Bet on Kamala.....

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Originally Posted by redietz

I'm certainly not addicted to any Trump Kool-Aid, and I would vote for Trump. I think the Dems have set some truly remarkable precedents regarding censorship of accurate information based on the premise that they know what's best, and even if they don't, they'll legislate as if they always do. Unprecedented censorship, really, when you get the majority of the population to subscribe to social media and then control it.

The primary example is Covid-19 mRNA reporting. Rachel Maddow got everything wrong over and over as a parrot for the administration. The Hunter laptop and Russian conspiracy stories, buried and misreported, get blown off as not important.

Then you have the absurd fiction that the vice president either (a) did not know the president had obvious mental issues or (B) was not obligated to report such to the American people. LOL. I mean, can anything be more irresponsible, more manipulative than expecting us to swallow A or B? It's a joke.

I have never seen anything like this. Harris went through no voting or vetting process attached to the US population. To install her on the ballot was more authoritarian than any trick by the Trumpster during his four years in office.

And meanwhile, an assassination attempt goes largely unmentioned in the days and weeks leading up to the election. That non-referencing of the assassination attempt is remarkable. That assassination attempt should be an adjective of sorts before every election discussion. But it's ignored, and likewise the effects being shot at have on an individual go undiscussed. Having people next to you killed by bullets intended for you is not something you shake off...ever. To expect Trump to carry on in a more palatable tone, with less acrimony, is asinine. You see any discussions or segments discussing the PTSD of bullets aimed at you killing someone else? You see any of that on CNN or MSNBC? Yet these are key elements of this historical point in time.

Americans are being taken for a ride by a combo of the Democratic leadership and major media.

These are bizarre and frightening times.

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All you vaccinne kookoo birds just can't get over it. This was a weird type of vaccine that they had little experience with. Yes big pharma is a real thing and pushes for profits but honestly I can't really see that to be the main driving point of your voting. Like .. as if Democrats are somehow some cabal. They got some stuff wrong. Other side got some stuff wrong. Some people are very passionate about this stuff but I've never seen anything serious to suggest the vaccines were as bad as you guys would like to think.

Vote in your interest. Trump has lied so many more times this shit isn't even compareable. We live in a post-truth world and you bozos still stuck on this vaccine shit.

I do agree about the Democrats rigging the process to an extent I can not openly align myself with the party even if I feel they have more interests more in mind.

Trump doesn't give a shit about those fools. He's a narcissist. If you haven't figured that out by now then LOL just what in the fuck. Having someone die for him probably strokes his ego a tiny bit. Seriously.

Wise up.

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Originally Posted by kewlJ

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Originally Posted by Rob.Singer

Everybody has or can easily obtain a proper ID in this country.

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This is completely false. Older people can have a problem getting an ID. And older Black people even more so. Last Election, 2020, CNN did a story over several weeks, where their reporter followed 5 different older people (80 and 90's) living in rural North Carolina attempting to get an ID so they could vote under new NC Voter ID laws. None of them drove and all were required to travel more than 60 miles to the county seat, where they needed to provide a birth certificate, which only 1 or 2 had. One woman after traveling 60 plus miles was told to contact the hospital she was born in. That hospital closed 50 years prior.

The saddest case was a 90 year old man. A veteran. Served the U.S in the Korean war (I think). He received veterans benefits from the V.A at the time, so they knew who he was, but yet at the airing of that segment, he was still unable to vote because he couldn't get the proper documentation.

All 5 of these older people were black. And that is what the voter ID laws are about. Just as that lawmaker from Pa said out loud and on camera, someone in the republican party.....one of these far right think tank groups, figured out that those who couldn't get the documentation necessary were disproportionately poorer black, meaning likely democrats. That is all these laws are about. Disenfranchising as many on the other side as possible. The freaking lawmaker in Pa said it out loud for God sakes.

How about you just come up with some decent, good ideas that some from the other side might support, rather than spend all this effort trying to stop them from voting. That is a novel idea.

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I'm on the fence about voter ID stuff. It seems to me that Republicans have had far more luck gerrymandering so it is hard for me to feel sorry for them on any level. I might be wrong about the gerrymandering though. I have not studied it.

It is a simple fact poor people have problems with addresses and time. It takes resources to go get an ID. That is the truth. Not everyone can easily take the day off and take the bus to go get their ID. It is a sad excuse but it is a perfectly valid and legitimate excuse.

Rob is an idiot as we both know Kewl. You managed to have the vast majority of gamblers believe you for 15+ years. This guy Rob Singer has had nonsense thinking for just as long and has been repeatedly laughed at over it. Just ignore him bro.

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Originally Posted by accountinquestion

I'm on the fence about voter ID stuff. It seems to me that Republicans have had far more luck gerrymandering so it is hard for me to feel sorry for them on any level. I might be wrong about the gerrymandering though. I have not studied it.

It is a simple fact poor people have problems with addresses and time. It takes resources to go get an ID. That is the truth. Not everyone can easily take the day off and take the bus to go get their ID. It is a sad excuse but it is a perfectly valid and legitimate excuse.

Rob is an idiot as we both know Kewl. You managed to have the vast majority of gamblers believe you for 15+ years. This guy Rob Singer has had nonsense thinking for just as long and has been repeatedly laughed at over it. Just ignore him bro.

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I am not going to re-hash the 15 year comment, other than to say there is a reason why the majority of gamblers and more importantly AP's believed me for 15 years. I am not that good of a story teller to have pulled off what you are insinuating.

But what I really want to respond to tonight, on election eve, being a political junkie that I am is you bringing up jerrymandering. Good topic. Both sides do this, every chance they get. it used to be somewhat subtle, but just keeps getting more extreme both ways. The republicans have become pretty good at doing so over the last couple decades. Gerrymandering is made easy by the democrats' propensity to live in urban areas in large numbers. You can take any one of 40-50 large cities in America where the city itself has high democratic population and the surrounding suburbs a higher republican concentration and draw the 7 or 8 districts in a way that is 6-2 democrat or 6-2 republican. Whichever side has the majority the year census comes out is at an advantage to do so. and does.

I find it troubling when you see a state that is generally considered 50/50 or even 45/55, that one side is able to draw the lines so that 75% or more districts tilt one way. That is just wrong on both sides account.

The way to fix this is to take the district drawing out of the hands of politicians. I would do this by having a bi-partitian commission comprised of equal number democrats and republicans draw the districts after each census and have the results be approved by a bi-partitian panel of judges. Once drawn fairly, districts would only need minor adjustments each census if one district grew bigger than others, or a state gained or lost several districts due to population gain/loss. Most districts could remain somewhat stable.

But if you ever actually look at a map of how districts are drawn now, it can look like a bowl of spaghetti, with strands running here and there to include or exclude certain areas. It is ridiculous.

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Originally Posted by kewlJ

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Originally Posted by accountinquestion

I'm on the fence about voter ID stuff. It seems to me that Republicans have had far more luck gerrymandering so it is hard for me to feel sorry for them on any level. I might be wrong about the gerrymandering though. I have not studied it.

It is a simple fact poor people have problems with addresses and time. It takes resources to go get an ID. That is the truth. Not everyone can easily take the day off and take the bus to go get their ID. It is a sad excuse but it is a perfectly valid and legitimate excuse.

Rob is an idiot as we both know Kewl. You managed to have the vast majority of gamblers believe you for 15+ years. This guy Rob Singer has had nonsense thinking for just as long and has been repeatedly laughed at over it. Just ignore him bro.

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I am not going to re-hash the 15 year comment, other than to say there is a reason why the majority of gamblers and more importantly AP's believed me for 15 years. I am not that good of a story teller to have pulled off what you are insinuating.

But what I really want to respond to tonight, on election eve, being a political junkie that I am is you bringing up jerrymandering. Good topic. Both sides do this, every chance they get. it used to be somewhat subtle, but just keeps getting more extreme both ways. The republicans have become pretty good at doing so over the last couple decades. Gerrymandering is made easy by the democrats' propensity to live in urban areas in large numbers. You can take any one of 40-50 large cities in America where the city itself has high democratic population and the surrounding suburbs a higher republican concentration and draw the 7 or 8 districts in a way that is 6-2 democrat or 6-2 republican. Whichever side has the majority the year census comes out is at an advantage to do so. and does.

I find it troubling when you see a state that is generally considered 50/50 or even 45/55, that one side is able to draw the lines so that 75% or more districts tilt one way. That is just wrong on both sides account.

The way to fix this is to take the district drawing out of the hands of politicians. I would do this by having a bi-partitian commission comprised of equal number democrats and republicans draw the districts after each census and have the results be approved by a bi-partitian panel of judges. Once drawn fairly, districts would only need minor adjustments each census if one district grew bigger than others, or a state gained or lost several districts due to population gain/loss. Most districts could remain somewhat stable.

But if you ever actually look at a map of how districts are drawn now, it can look like a bowl of spaghetti, with strands running here and there to include or exclude certain areas. It is ridiculous.

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You never really told stories and when you have is when people busted you. Lol of course you're not good at telling stories. When you were all about tactics and math it worked.

It should be done by computer algorithm that is fairly simple and applied to all voting districts. No trying to group people together bullshit.

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Originally Posted by accountinquestion

You never really told stories

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Still dont!!

What I have done for most of my time on forums is share some of my experiences. And any AP that does this (most don't), will sometimes share something they probably shouldn't. It may be an hour later that they realize, or several days, or even weeks after someone has pressed them for even further details. And when that happens, the only choice is to protect yourself as best you can. Maybe you change something or even flat out lie. Whatever becomes necessary to protect yourself and identity. Anyone that doesn't understand this, just doesn't understand what APing is about.

I have known that most of you guy are fucking with me for a long time. You know what is really up. Most of you are too smart to not know what is real. But it wasn't until mickeycrimm said that exact sentiment sometime in the last 6 months or so, that it hit home.

But anyway, I am really over all that stuff. I choose to ignore this forum now in that regard. I no longer share anything, just like most AP's. The only reason I have chosen to be active today is because I am a political junkie who enjoys discussion politics, even with people who see things differently than me. Once this election is over, I will be back to ignoring most of the stupid chatter on this forum and letting you trolls do your trolling. Except when I have the sudden urge to take Mdawg down a notch. But really, he does that on his own. doesn't need me.

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Originally Posted by jdog

Obviously you are so deluded you have no idea even who you are. I'm coming to understand you must actually believe everything you say, even the lies you tell yourself about yourself. I agree with AinQ, I don't want to chase you off the forum either, just get help. Seriously you need a therapist to help you connect with reality.

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Originally Posted by accountinquestion

You are so mental. Wow. To know this has been going back for many many years now. You just don't let up. What a broken brain you have. Poor thing.

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Originally Posted by smurgerburger

As I've said before KJ has become a victim of his own success (as a fraud that is). You can claim for a few years to have been a LV counter who doesn't know anyone, you can't keep the story going for 20 years without it becoming crushingly improbable.

Maybe that's why he faked his death way back when. He knew he couldn't keep the story up. But then he realized not being able to post on the forums was a fate worse than death.

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Originally Posted by jdog

bottom line is I just simply believe what MDawg has posted is more plausible in it's totality. Unlike you, I have the ability to understand that there are things I don't know that others possibly do. I also have enough knowledge to understand how winning play could be tolerated under an arrangement. Not to mention the only thing you've EVER stated that has been corroborated is that you post from an IP address within Vegas.

Also you are not too bright, but you genuinely believe you know everything about APing and casinos. A wise man knows there is much he doesn't know, but in you we have the unfortunate combination of being extremely self-righteous and unwise. For this I feel sorry for you.

But of course I'm just trolling you... and all the trolls deep down actually believe you, right? Total self-dilution. Have you ever considered you might be wrong about anything??

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Originally Posted by redietz

And I gotta argue, as a final point, that from a probability perspective, the kewlJ-as-male-whore angle isn't all that nuts. When you ask yourself what's more likely, male escort posing as blackjack player, or blackjack player making it for a decade at 100K a year in LV itself, the former is more likely.

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Well AQ & kew have found common ground (aside from neither loner knowing what it's like being with a woman, of course....:) ): they're both libtards who lick each others' ass! Has kew finally found a replacement for old fat boy?

Maybe one can explain the voter ID process to the other. Doubt it though. BROS!

He does have a sort of

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Originally Posted by MDawg

love hate thing for UNKewlJ

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but he is under no delusions of that UNKewlJ is a compulsive liar.

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Originally Posted by accountinquestion

It is about you lying constantly !!!!

This whole math thing. Let me tell you something, Kewl. To the sharper people on here it becomes increasingly apparently that you based your whole facade around being believable. Where the math "works". When you're in a really bad spot you fall back on the "why don't you believe me because the math works". It is sad. I'm not sure what drives you to continue with this charade.

Anyone thinking I am bullying this dude REMEMBER he just threatened to dox someone. In addition, even though he calls people "sand n" when it suits him - he threatened to call the local news station to put pressure on Druff.

Kewl, the improbability of what all you have claimed is 0. Absolutely 0. This is why we get annoyed with you. Go find some other forum to give everyone gambling advice. JFC

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Originally Posted by accountinquestion

I've never seen anything serious to suggest the vaccines were as bad as you guys would like to think.

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Actually what red said is likely true. In the US alone we saw excess deaths around 700K above the norm since the shots came out through the beginning of 2024. Non-Covid deaths. Similar deaths data has been seen all over the world. Can we say they were absolutely caused by vax? No, but it seems pretty likely to have something to do with it. A bigger issue may be why have you never seen anything about this??

Answer.

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Originally Posted by accountinquestion

We live in a post-truth world

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And who the hell can function in society without ID?? Maybe it's good these people shouldn't be able to vote.

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Originally Posted by jdog

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Originally Posted by accountinquestion

I've never seen anything serious to suggest the vaccines were as bad as you guys would like to think.

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Actually what red said is likely true. In the US alone we saw excess deaths around 700K above the norm since the shots came out through the beginning of 2024. Non-Covid deaths. Similar deaths data has been seen all over the world. Can we say they were absolutely caused by vax? No, but it seems pretty likely to have something to do with it. A bigger issue may be why have you never seen anything about this??

Answer.

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Originally Posted by accountinquestion

We live in a post-truth world

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Show me the best source/study that makes the point.


I've heard so many things. I wouldn't be terribly surprised if it was true. There are like 1000l different facets of this area of discussion. I have basically moved on. Yes big pharma is profit driven. No there was not some big cover-up by the press. Yes the issue was incredibly politicized by the right to the extent it makes a fair discussion far more odious then it needs to be. Yes vaccines had negative consequences and at times life altering side-effects. No I am not getting a covid shit so I haven't read anout it much. No ivermectin does next to nothing st best. Yes we may need similar vaccines in the future. Yes I knew youngish people killed and all intubated prior vaccines. Yes science and medicine dont get everything right. Especially in the short term. Yes this has led to even more anti-science type think. I'm frankly absolutely tired of conspiracy theories at this point and so much of this leads to that same direction.

If and when I need another RNA vaccine I may look into it. But surely there is some sort of meta study which has covered all this. I do believe there may be some increase in deaths from side effects but it has to also be weighed against its objective too. I'm totally wanting to read whatever you have just please don't have it be some conspiracy theory pushing website. Please. You have no idea how tired I am of that stuff ATM

Every country in the world requires ID to vote. Don’t believe it? Google it.

Senior voters can’t get ID? Call them and tell them they hit the lottery but have to show ID to collect. You’ll see they won’t have a problem showing ID.

How the fuck do you go 90 years without ID? How do you collect SS without ID? SS is all direct deposit these days. How do you open a bank account without showing ID? Do you think those 90 year olds ain’t collecting SS because….no ID? Get real. When it comes to money everyone in the country will produce ID lickedy split.

Democrat opposition to voter ID is all about illegals voting.

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Originally Posted by jdog

And who the hell can function in society without ID?? Maybe it's good these people shouldn't be able to vote.

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You don't have a car. You don't have the time to take off. You have kids. Don't have a permanent address.

I also question what types of people should be excluded from voting. I did look into this recently. I'm not defending it so much as pointing out there are very valid reasons. I'll get on the bandwagon when people are pushing that along with gerrymandering reform. The no ID abuse can be done by either side. Gerrymandering is systemic issue to the core and can permanently disenfranchise people.

Trump wanting to install RFK jr. as Secretary of Health would be like Hitler appointing Himmler as Secretary of Jewish Relations.

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Originally Posted by MisterV

Trump wanting to install RFK jr. as Secretary of Health would be like Hitler appointing Himmler as Secretary of Jewish Relations.

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You do realize that:

1) The US is one of two countries that allows pharmaceutical firms to advertise directly on television (I think New Zealand is the other). Who do you think is doing the public a service, the US or the other 190 countries? Anybody in the US who can watch television is bombarded by drug pitches from the age they can look at a screen.

2) More than half the advertising revenue of CNN, Fox, and MSNBC comes from pharmaceutical companies. Do you think that may create a problem?

3) As a follow-up to (2) above, the US has arguably the highest obesity rate in the world outside of the island nations such as American Samoa and Tonga. American skyrocketing obesity rates correlate with the advent of television.

4) The question you have to ask yourself is, given US resources, how and why do we have arguably the worst obesity rates among all non-island populations, and does this constitute a health crisis that requires intervention as extreme as something like the pandemic responses? Or do you think "being obese" is an American birthright?

Easy, brain-dead quips don't do anybody any good. Have you even listened to 30 minutes of Kennedy discussing health care in the last two years? Unless you think being the fattest major country isn't an issue, and unless you think blanket advertising for drugs (and ads that reach all ages) is a good thing, then Kennedy makes as much or more sense than anyone else.


P.S. I have read other summaries that have Mexico edging out the US for obesity rates for some of the last couple of years, and I have seen some Saudi-type countries (Qatar and Kuwait) listed as having comparable obesity. That's why I use the word "arguably."

"RFK Jr. is a conspiracy nut that knows nothing about medicine and has no business making decisions requiring any knowledge of science."

"American's are fat! Do you like fat Americans?"

It's not surprising that you don't think that understanding expected values is an important part of being a profitable sports bettor.

RJK, Jr. is a conspiracy nut and an embarrassment to the Kennedy clan. Not that every Kennedy has been a JFK, but still.

jdaewoo has an obviously limited vocabulary (not much beyond the four letter c**t word), but still, at least he should concede the above.

Gosh, they must have really fancy drug commercials in Quatar and Mexico.

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Originally Posted by smurgerburger

Gosh, they must have really fancy drug commercials in Quatar and Mexico.

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Great non sequitur. RFK Jr. has emphasized two separate problems. Drug advertising to all ages on US television. American obesity. If you think those aren't problems, more power to you.