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Won with the Yankees Saturday.
Two small home favorites today:
St. Louis (G. Cabrera) -108 vs. Cincinnati (L. Castillo)
NOTES: Sharps love the Cardinals here. The magic has worn off for Castillo, who has looked hittable in his last few outings.
Angels (Canning) -107 vs. Oakland (Montas)
NOTES: Rookie Canning has quietly been excellent.
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Lost both yesterday.
Fired on these, moments before they started:
Yankees (Paxton) at Toronto (Thornton) - Under 8.5 -105
Cleveland (Clippard) +112 vs. Minnesota (M.Perez)
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Washington (Corbin) at San Diego (Lucchesi) - over 7.5 -120
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Won yesterday.
Washington (Fedde) -112 at San Diego (Margevicius) -- Wheels have fallen off for single-A minor leaguer Margevicius
Dodgers (Kershaw) -1.5 -150 at San Francisco (Pomeranz) -- Wheels have fallen off for Pomeranz's career. ERA is over 8. He's done.
Incidentally, if you really think Kershaw is going to choke, you can get SF -2.5 at +1003 on 5Dimes.
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0-2 thanks to a disaster in the 9th for Washington. Ugh.
One game starting soon, one starting in like 90 min.
Pittsburgh (Musgrove) +132 at Atlanta (Gausman) - Take a look at how Gausman has been pitching lately
Chicago (F. Yu) +120 at Colorado (Marquez) - Pains me to back F. Yu, but he's been better as of late, and Marquez is garbage in Coors, and has been since last year.
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Screwed yesterday with Musgrove's early ejection, leading to that losing. Chicago blew a lead and lost, too.
Here are two games starting shortly
Miami (E. Hernandez) +139 at St. Louis (Hudson) - Hernandez with 1.19 ERA in minors this year
Oakland (Fiers) +141 at Tampa Bay (Stanek) - Jalen Beeks likely to pitch for TB
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Reverse Trapper John alert:
Despite all appearances that Houston should be the clear favorite, and despite most of the money going on Houston, the line has consistently been moving toward even money, and the sharps have been on the Brewers.
Milwaukee (Peralta) +106 at Houston (Peacock)
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Only won the Oakland pick, so I lost 0.59 units.
Today
St. Louis (Mikolas) at Miami (Yamamoto) - Under 8 -115
Yamamoto is making his Major League debut.
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An ugly 8th inning 3-run HR by Granderson killed the Miami under on Wednesday by just one run.
Today:
Miami (T. Richards) -116 vs. Pittsburgh (Brault) -- can you believe it? taking Marlins as favorite
Minnesota (Gibson) -1.5 -115 vs. Kansas City (Keller) -- warning: super public play
Angels (Heaney) at Tampa Bay (Snell) - Under 7.5 -108 -- Snell's abilities well known, Heaney has a great K/BB ratio & WHIP, and his 5.40 ERA is misleading
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Only won the Minnesota. Lost other two.
Starting in a few:
San Francisco (Bumgarner) -1.5 +178 vs. Milwaukee (Nelson) - Only Nelson's 2nd start since 2017, first start went poorly
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Another run line:
Washington (Strasburg) -1.5 -115 vs. Arizona (Clarke)
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Ugh... already 2-0 Dbacks on two solo HR.
Anyway, here's two more for later:
Pittsburgh (Agrazal) at Miami (P. Lopez) - Under 7.5 -105 - Lopez has been very good, numbers were bloated by single start awhile back with 10 ER. Agrazal first ML start but has done well in the minors this year.
Seattle (G. Bautista) +192 at Oakland (Montas) - Tommy Milone to pitch 2nd inning and beyond, and has been surprisingly effective in 2019. This game popular with sharps, and has had reverse line movement.
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Ended up going 1-3 on Saturday, only winning the Miami under. SF was up 8-6 going to the 9th, but allowed a run. Had they held, I would have had a winning day.
Today:
Okay, I know I haven't been hot in baseball lately, and the Orioles have lost 6 in a row but....
Baltimore (Ynoa) +200 at Oakland (Bre. Anderson)
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Posted this on my Pokerfraudalert forum a few minutes before the game.
This one already started but here it is for record keeping:
NY Mets (Matz) +139 at Atlanta (Fried)
I was close to going with Detroit as a big dog against Pittsburgh and the just-off-the-DL Trevor Williams, but didn't because Zimmerman for Detroit is so bad. But now Detroit is up 2-0. Ugh.
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Here is one for tonight:
Angels (Canning) -110 at St. Louis (Wacha)
Aside from one good start against the Marlins, Wacha has been a disaster this season, with a 6.00 ERA and 1.735 WHIP. 3 of his last 4 starts have resulted in 6-7 runs in fewer than 5 innings. Canning has a mediocre ERA (3.93) and has had a bit of an issue with the HR (9 in 50 innings), but he has a stellar 0.993 WHIP and is averaging more than a strikeout per inning. He is considered a potential up-and-coming star.
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I've been super cold lately, but I'm going to fire one more before taking my usual Sunday break.
Brian Johnson is starting for the Sawks, who hasn't gone more than 3 innings this year, mostly pitching in relief. It does not appear the Sawks are using him as an opener. They're actually starting him. He's not as bad as his 10.00 ERA indicates, as 7 of his ER came from one outing. But he's not good, nor is he expected to lats long.
Toronto is using Derek Law as an opener, and the ball is expected to be handed to Sam Gavilglio after an inning or so. Gaviglio has a mediocre 4.47 ERA, but his WHIP is under 1.100, and he has a nice 45/7 K/BB rate.
Sharps like the Toronto side, and there's been some reverse line movement, as well.
Toronto +162 (Law) at Boston (B. Johnson)
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Tampa (Morton) -113 at Minnesota (Odorizzi)
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San Francisco (Beede) -105 vs. Arizona (Young)
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Back to the sports degeneracy now that I'm no longer concentrating on the WSOP.
KC (Junis) +114 vs. Chicago White Sox (Giolito)
Pittsburgh (Musgrove) at St. Louis (Mikolas) - Under 8 -103
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Hit 'em both yesterday.
Baltimore (Wojciechowski) +166 vs. Washington (Voth)
Both of these pitchers suck. Anything can happen.
Starting in a few minutes.
Wavered on this one but decided to fire. I hate betting the Orioles.
GL me