Quote:
Originally Posted by
The Boz
Dark Oz posted his recent experience with a River Horse on WoV. He obviously got lucky and played at a negative point, but did win. The MH’s also came in right around the point Mickeys research has shown.
But I do have to question why he played as he did. I wonder if this is another WON situation where he says he is an AP but just uses some AP tactics to feed his addiction like WoN had with UX?
He ate 4 W2-G's that he didn't have to. With the 8.88 bet you only have to hit for 135 bets in the bonus round to eat a W2'G. With the new tax laws those that don't file as professionals should avoid W2-G's as much as possible. I would have eaten just 1 W2-G on the play because I would have spun it off at the 1.76 bet level.
Darkoz' success on the play may cause him to play lower numbers. He made about 4200 spins on the play. Sooner or later he's going to run into a 4000 spin scenario where he gets dropped for 35% which will cost him about 13K.
He mentioned the minor meter being at 452. It was guaranteed to come off on the play. This has to do with ratios of meter speeds. The 5K meter running at .26666% is exactly 2/3's of the 500 meter rate, .4%. That means for every $1 you put in the 5K meter you will $1.50 in the 500 meter. If you start the play at 4900 and the 500 meter is at $350 you are going to take both meters off. Knowing this is crucial in estimating your cost on the play.