Quote:
Originally Posted by
wasilla
I'm going to go out on a limb and say that your IQ points exceed mine. Was the March 17th date like an over/under?
That trip to LV forced me to plan and keep tabs on things in other countries. I just kept track of the experts. The rhetoric a few weeks ago was about a four on a seriousness scale, but when the military had to make some smaller decisions like who got transported where, it was pretty clear this was going to be bad. They did not really have a handle on percent of asymptomatic transmission and length of time this could go without symptoms. The CDC was a step behind other countries in figuring things out. I figured the US as a whole would be a step slow, because God knows, all Americans hate experts, and then it was easy to ballpark closures. We're on track for a slightly worse version of Italy, I think.
I don't know where I mentioned it, but a week ago I ballparked the potential number of infected at 10 million. That's talking immediately, not a year or two down the road. The Germans think more than half of their population will be infected at some point. It could be real bad. The existing generations have not seen anything like this.