New Orleans -6.5 at Portland
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New Orleans -6.5 at Portland
Indiana +6.5 -107 vs Boston
Won Indiana outright
Today:
Utah vs San Antonio - Under 220 -110
Clippers vs Phoenix - Under 221 -115
Pride Night in Denver
I'm going the other way with Miami +120
Phoenix -5.5 -110 at Utah
Orlando vs Indiana - Under 224.5 -110
Won last 2, but lost Miami
Today:
Dallas at Utah - Under 231 -105 (Bovada, 230.5 ok elsewhere)
Won again... barely.
Tonight:
I feel like a fucking ploppy here, but hear me out.
The Hawks played a great game on the road on Tuesday, beating Boston. The Wizards are.... really really bad. They've lost by 13+ every game except two -- a 9-point loss to the awful Spurs, and.... two wins over the Hawks!
This has "bounceback" energy if I've ever seen it. Horrible team on the road versus mediocre team, where horrible team has its only two wins against the mediocre team.
The ploppies actually like the Wizards more than you think, as it's tempting to get +9 against a team which is under .500, and which lost both of its previous games against that opponent.
This will be a blowout.
Atlanta -9 -115 vs Washington
Won again.
Tonight:
Being a ploppy worked with Atlanta.
Let's try it again.
Devin Vassell, still recovering from his right foot injury, is OUT tonight, after playing yesterday. They don't want him in back to back games at this point.
More importantly, Victor Wembanyama is OUT as well.
Not a big fan of betting major injury games, but with these two out, the Spurs should get crushed in Dallas. Mavs should be at full strength aside from Naji Marshall, who is questionable due to being sick.
Dallas -12.5 -105 vs San Antonio
Won again yesterday.
Today:
OKC -7.5 -105 vs Dallas (BOL)
Charlotte +10 -110 at Cleveland (Bovada)
Notes:
Charlotte starts at 3:10pm PT, so hurry. Cleveland has won by more than 10 points in just 2 of their last 8, despite their 14-0 record
Doncic is OUT, and Dallas is on the road after playing yesterday.
Results:
10/25: New Orleans -6.5 at Portland - L -1.00
10/30: Indiana +6.5 -107 vs Boston - W +0.93
10/31:
Utah vs San Antonio - Under 220 -110 - W +0.91
Clippers vs Phoenix - Under 221 -115 - L -1.00
TOTAL: 1-1 (-0.09)
11/8: Miami +120 at Denver - L -1.00
11/12: Phoenix -5.5 -110 at Utah - W +0.91
11/13: Orlando vs Indiana - Under 224.5 -110 - W +0.91
11/14: Dallas at Utah - Under 231 -105 - W +0.95
11/15: Atlanta -9 -115 vs Washington - W +0.87
11/16: Dallas -12.5 -105 vs San Antonio - W +0.95
11/17:
OKC -7.5 -105 vs Dallas - L -1.00
Charlotte +10 -110 at Cleveland - L -1.00
TOTAL: 0-2 (-2.00)
GRAND TOTAL: 7-4 (+2.43 units)
The Suns, of the 4 game losing streak, is facing the Knicks in Phoenix.
This will be the night they win. Don't be scared by the streak, and don't be worried that the Knicks have won 3 straight.
Phoenix +165 vs New York (+4.5 ok)
More Cleveland picks either for or against
I'm a big NBA fan in that I pay attention individual player stats on my 2 Yahoo fantasy teams in pay leagues every day.
As too teams
This early in the long NBA season, just following one team. Cleveland due to their incredible start
I've only watch one NBA game this year so far. Cleveland vs Boston. Even though Cleveland lost, still following them due to the big surprise team of the season
Lost the Phoenix one badly.
Today:
Doubling up Detroit:
Detroit -2 -110 at Charlotte
Detroit/Charlotte - Over 222 -110
Won over, lost spread in OT
Today:
This is based upon the Sixers being a favorite last time, and still losing OUTRIGHT.
Brooklyn +130 vs Philadelphia
Embiid, Lowry, Geroge OUT
Lost yesterday.
San Antonio vs Golden State - Over 229.5 -105 (Bovada)
Knicks at Dallas - Under 232 -110
Major fuck job on that under. 98 after 1H, and 82 points came in the 4th (!!) in a non-close game to screw me.
-----------------------------------
So far batting .000 on NBA moneylines, but....
Detroit +170 at Indiana
Won Detroit easily.
Tonight:
Minnesota -4.5 -102 at Clippers
Easily won the Minnesota pick.
Tonight:
Phoenix at New Orleans - Over 223 -110
Easily won the over above.
Tonight:
I'm going to make my steepest dog moneyline pick of NBA so far.
Lakers are missing Lebron and Reaves, and AD has been suffering from foot problems, which have left him performing inconsistently.
Portland beat the Kings and played the Mavs tough before losing, but have gotten blown out twice in a row against the Clippers and Jazz.
I see an upset tonight as very believable, though don't be surprised if Portland is horrible again.
Portland +230 at Lakers
Lost Portland pick above, even though it was leading by a good margin in the 2nd.
Today:
New York vs San Antonio - Under 223 -112
Portland -3.5 -105 vs Utah
Trolling this thread is a no no.
Dallas +190 vs OKC (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander questionable with wrist, Dereck Lively OUT)
This is basically betting on Alexander either being out or less impactful.
For sure his wrist is hurting. He has absolutely been crushing it lately, and put up 40 in his last game on 17/26 shooting.
Mavs looked horrendous against the Nuggets last time out (I actually watched the game while playing live poker), but I like their chances to win OUTRIGHT if Alexander doesn't play (or is diminished).
Lively is out for sure, but that's not a huge deal.
Extremely weird and swingy game, but ended up winning (the Dallas one above).
Okay, here's a game pretty much nobody is thinking about today:
Washington at Sacramento - Over 236.5
If you ever wanted to get +11 on Lebron James, tonight's your chance.
Lakers +11 at New York
https://x.com/Lakers/status/1885858007176618231
So here's an interesting one.
Charlotte at Portland - Over 227 -110
This line has moved WAY THE FUCK UP, from 220 yesterday to 222 this morning to 227 now.
I meant to bet it at 224.5 and then got distracted. Oops.
So why am I betting it at 227 like a fish? Because obviously Vegas believes this is still going over, and keeps moving the line. This is despite the fact that the o/u betting is fairly even on both sides.
Weird win for me in a 53-point blowout.
Well let's see if I can keep it going.
Starting soon:
Atlanta +115 vs Detroit (+2 ok)
Orlando vs Washington - Under 215 -110
One more
Cleveland vs Memphis - Under 247 -110
Big ouch with the Cleveland game
220 points with 3.5 minutes left, 8 point game
Basket made to make it 10 points, and this seems like a lock.
Nope... frantic scoring next 3 minutes, 26 points.
Went over with 20s left.
Other two split. Wizards under good whole way, Atlanta was seemingly down 4 the entire game, and that’s where they ended up.
Let's go with another Charlotte under.
Here are the points Charlotte has put up, starting with most recent: 88, 88, 115, 100, 86, 89, 102
Not only that, but there's reverse line movement going on, regarding the under.
The line is 17.5, which also makes it unlikely we will see fouling at the end of the game, and there's a good chance starters will be out by then.
Charlotte at Golden State - Under 217.5 -110
Lakers vs New Orleans - Under 229
Lakers totals since 2/19: 197, 212, 223, 206, 213, 208, 210
Brooklyn vs San Antonio - Over 229.5
Lakers vs NY Knicks - Over 231 -110
Detroit +180 at Golden State
I'm going to make a rare NBA playoff bet.
I think the dysfunctional Bucks are done. Especially with Lillard hurting.
Indiana +150 at Milwaukee