be announced.

Im in for over $2,000 on the Brewers. Im betting half my expected winnings on them by 1.5 Hopefully the Miz will pitch..

Ouch fallible and batting practice for the Reds.

Well after this post, I bet $75 +1500, $100 +1700 and $60 +1100. The Brewers can still win by 2 yet.

I said they were an Oh Baby team and Oh baby!

Oh baby! Won so much money.

I took a large bet last night on SD and lost. Since things were perfectly acceptable this past week with almost all my bets winning, Im out on all the other games and just sticking with the Brewers, betting over $2000 today and rhe over.

I did manage to lose a large bet of $1000 on the Padres following all this fun and excitement. Im betting between $3000 and $4000 today on the Brewers.

Well sweet I wasnt feeling this victory. Im not betting so much tomorrow, only $500 probably

Congratulations to the Brewers for tying their own franchise record of 13 games on Friday and breaking their record by winning their 14th game in a row. I kept saying I had a feeling they would win 20 in a row and it should be near impossible for them or any team to do. I wish I knew how AI found the answers to these things but it was an interesting paper I've been using in a personal fashion.Streaks need to be recorded so high within a reasonable time frame both within and overlapping seasons. There was some mention of needing similar streaks within any 162 continous games. Losing streaks are always clearly signs of bad teams so much easier than winning streaks. The nightmarish scenario the Brewers would play badly when only in the playoffs scares me. On a game like today little home run slump happened.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday

Well sweet I wasnt feeling this victory. Im not betting so much tomorrow, only $500 probably

---

Actually 7 times this. I felt I should keep going this way. This is like real life squid games.

The Brewers lost today in extra innings. The Brewers lost some key players to paternity and bereavement leave so that's the way the cookie crumbles. I lost a lot today but I won a lot more this week. Ill probably not bet the series with the Cubs more than $500 a game.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday

The Brewers lost today in extra innings. The Brewers lost some key players to paternity and bereavement leave so that's the way the cookie crumbles. I lost a lot today but I won a lot more this week. Ill probably not bet the series with the Cubs more than $500 a game.

---

So the 5 game series in 4 days, Brewers/Cubs series is here. When you fist mentioned this several weeks ago, the Brewers were up 4-5 games. This series was the Cubs chance to get back in the race. But now they are 8 games back. They really need to sweep this series to get back in the race. Anything less that the cubs winning 4of 5 is a disaster for the cubs.

Personally I don't think it matters. If the cubs playing the way they have played over the last month, somehow win 4 of 5 against the brewers who have won like 40 of their last 50 games, the Cubs would still be 5 games back with 5 weeks (by weeks end) to play. The Cubs are playing for a wildcard spot whether they know it or not.

So, I am growing concerned about my Phillies. Not really about the wager I have for them to win the division. I think that is fairly safe because the Mets have starting pitching problems of their own which will prevent them from reeling off a bunch of wins in a row. And if it does tighten up in the final 6 weeks, I can hedge that wager and still make a nice profit.

What I am concerned about is the Phillies going very far in the playoffs. I don't have a wager on a deep run (pennant or WS), I am just a fan in that regard. The Phillies are currently the second lowest odds to win the WS behind only the Dodgers, @ +500, they are even lower than the Brewers, which I don't agree with.

The reason the Phillies are such a favorite, is because they were built for a deep playoff run with 3 good starting pitchers along with good hitting. But all of the sudden their starting pitchers have some cracks. Wheeler is on the IR with a blood clot. Who knows how long that will be. he wasn't dominating in his last few starts anyway as he was most of the year. Ranger Suarez, is also all of the sudden getting hit around. Only Christopher Sanchez seems sound at the moment. Lazardo is a decent #3 or #4 pitcher.

I think the Phillies were hoping Aaron Nola could get back in the mix contributing, but his first start back from a long IR stint today was a disaster. Gave up 6 runs in the top of the 3rd inning and only lasted 2 & 1/3. #5 starter, Taijuan Walker is decent one game, terrible the next (that is why he is a #5) and not the kind of guy you want to count on in the playoffs.

So we will see, but at the moment, one of their strengths, starting pitching has some big cracks. :(

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by MDawg

It goes beyond that he's been proven to have lied repeatedly...it's that nothing he has said has been other than proven to be lies.

In other words, he's batting a thousand when it comes to every one of his stories...not one has been corroborated in any way, but many have been disproved.

---

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by MDawg

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by MDawg

It goes beyond that he's been proven to have lied repeatedly...it's that nothing he has said has been other than proven to be lies.

In other words, he's batting a thousand when it comes to every one of his stories...not one has been corroborated in any way, but many have been disproved.

---

---

This obsessed homo is so queer for KJ it’s coming out of his pores ( along with his rancid Saudi stink)…..very easy to see

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Keystone

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by MDawg

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by MDawg

It goes beyond that he's been proven to have lied repeatedly...it's that nothing he has said has been other than proven to be lies.

In other words, he's batting a thousand when it comes to every one of his stories...not one has been corroborated in any way, but many have been disproved.

---

---

This obsessed homo is so queer for KJ it’s coming out of his pores ( along with his rancid Saudi stink)…..very easy to see

---

Yes. If he had been winning at baccarat 10k every day or not, he could have been winning an extra 10k a day betting on the Brewers but he isn't interested in winning money by gambling. KJ is a great contribution here in this thread, it's probably a blessing others with less knowledge and interest do not chime in.

Brice Turang for the Brewers is still an underrated source of home runs. A few weeks ago his odds were +1000 to hit a HR pre-game and these days about +500.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by kewlJ

So, I am growing concerned about my Phillies. Not really about the wager I have for them to win the division. I think that is fairly safe because the Mets have starting pitching problems of their own which will prevent them from reeling off a bunch of wins in a row. And if it does tighten up in the final 6 weeks, I can hedge that wager and still make a nice profit.

What I am concerned about is the Phillies going very far in the playoffs. I don't have a wager on a deep run (pennant or WS), I am just a fan in that regard. The Phillies are currently the second lowest odds to win the WS behind only the Dodgers, @ +500, they are even lower than the Brewers, which I don't agree with.

The reason the Phillies are such a favorite, is because they were built for a deep playoff run with 3 good starting pitchers along with good hitting. But all of the sudden their starting pitchers have some cracks. Wheeler is on the IR with a blood clot. Who knows how long that will be. he wasn't dominating in his last few starts anyway as he was most of the year. Ranger Suarez, is also all of the sudden getting hit around. Only Christopher Sanchez seems sound at the moment. Lazardo is a decent #3 or #4 pitcher.

I think the Phillies were hoping Aaron Nola could get back in the mix contributing, but his first start back from a long IR stint today was a disaster. Gave up 6 runs in the top of the 3rd inning and only lasted 2 & 1/3. #5 starter, Taijuan Walker is decent one game, terrible the next (that is why he is a #5) and not the kind of guy you want to count on in the playoffs.

So we will see, but at the moment, one of their strengths, starting pitching has some big cracks. :(

---

In early September they will play Milwaukee. They'll be tough or easy, we'll find out which version of the Phillies shows up.

After seeing today's game, makes me think the Brewers could sweep the Cubs. Im thinking I will bet on that by continuing to bet all proceeds until I hit max bet on my account which would be $36,000. That's so crazy, but first they need to win tonight again and we'll take it from there. Tonight Im betting Padres -150 at home versus the SF Giants, the Houston Astros $100 +130 at Detroit, $100 on the Phillies(-115) at home versus the Seattle Mariners and $1400 on the Brewers at Chicago with some bets +105 and about half -105 with pitchers TBD.

I was wrong about my max bet, it's probably about $8000.

I was wrong about my max bet, it's probably about $8000 but Im not absolutely sure. It might depend on the team and lines. For tonight's Blue Jays (-115) at Detroit, says maximum bet is $33000 when I've already bet $1000 and $6000 when I have already bet Brewers over $1000.

I didn't see game 1 of the brewers/cubs doubleheader as I was out doing some things. But any hope of the cubs sweeping these 5 games and getting back into the division race is now gone. Game 2 scheduled for about an hour probably won't get played today if the weather forecast is correct.

It is kind of stunning how far and fast the cubs have fallen. A big part of it was the brewers have won like 40 some out of 50 some games. No team could keep pace with that. But there is a little more to it than that. First 80 games of the season (1/2 season) the cubs were scoring better than 6 runs a game (average). Now they are scoring like 2. Tucker can't buy a hit and Crow-Armstrong who had an amazing 1st half, kind of out of the blue, has come back to form.

Cubs have pitching problems like so many teams. But their first half covered a lot of that up. If you are scoring 8, 9 runs a game, you don't notice so much that you pitchers are giving up 5 runs routinely. But start scoring only 2 or 3 runs a game and it becomes glaring. Like many people, I sort of missed it until it was blatantly obvious.

Cubs should hang on for a wildcard spot. But I wouldn't expect them to do too much in the playoffs.

Yes the game was canceled. I immediately started with impulse bets in the mean time. Red Sox live -120 $400, Rockies +230 $400 and I increased my bet on the Padrss to $400. Unfortunately Im already behind with the Red Sox 1-0, so those boys better start hitting in tandem to match the Orioles

Luckily the Rockies bailed out all those bets, seems they all lost including the Padres going into the 9th 4-3 losing.

The Cubs really haven't been putting up many runs for a long time, this is definitely right. The Brewers are really going to easily outmatch them. Im never comfortable taking the under now the Brewers scoring machine is on.

I had the Rockies on simple parlays with Brewers and overs in Brewers. Im in for quite a bit already, I dont know if I want to invest more into the Rockies or the Brewers. I think bet on juggernaut, no fear, try to maintain the highest bets possible and be able to keep betting through losses. It should be 10 bets, maybe 5 or 3, but I try to go with 2 consecutive losses can kill me amd force me to have smaller bets.

Since I insist the Brewers are a .750 team, this means they would have a 17% chance to sweep the Cubs.

The Astros haven't been great in a long time, I can barely say they're good. Hopefully other returning players including Isaac Paredes will give them a spark. They're just a wild card team it seems which means more risk necessary to make it far. I dont see them with good pitching now.

Oh that blows. Andrew Vaughn's error and that Canandian red headed right fielder cost them the game.

I've lost interest now. It's too bad Isaac Collins couldnt plan that baby to come after the season lol.

I'm not betting anymore the streak is over. Other streaks and sweeps should continue. The Dodgers won against the Rockies; it was nice thinking maybe they won't beat up on bad teams and maybe they'll struggle. So even if tie breakers didn't matter, I would hate to play Chicago in the first round, but even if so, the majority of games will be in Milwaukee. Definitely going to be hoping for the underdogs until they meet Milwaukee.

I too am done betting baseball. I had a really good run betting baseball the past couple months. A lot of that was betting overs during a 7 week period when temps were in the 90's everywhere and the ball was jumping. But I have done fairly well tagging along with the picks at Covers.com. They ran really hot for about a month. I also didn't do bad with my own picks based on simulations :)

I have 4 futures bets on divisions winners, 2 have a real good chance to be winners. Still holding out hope that the Red Sox will get hot again. So I can just watch these teams for the next couple of weeks without betting. And when I get back from a trip in 2 weeks, it will be time to start betting the NFL and particularly the first 2 weeks underdog angle.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by MDawg

What we DO know about UNKewlJ is that he is just as much of a

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by MDawg

thieving lying low down no good varmint.

---

in person as he is online.

His own family booted him from the familial household, what does that tell you?

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by MDawg

Is there anyone on these forums more universally despised than the UNKewl one? Doubtful.

---

---

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by kewlJ

I too am done betting baseball. I had a really good run betting baseball the past couple months. A lot of that was betting overs during a 7 week period when temps were in the 90's everywhere and the ball was jumping. But I have done fairly well tagging along with the picks at Covers.com. They ran really hot for about a month. I also didn't do bad with my own picks based on simulations :)

I have 4 futures bets on divisions winners, 2 have a real good chance to be winners. Still holding out hope that the Red Sox will get hot again. So I can just watch these teams for the next couple of weeks without betting. And when I get back from a trip in 2 weeks, it will be time to start betting the NFL and particularly the first 2 weeks underdog angle.

---

I lost $1800 on the Brewers tonight and bet $500 Mets +290 to not make playoffs. I hope the Brewers dont start slumping like all the idiots keep saying.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by kewlJ

I too am done betting baseball. I had a really good run betting baseball the past couple months. A lot of that was betting overs during a 7 week period when temps were in the 90's everywhere and the ball was jumping. But I have done fairly well tagging along with the picks at Covers.com. They ran really hot for about a month. I also didn't do bad with my own picks based on simulations :)

I have 4 futures bets on divisions winners, 2 have a real good chance to be winners. Still holding out hope that the Red Sox will get hot again. So I can just watch these teams for the next couple of weeks without betting. And when I get back from a trip in 2 weeks, it will be time to start betting the NFL and particularly the first 2 weeks underdog angle.

---

I lost $1800 on the Brewers tonight and bet $500 Mets +290 to not make playoffs. I hope the Brewers dont start slumping like all the idiots keep saying. I really like the Mets not making the playoffs, might bet more. The Reds do have a harder schedule, but not by much.

Brewers won 4-1, it was a good day, but only bet $1000.

The Astros(-340) are playing the Rockies(+ 270 )at home tonight with both pitchers listed as TBD. -340 is the highest pre-game line I've seen all year and to me, it isn't justified and doesnt make sense. I assume this means I should bet Colorado, but I haven't made up my mind yet.

Jordan Alvarez is returning today possibly for the Astros. Im sure his bat is quite valuable and his defense at 3B, but still... idk maybe +270 isn't enough today.

I did bet Colorado $200 +285 but forgot to post. Really glad right now w them up 4-1.

Im debating taking a long shot on the Astros to get AL #1 seed +1500 4.5 games back. They may get pretty hot once Paredes comes back and joins the rest. All these teams have some shots to slump or win.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday

Im debating taking a long shot on the Astros to get AL #1 seed +1500 4.5 games back. They may get pretty hot once Paredes comes back and joins the rest. All these teams have some shots to slump or win.

---

I hope you thought better of doing that. Houston entered the day 4.5 back of the best record in AL, but that is 4/4.5 back of two different teams, not 1. So they would need to get hot and have not 1 but 2 teams cool off. That is why the high odds. To me, and this is just an opinion, I think Houston is more likely to go the opposite direction and not even win their own division.

Elsewhere an interesting day with the abbreviated schedule. Phillies and Schwarber woke up in a big way after being humiliated and swept by the Mets who closed to within 4 games. But then those same Mets turned right around and lost to the Marlins, giving one of those hard earned games right back (back to 5 game lead).

Season end 4 weeks from Sunday. That just isn't a lot of time for any team looking to make up 4-5 games. It just doesn't happen as much as people think it does. Of the teams nursing a 4-5 game lead, (Houstons is only 2), I believe the team that might fall (as in lose the division) is Toronto. Now I have a wager on Boston, so I am hoping, but it is more than that. Toronto is a decent team, but I think they have played above their heads, especially pitching-wise.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by kewlJ

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday

Im debating taking a long shot on the Astros to get AL #1 seed +1500 4.5 games back. They may get pretty hot once Paredes comes back and joins the rest. All these teams have some shots to slump or win.

---

I hope you thought better of doing that. Houston entered the day 4.5 back of the best record in AL, but that is 4/4.5 back of two different teams, not 1. So they would need to get hot and have not 1 but 2 teams cool off. That is why the high odds. To me, and this is just an opinion, I think Houston is more likely to go the opposite direction and not even win their own division.

Elsewhere an interesting day with the abbreviated schedule. Phillies and Schwarber woke up in a big way after being humiliated and swept by the Mets who closed to within 4 games. But then those same Mets turned right around and lost to the Marlins, giving one of those hard earned games right back (back to 5 game lead).

Season end 4 weeks from Sunday. That just isn't a lot of time for any team looking to make up 4-5 games. It just doesn't happen as much as people think it does. Of the teams nursing a 4-5 game lead, (Houstons is only 2), I believe the team that might fall (as in lose the division) is Toronto. Now I have a wager on Boston, so I am hoping, but it is more than that. Toronto is a decent team, but I think they have played above their heads, especially pitching-wise.

---

No didnt make the bet. I dont think it is terrible, but I just didn't do so. I am happy Schwarber got 4 HRs, it strengthens my HR champ and MVP bets. The MVP bet is a long shot of course because Ohtani is still 90% to win. It also stinks because the award isn't announced until after the World Series is over and happens to be 11/13/25. About the Astros, Im over bet anyways with too many WS odds +1000. The Brewers are playing badly, have had too many injuries recently and that stinks. I do not have a strategy to hedge or cash out any of these things. If anything, will do so in division series before first pitch. Of course hoping for the Dodgers to be a wild card and go home early to make things eeasier. It also seems the 100 win bet I made on the Brewers is trashed. It's unfortunate I just didnt get a good bet in earlier under 100.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday

. I am happy Schwarber got 4 HRs, it strengthens my HR champ and MVP bets.

---

After hitting his 4th homerun, Phillies needed to put several guys on base for Schwarber to come to bat a final time in the 8th inning. With the game well out of hand, Atlanta went to a position player pitching and the Phillies did have enough guys reach base (or homer) to allow Schwarber to come to bat. If he had homered it would have been 5, which had never been done before. BUT it would have cheapened it, being off a position player. I had mixed feelings about it. In the end he swung so hard he just popped out. Swung so hard, I hope he didn't hurt his back. :D

The Astros can take this lead down when more by labor day. They play 4 at home against the Angels. Toronto is playing 3 at home versus Milwaukee, though the Jays are favored to win the series. Detroit is playing 3 in KC after being swept by the A's. Risky bet, but potential to make the odds a lot less than +1500 within days. I have too much bet already on Houston. I really had thought Iaaac Paredes would be back soon, but he apparently won't. He is probably going to lay back and wait for the last possible second to return, it's almost September now. Last time I was really optimistic about the Astros, lost 4 to the A's. About the A's, aka the Athletics, the new stadium is awesome and Ill intend to come to Vegas now to see some ball games. I typically say Ill smell the roses and usually don't.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday

About the A's, aka the Athletics, the new stadium is awesome and Ill intend to come to Vegas now to see some ball games. I typically say Ill smell the roses and usually don't.

---

I am a philly guy, so Raiders and A's can't replace my allegiance to my Philly teams. Hockey, I was never a huge fan, so I have adopted the Golden Knights as my team. While the A's won't replace the Phillies as MY team, I am excited about the A's move to Vegas (and the new stadium). The A's have a decent young team with some really good young players. That "big Amish" kid is fun to watch. If they can hang onto some of that young talent and field a decent...not great, but decent team in 2028, when they move, I will go see some games and root for them. They won't replace the phillies, but they could be my second favorite team.

Of course the irony could be me hoping for Schwarber then only to have them knock the Brewers out of the playoffs. Id like them and the Dodgers to be at home(out) never to play them.

The real issue beyond mere games for the Astros to get the number one seed is their record has to surpass the Rigers by 1 since the Tigers have won 4/6 against the Astros and would have a tie breaker advantage. I did not research that aspect. As of now the Astros have the edge against the Jays having swept them and having 3 games upcoming.

So it turns out nicely yes I didnt make a move with Houston. Im starting to think SF Giants could sneak in if they keep playing well. They have 6 games against the Dodgers remaining and there are less than 25 games left now. I placed some big bets today and lost around the diamonds so Im laying off any other serious betting as Im in the midst of a losing streak.

The Padres really stink. They could get lucky in a 5 game series only. It will be interesting to see what pans out soon. October will be here soon.

The Astros are at least as close to the very top in the AL as they are to the bottom.

Tonight's game gave me some confidence in the Brewers tonight.

https://youtu.be/mdMcZ-Kp8Po?si=3siWrZuJbFLXG7Yk

The Giants are 4 games back of the Mets, but actually 5 because the Giants lose any tie breaker with the Mets. The Giants have 7 games left against the Dodgers, 3 against the Rockies, 6 against the Cardinals, and 6 against the Diamondbacks. The Mets play the Phillies(4), Cubs(3), Padres(3), Texans (3), and Reds (3), then the Marlins(3) and Nationals(3). Idk, doesn't seem entirely to be wishful thinking, could get closer than people think.

Even after that disappointing loss in the series finale against the Blue Jays, the Brewers are now 15-4 on the season against the current division leaders, as pointed out by Milwaukee's Senior Director of Media Relations, Mike Vassallo, on the social media platform X. They have swept both the Phillies and Dodgers, and taken two out of three against the Blue Jays, Tigers, and Astros.

With their series win over Toronto, the @Brewers have now won every series they have played this season against the other division leaders, posting an overall record of 15-2 in those games.#ThisIsMyCrew pic.twitter.com/PEpUbLLn4q

— Mike Vassallo (@MikeVassallo13) August 31, 2025

Im thinking Detroit has the advantage over Toronto for the number 1 seed and home field advantage by enough to count but not enough for it to be drastic. Wishful thinking but I would like to see somehow the Mariners and Astros play other teams in the wild card round.

The Dodgers cannot buy a victory against mediocre teams. They did not warm up un August and they did not warm up in September like all the people assumed so hard. I'd need access to time travel to bet on the Dodgers to prosper in the playoffs. .

This HR race has not been exciting since Schwarber hit 4 a week ago. Im pretty sure Raleigh and Ohtani have had 1 each since the 4 HRs. Im certainly expecting the 3 of them to be hitting more than 2 home runs within a week.

SF still creeping up. They'll be down 1.5 games of the Mets needing to get 1 ahead. Again Mets own tie breaker so the fight needs to be with others.

Little known secret, I cashed in my best season record for $1830 instead of $2050. I do like having the stress off and feel better being out after 2 straight losses. It allows me to wonder if maybe the number 2 bye isn't so bad at least terms of opponents. Being in Philly is too hard, Idk if weaker matchups for the Brewers matter more than home field disadvantage. I've lost faith in this Brewers team, but this could be good.

The Mets are ahead of the Giants and Reds by 1.5 games with the Giants actually back by .5 but need outright victory over the Mets to get the wild card spot. The Mets making the playoffs have odds of -170 and I have difficulty believing their actually this good. A current 7 game losing streak is just so attributable to a team which is earning a sub .500 record. Of course things could turn around and the Giants could start losing against the Dodgers today, but not certain as I also tend to believe the Dodgers are overrated. I really felt awfully foolish when I bet $500 +290 then things seemed to be turning around and the odds had become +500.

Bet $200 on Giants +300 to make the playoffs, lfg. Mind you, the Giants have not been on the board to even bet them making the playoffs before today since Idk when.

Diamondbacks are now kicking ass, Giants look like a bad team again now. Much less likely now the Mets have anything to worry about.

I was happy Schwarber got a HR and the Phillies beat the Dodgers. Either seems hard to beat at the moment.

Phillies clinched their division on Monday winning that division bet at a nice +240. (bet made when Phils were 3 games back)

Brewers should clinch their division within the next week winning that division wager @ +200 (bet made when cubs were in first place)

My 3rd division wager, Red Sox @ +400, I have already hedged with Toronto and yankees, and will be breaking even, no matter who wins the division.

And my 4th division wager, Rangers @ +650 is dead in the water, unless the rangers can close to withing about 2 games in the next 12 days. That is the point I would be able to hedge and not lose money, otherwise I will lose that bet.

But even if I lose the Rangers bet, my 4 division wagers will turn out quite profitable. Add to that the 6 week run I had betting overs from late June to early August and baseball season will have been very good to me. Overs weren't quite as profitable as last summer, but still pretty profitable.

And the best part for me is all of these baseball wagers were made at online books, contributing to rollover requirements for my bonus whoring play. So baseball was a win-win this year.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Dan Druff

kewlJ: just admit that you enjoy telling stories for attention on forums, and will try to stop doing this in the future.

---

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by kewlJ

Phillies clinched their division on Monday winning that division bet at a nice +240. (bet made when Phils were 3 games back)

Brewers should clinch their division within the next week winning that division wager @ +200 (bet made when cubs were in first place)

My 3rd division wager, Red Sox @ +400, I have already hedged with Toronto and yankees, and will be breaking even, no matter who wins the division.

And my 4th division wager, Rangers @ +650 is dead in the water, unless the rangers can close to withing about 2 games in the next 12 days. That is the point I would be able to hedge and not lose money, otherwise I will lose that bet.

But even if I lose the Rangers bet, my 4 division wagers will turn out quite profitable. Add to that the 6 week run I had betting overs from late June to early August and baseball season will have been very good to me. Overs weren't quite as profitable as last summer, but still pretty profitable.

And the best part for me is all of these baseball wagers were made at online books, contributing to rollover requirements for my bonus whoring play. So baseball was a win-win this year.

---

Yes very incitedul on baseball. Congratulations on your winning picks. Philadelphia is looking quite well right now, and Im hoping Schwarber gets into the HR champ lead to also allow himself in the conversation to dethrone Otahni. I also bet on all 6 divisions correctly back in July, but more of a joke bet 10x very little like under $50.

Sad to say, but Raleigh getting 2 home runs setting him ahead by 4 in a series at home against the Angels, the race is 99.8% over now. RALEIGH is getting the HR champ which trashes Schwarber's case because these same voters are discounting his contributions, so why elevate Schwarber above the golden child Ohtani.

Yeah oops the Mariners aren't playing the Angels, the Brewers are and the Mariners are playing the Royals in KC. Cant believe I messed that one up, but I have partake as usual.

.

MLB all time home run leaders Barry Bonds and Mark McGwire have admitted to steroid use. And Sammy Sosa has kind of acknowledged it.

"Yes, on September 16, 2025, Seattle Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh broke the MLB record for most home runs in a single season by a switch-hitter, surpassing Mickey Mantle's mark with his 55th and 56th homers of the year.

The second of these home runs tied Ken Griffey Jr.'s franchise record for most single-season home runs by a Mariners player.

The Record-Breaking Night

TheMLB record: Raleigh hit his 55th home run of the season, which broke Mickey Mantle's 1961 record of 54 home runs for a switch-hitter.

Franchise Record: In the same game against the Kansas City Royals, Raleigh hit a 56th home run to tie the Mariners' franchise record set by Ken Griffey Jr. in 1997 and 1998.

Additional Context

The Big Dumper: Raleigh is known as "The Big Dumper" and is also the Seattle Mariners' all-time single-season home run leader.
Catcher Record: Raleigh also owns the single-season home run record for a catcher.
Reaction: Raleigh expressed humble disbelief at being mentioned in the same company as Mantle and Griffey Jr. "

Yeah he is running away with it.

.

the MLB playoff system which was adopted in 2022 is pretty complicated - wow

The MLB playoffs feature 12 teams (six per league) competing in a bracket-style tournament to determine the World Series champion. The format includes a best-of-three Wild Card Series, a best-of-five Division Series, a best-of-seven League Championship Series, and culminates in the best-of-seven World Series. Top-seeded teams receive a bye to the Division Series, while other teams compete in the Wild Card Series to advance.
Team Qualification
Six teams per league: The American League (AL) and National League (NL) each send six teams to the postseason.
Three division winners: The team with the best record in each division (East, Central, West) receives a playoff spot.
Three Wild Card teams: The three teams with the best regular-season records that did not win their division also qualify.
Seeding and Byes
Seeds 1-3: The three division winners are seeded 1 through 3 based on their regular-season winning percentages.
Seeds 4-6: The three Wild Card teams are seeded 4 through 6 based on their records.
First-round byes: Seeds 1 and 2 in each league automatically advance to the Division Series, bypassing the Wild Card Series.
Playoff Rounds
Wild Card Series (Best-of-Three):
Participants: The 3-seed faces the 6-seed, and the 4-seed plays the 5-seed.
Format: A best-of-three series.
Home-field: The higher-seeded team hosts all three games.
Division Series (Best-of-Five):
Participants: The two Wild Card Series winners advance to play the 1-seed and 2-seed division winners.
Format: A best-of-five series where the first team to win three games advances.
League Championship Series (Best-of-Seven):
Participants: The winners of the ALDS and NLDS.
Format: A best-of-seven series; the first team to win four games advances.
World Series (Best-of-Seven):
Participants: The champion of the American League Championship Series faces the champion of the National League Championship Series.
Format: The final best-of-seven series to determine the overall MLB champion.

I have not seen a 0-0 game through 9 innings this season let alone 11 innings. Giants really got dominated all game 1 hitter until the damn broke in the top of the 11th.

Detroit Tigers were up 15.5 games in their division at the all-star break. It is now down to 3.5 with 3 games remaining against Cleveland in Cleveland next week. Even Skubel couldn't prevent the Guardians sweep in Detroit today.

Are the Tigers REALLY going to blow a 15.5 game lead? :confused:

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by kewlJ

Detroit Tigers were up 15.5 games in their division at the all-star break. It is now down to 3.5 with 3 games remaining against Cleveland in Cleveland next week. Even Skubel couldn't prevent the Guardians sweep in Detroit today.

Are the Tigers REALLY going to blow a 15.5 game lead? :confused:

---

Pretty wacky, it seems possible now and will be day by day until we know more.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by kewlJ

Detroit Tigers were up 15.5 games in their division at the all-star break. It is now down to 3.5 with 3 games remaining against Cleveland in Cleveland next week. Even Skubel couldn't prevent the Guardians sweep in Detroit today.

Are the Tigers REALLY going to blow a 15.5 game lead? :confused:

---

Pretty wacky, it seems possible now and will be day by day until we know more.

---

Both Tigers and Cleveland play series this weekend against sub .500 teams. Tigers vs Braves. Guardians vs Twins. Guardians series is 4 games. Then they face off in Cleveland on Tuesday for 3 games. Skubel is pitching game 1 on Tuesday. If the lead is 3 at the start of that series and the Tigers lose again with Skubel on the mound.....Loook out!

And even if the Tigers manage to hold on and win the division, they will be the 3rd division winner, meaning no first round bye. The tigers would be the 3 seed and play the 6 seed in a 3 game series. And the 6 seed is currently Boston, but the Guardians are right behind Boston and the way both teams are playing might take over that 6 seed, setting up a first round series of Cleveland and Detroit. So at some point Detroit is going to have to find a way to beat Cleveland if they don't want to be done early.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by kewlJ

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by kewlJ

Detroit Tigers were up 15.5 games in their division at the all-star break. It is now down to 3.5 with 3 games remaining against Cleveland in Cleveland next week. Even Skubel couldn't prevent the Guardians sweep in Detroit today.

Are the Tigers REALLY going to blow a 15.5 game lead? :confused:

---

Pretty wacky, it seems possible now and will be day by day until we know more.

---

Both Tigers and Cleveland play series this weekend against sub .500 teams. Tigers vs Braves. Guardians vs Twins. Guardians series is 4 games. Then they face off in Cleveland on Tuesday for 3 games. Skubel is pitching game 1 on Tuesday. If the lead is 3 at the start of that series and the Tigers lose again with Skubel on the mound.....Loook out!

And even if the Tigers manage to hold on and win the division, they will be the 3rd division winner, meaning no first round bye. The tigers would be the 3 seed and play the 6 seed in a 3 game series. And the 6 seed is currently Boston, but the Guardians are right behind Boston and the way both teams are playing might take over that 6 seed, setting up a first round series of Cleveland and Detroit. So at some point Detroit is going to have to find a way to beat Cleveland if they don't want to be done early.

---

Wacky could happen. Wild stuff.

The Tigers are still -1200 Tigers winning their division. We all know every win and every loss will change this and it could come down to the results of the last remaining games of the season or earlier. At this point they could lose the number 2 seed and play in the wild card round losing their bye. Id be for that as it aligns better with my pennant parlays. Brewers-anyone else than Detroit or NYY are my bets but I didnt take the Guardians.

$100 now Brewers-Guardians pennant winners pays $13,000.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by MDawg

AxelWolf already publicly and privately stated that he debunked all of UNKewlJ's fraudulent sports bets claims.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by MDawg

What’s crazy about all this is that any normal person would realize that his ever changing story and desperate attempts to put out fires is just confirming that his story is false, and making him look even worse, but a sociopathic liar can’t help himself, and keeps lying just to cover up other lies.

---

---