I can't argue with either of these. You could make the case the wrong teams are favored.
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Split 'em yesterday, but still profited.
Wish I was around earlier to make an under pick on Philly today, because I totally would've fired that one, and it's 2-0 in the 5th.
Anyway, here's another home dog:
at Oakland (Montas) +177 vs. Houston (Verlander)
NOTES: Superhuman Verlander has shown a few cracks lately, giving up 5 ER in his last two games (12 innings pitched). Montas is off to a spectacular start, though all 3 of his starts have been against bad or slumping teams.
Considering Tampa Bay today against the Yankees, will post it closer to game time if I decide to fire.
Well, I was right and wrong about that A's game.
Right that Verlander is looking more human (3 ER allowed today).
I was wrong that Montas is looking good. He got clobbered.
So that one's about to lose.
Decided I will again fire against German pitching for the Yankees, as there's been value fading him in the past 2 starts. Also, Snell has been lights out lately.
Tampa Bay (Snell) +154 at Yankees (German)
Been struggling with sides, so I'll take a break from them and return to what I've been doing best.
Washington (G Gonzalez) at Toronto (Aaron Sanchez) - Over 9.5 -105
Angles (Skags) at Oakland (Bassitt) - Under 8.5 -120
Washington starting soon.
Texas (Bibens-Dirkx) at KC (Junis) - under 9 +105
Two super last minute unders. Sorry you probably won't have time to bet them:
Philly (Eflin) at Washington (Roark) - Under 8.5 -115
at Yankees (Sabathia) vs. Tampa Bay (Stanek) - Under 7.5 +100 (8 -120 ok)
One more:
Baltimore (Cobb) at Atlanta (Newcomb) - Under 8.5 -114
Starts at 4:35 pm PDT
Been away from baseball handicapping for awhile due to the WSOP.
Here's one today:
White Sox (Rodon) +113 at Texas (Colon)
NOTES: LOL 45 year olds
Super last minute pick which nobody will have time to bet:
San Francisco (Holland) at Arizona (Godley) - Under 8 +105
Okay, let's try another under. Yesterday was a spectacular failure.
Atlanta (Anibal Sanchez) at Yankees (Loaisiga) - Under 9.5 -120
Angels (Heany) at Seattle (LeBlanc) - under 8.5 +100
Starting in 10 min:
Texas (Colon) at Detroit (Zimmerman) - Under 9 -110
6/13:
at Kansas City (Hammel) +108 vs. Cincinnati (Mahle) - LOST -1
at Detroit (Boyd) +133 vs. Minnesota (Berrios) - WON +1.330
Total: 1-1, +0.330 units
6/14:
at Oakland (Montas) +177 vs. Houston (Verlander) - LOST -1
Tampa Bay (Snell) +154 at Yankees (German) - LOST -1
Total: 0-2, -2.0 units
6/15:
Washington (G Gonzalez) at Toronto (Aaron Sanchez) - Over 9.5 -105 - WON +0.952
Angles (Skags) at Oakland (Bassitt) - Under 8.5 -120 - LOST -1
Total: 1-1, -0.048 units
6/20:
Texas (Bibens-Dirkx) at KC (Junis) - under 9 +105 - WON +1.05
Total: 1-0, +1.05 units
Total 6/13-6/20: 3-4, -0.668 units
6/22:
Philly (Eflin) at Washington (Roark) - Under 8.5 -115 - LOST -1
at Yankees (Sabathia) vs. Tampa Bay (Stanek) - Under 7.5 +100 - WON +1
Baltimore (Cobb) at Atlanta (Newcomb) - Under 8.5 -114 - LOST -1
Day total: 1-2, -1.0 units
6/30:
White Sox (Rodon) +113 at Texas (Colon) - LOST -1
Day total: 0-1, -1.0 units
7/1:
San Francisco (Holland) at Arizona (Godley) - Under 8 +105 - LOST -1
Day total: 0-1, -1.0 units
7/2:
Atlanta (Anibal Sanchez) at Yankees (Loaisiga) - Under 9.5 -120 - WON +0.833
Day total: 1-0, +0.833 units
7/3:
Angels (Heany) at Seattle (LeBlanc) - under 8.5 +100 - WON +1
Day total: 1-0, +1.0 units
7/6:
Texas (Colon) at Detroit (Zimmerman) - Under 9 -110 - WON +0.909
Day total: 1-0, +0.909 units
Total 6/22-7/6: 4-4, -0.258 units
Grand total: 73-62-2, +14.059 units
Overs: 3-4
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 44-28-2
Moneyline: 24-29 (around even in units)
Starting 7:15 PT
Cubs (Quintana) at SF (Holland) - under 8 -115
7/10:
Cubs (Quintana) at SF (Holland) - under 8 -115 - WON +0.870
Grand total: 74-62-2, +14.929 units
Overs: 3-4
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 45-28-2
Moneyline: 24-29 (around even in units)
WOW!!!
you're really crushing the unders
very impressive
Thanks. Didn't see any I liked today so I skipped a day.
Won't press it. Only going to bet where I believe there is value.
This one isn't quite as strong as my last 4 unders (all of which I really liked), but I still feel good enough to bet it:
Milwaukee (Miley) at Pittsburgh (Taillon) - Under 8 -115
Starting very soon
Forgot to post one over here yesterday (but posted it on my Pokerfraudalert site), where I should have won but Matheny's mismanagement cost me the win. 2-0 after 5, but 8-2 final on Under 9 in the Cards game. Matheny got fired afterwards!
The one the day before was also a screw job (Milwaukee/Pittsburgh) due to bad luck and mismanagement.
Here's today's.
Texas (Minor) at Baltimore (Castro) - Under 9.5 -113
Cincinnati (DeSclafani) at St. Louis (Mikolas) - Under 8.5 -110
KC (B. Smith) at White Sox (Giolito) - Under 9.5 -121
Notes: Baltimore and KC will be pitching "bullpen games". Cardinals fired their manager and two coaches yesterday.
Texas game starting soon. The others start shortly after 11am PDT.
Damn, tough day. :(