Picking up the eight high straight on the open straight 4 card hold on all three hands: about 1622.23 to 1 (4/47 cubed)
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Picking up the eight high straight on the open straight 4 card hold on all three hands: about 1622.23 to 1 (4/47 cubed)
Stacked trips.
BTW, I get 1 in 4,053.75. 4 ways to make those 8's. 47x46x5/3/2/4. Did I miss something?
16,215 ways to arrange the remaining 47 cards and 4 ways to make three 8's. 16215/4 = 4,053.75.
For each of the three hands we have 47 cards left in the hand's respective deck. There are eight ways to complete the straight for each of the three hands, four with 8s and four with 3s. For 8 out of 47 as can be seen in the screenshot below. But only the 8s are under consideration, so this probability is 4/47. We then cube this probability of 4/47 to get the final answer - only the cards on the deal are shared, and then each of the 3 hands takes it draws from its own 47 card deck that doesn't have the cards tossed away. Since each hand is now independent at the time of the draw (I only played 3 lines although this is irrelevant) due to the fact that each takes its card from its own deck, we can cube 4/47 for the final result.Quote:
Originally Posted by jbjb
Ok. I wasn't factoring hitting the 3's. Duh moment.
Also are you counting the 883 and 338 combos?
No worries my friend.Quote:
Originally Posted by jbjb
These are fun ones.
https://i.imgur.com/iFdM4B1.jpg
Yes, you really filled it up on that draw. Love the quad aces with a kicker.
Yeah. Hitting the ace was great but also catching 2 of the 3 remaining deuces for the best possible outcome was tits! 1 in 5405 shot on that one.Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplay
You didn't miss anything. I forgot that in spin poker, unlike regular three-hand poker, only one deck is used after the deal, not three, to fill in the hands. (4 choose 3)/ (47 choose 3) gives 4053.75 just as you wrote.Quote:
Originally Posted by jbjb
Apologies, TP.
We all goof once in a while. Remember, I don't know how free play works on video roulette :rolleyes:
Well it ended up being a much longer shot of getting the three 8s to fill than I thought - I only played 3 lines for those 3 hands (not the customary 9 lines) so I got it jumbled with regular 3-hand since this spin poker game had the best pay table for spinning off some free play. Well now I am really glad I posted this since it turned out to be about 2 1/2 times the long shot than I had mistakenly thought originally, LOL - pretty crazy draw. Since this was triple spin poker, I could have selected 3 games and played 1 line on each game (rather than 1 game with 3 hands) - this would then replicate conventional 3-hand video poker (EV the same obviously and variance slightly different for three hands) since each game gets its own deck after the deal. Next time.Quote:
Originally Posted by jbjb
The number of lines played should be irrelevant. Just having those three spots filled with ths 8's wouldn't change the odds based on lines played.
Yes that's right. What I meant was since I opted to play 3 lines of spin poker I had conflated it with standard 3-hand poker in terms of mixing the rules up with regard to number of decks used per hand within game.Quote:
Originally Posted by jbjb
I've played a ton of sipn poker and hit plenty of royals. One draw I haven't hit yet is the KQJT suited hold and pull both the A for a royal(s) and the 9 for straight flush(es) at the same time.
That would be pretty to look at.Quote:
Originally Posted by jbjb
Poker player Tony G here flops a royal and turns the 6 card royal.
https://youtu.be/07YT1GR-EyU
Thanks JBJB, that's just sick.Quote:
Originally Posted by jbjb
Just remember, Juanda had "tweeps"Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplayThanks JBJB, that's just sick.Quote:
Originally Posted by jbjb
LOL. Looked like the usual cast of characters from that show a few years back. I think it was called Poker at Night, but you may remember exactly what it was called.Quote:
Originally Posted by jbjbJust remember, Juanda had "tweeps"Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplayThanks JBJB, that's just sick.Quote:
Originally Posted by jbjb
Ok, it was Poker After Dark.Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplayLOL. Looked like the usual cast of characters from that show a few years back. I think it was called Poker at Night, but you may remember exactly what it was called.Quote:
Originally Posted by jbjbJust remember, Juanda had "tweeps"Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplay
Ok, it was Poker After Dark.Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplayLOL. Looked like the usual cast of characters from that show a few years back. I think it was called Poker at Night, but you may remember exactly what it was called.Quote:
Originally Posted by jbjbJust remember, Juanda had "tweeps"Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplay
I had an odd experience on 50 cent 100 play yesterday.Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplayPicking up the eight high straight on the open straight 4 card hold on all three hands: about 1622.23 to 1 (4/47 cubed)
I held 6,7,9,10 off suit.
I got air.
Not sure of the odds to miss the 8 100 times in a row?
I didn't take a picture but it was funny or odd enough to appreciate the air ball for a moment staring at 100 misses.
It is very rare to get zero money back on a hand of 100 play when betting max lines/coin.
I can't recall it ever happening.
Some other odd things to happen to me with Video Poker.
I went 212 consecutive draws missing the 4 to the Royal on single line.
It was an odd enough streak that I counted each miss.
6 hour session on 100 play quarters and I never made a Royal.
3 times in that session I had the 4 to the royal draw and missed all 300 attempts.
Of course I did flop a Royal on 100 play quarters for 100k.
Flopped a Royal on 9 Line Spin Poker Dollars for 36k.
Flopped a Royal on 10 play nickels for 2k.
Flopped a Royal at the Stardust on Nickel Double Up Full Pay 4700 Jokers for 705 Dollars.
Flopped a Left to Right Sequential, In Spades, for a little over 1500 dollars at the Slots-A-Fun bar when they reversed the meters, by accident, to be a 5% winner.
I was playing a quarter 50 play machine running off 800 dollars in Free Play.
I was being cute and decided to play 1 line only and on the first hand flopped four 8s lol.
The last hand I was playing max bet/lines and was dealt 3 aces.
Didn't make 1 four of a kind.
Of course that isn't unusual but it stung being my last hand.
My friend flopped a 7 perfect on 5 play 10/7 double bonus once and we laughed about it.
I dared him to hold it and he did.
I regretted the dare.
Hi Monet, this situation you describe above has a cycle of about 1 in every 7293.6 times.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
Thank You for always giving me the math for free.Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplay
I bet the odds are difficult to find a friend that would hold a 7 perfect on any video poker machine on purpose!
I'm sure you have met people with that mindset though.
This Subculture isn't exactly what you might consider normal, mainstream or rational.
The best part about playing that game, at the Stardust, was that the Rio/CET was paying me $7.25 an hour to do so lol.
Yes the odds are slim to find such a friend Monet. Perhaps there is some weird loss rebate situation where that hold gets you to a required loss threshold since all the hands are guaranteed losers (if playing multihand) for that deal. At a craps table one time (this was at GSR in Reno), to speed things up some dude tossed me some nickels since I was slowing the game down by being a nit in regards to asking some question about a match play coupon I had to the pit ("Here buddy, just bet it" - tossing me some nickels) and this might be the type of guy that would do it.Quote:
Originally Posted by monetThank You for always giving me the math for free.Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplay
I bet the odds are difficult to find a friend that would hold a 7 perfect on any video poker machine on purpose!
I'm sure you have met people with that mindset though.
This Subculture isn't exactly what you might consider normal, mainstream or rational.
The best part about playing that game at the Stardust was that the Rio/CET was paying me $7.25 an hour to do so lol.
Your scenario is a bit more common.Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplay
I'm one of those impatient people that would do something like that.
I've done many things like that paying people to cut in line or paying for their groceries to speed things up or many other scenarios.
However, to find someone who is going to hold a hand that pays nothing back is another realm or level.
This is the same guy who won over 400k playing dice with 4 to 5 Crown and Sevens under the rail.
Same guy that threw over 4k into the air in the streets of Reno as we were going from one Casino to the Next.
Funny thing is he has way more patience compared to me.
One time I was watching him play the Don't and another guy was opposite of a long table playing the Do.
The guy asked the box... what do I have to bet for him to lose?
This probably resonates with me more as I was there.
Funny how people think that dice is you against me while the house covers all bets.
I think you are right Monet, your friend is at a higher level of seizing the moment. I like people like that (just as you do), but they usually don't last that long.Quote:
Originally Posted by monetYour scenario is a bit more common.Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplay
I'm one of those impatient people that would do something like that.
I've done many things like that paying people to cut in line or paying for their groceries to speed things up or many other scenarios.
However, to find someone who is going to hold a hand that pays nothing back is another realm or level.
This is the same guy who won over 400k playing dice with 4 to 5 Crown and Sevens under the rail.
Same guy that threw over 4k into the air in the streets of Reno as we were going from one Casino to the Next.
Funny thing is he has way more patience compared to me.
One time I was watching him play the Don't and another guy was opposite of a long table playing the Do.
The guy asked the box... what do I have to bet for him to lose?
This probably resonates with me more as I was there.
Funny how people think that dice is you against me while the house covers all bets.