BREAKING NEWS
Kyrie OUT today
Total for Nets falling FAST
Brooklyn vs. Dallas - Under 233 (232 ok)
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BREAKING NEWS
Kyrie OUT today
Total for Nets falling FAST
Brooklyn vs. Dallas - Under 233 (232 ok)
I've been staring at this one all day, and decided to fire.
Oklahoma City +225 vs. Denver
I already have the under on that game.
"I already have the under on that game." ---> Muriel and the Orange Death.
https://anagram-solver.net/I%20alrea....?partial=true
Noticed this, yesterday, but, thought I'd wait to see what happened.
2-2 yesterday. Weird finish, as one of the unders which looked good ended up losing in a bizarre final 90 seconds in a blowout game (the OKC one), and one of the unders which looked dead at halftime ended up easily covering (Nets). The moneyline lost, making me lose both OKC bets, but I won the Philly under to split the day.
Minnesota vs. Phoenix - Under 225
*** MONEYLINE ALERT ***
Golden State +130 at Lakers (sorry fellow Lakers fans)
Washington +185 at Boston (Jaylen Brown out, Washington has been excellent past 8 games - but they are playing back to back)
Lakers/Golden State - Under 220
Split 'em again, though I got royally screwed on the Washington +185. They were up 5 with 46 seconds, and were still up with 12 seconds and had the ball! How do you lose that?
*** MONEYLINE ALERT ***
I've lost my last 3 moneyline picks, but that doesn't worry me. Washington should've won last night.
I'll take another shot at beating Denver.
Chicago +160 at Denver (Milsap out)
Monitoring the Philly game, as there are 3 questionable players, including Embiid.
Two more.
Charlotte at Portland - Over 230 (230.5 ok)
San Antonio vs. Brooklyn - Under 233
Embiid and Brogdon both played, so I passed on the Philly game.
1-2 yesterday. Heartbreaker with the Brooklyn under. 104-93 with only 3 mins left to play, score ends up 108-108, sending it to OT and killing my great under, which otherwise had covered by 17. Chicago also blew a 6-point lead late.
Terrible.
I did hit the over. Should've gone 3-0, or at least 2-1.
Today:
Starting at 4:05 PT
Memphis at Washington - Over 238.5
More later
I should be 7-1 in my last 8 totals picks. I'm 6-2 because of that stupid OT yesterday.
Anyway, here's two more:
San Antonio vs. New York - Under 214
Milwaukee vs. Denver - Under 234
FYI the San Antonio game has a ton of missing players.
San Antonio: Aldridge, White, Weatherspoon, Vassell, Gay
New York: Rose, Payton, Gibson, Robinson
2-1, losing only the Washington game, which had a bad 3rd quarter and failed to go over by just 2.5 points.
Here's my current record:
I've slipped a bit since my peak on February 10th. However, I'm still up 5 units, down from a peak of 9.45.
Record on 2/10: 48-42-2 (+9.45 units)
2/11: 1-2 (-1.09 units)
2/12: 0-3 (-3.00 units)
2/15: 1-1 (+0.70 units)
2/18: 0-1 (-1.00 units)
2/19: 1-1 (-0.09 units)
2/20: 0-1 (-1.00 units)
2/21: 1-1 (-0.09 units)
2/23: 2-2 (-0.18 units)
2/24: 1-2 (-0.85 units)
2/25: 1-2 (-1.09 units)
2/26: 4-1 (+3.88 units)
2/27: 2-2 (-0.18 units)
2/28: 2-2 (-0.18 units)
3/01: 1-2 (-1.09 units)
3/02: 2-1 (+0.82 units)
TOTAL 2/11-3/02: 19-24 (-4.44 units)
GRAND TOTAL: 67-66-2 (+5.01 units)
Orlando +120 vs. Atlanta (Reddish out, Capela questionable, Ennis out, Fournier questionable)
Orlando vs. Atlanta - Under 219
Charlotte -3 at Minnesota
Dallas vs. Oklahoma City - Under 220 (Doncic doubtful)
Lakers at Sacramento - Under 223.5 (Lebron out, Davis still out, Gasol out, Kuzma questionable, Caruso questionable, Hield questionable, Parker questionable, Whiteside out, Woodard out)
Still watching Detroit as a possible moneyline pick. Jerami Grant is questionable. If he plays, I'm probably firing on them.
And another. This is the most picks I've made this season in a day. If I make one more, it will be an all time record for number of picks in a day.
Charlotte vs. Minnesota - Over 234.5
You have to do 1 more pick, we want to see history in the making!Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
3-3 yesterday. Should've been 4-2, but Orlando blew a 17-point halftime lead and lost in the final minutes. Terrible.
Today:
Clippers at Washington - Over 236
Also I'm going to throw in a ploppy pick:
Milwaukee -6.5 at Memphis
Maybe more later.
Stop saying shoulda, coulda, woulda.
At the end of the day you count up your money or units.
That's the only way to measure.
Either you get paid for your bet, you push or you lose.
None of this bullshit about how things should of gone.
Throwing in another:
Detroit at New York - Under 207 (206.5 ok)
True and not true.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
The quality of your picks isn't just dictated by actual win/losses but also how close they were. If you make 6 picks, and 3 are blowout wins and 3 are close losses, those were six good picks. You just fell on the wrong side of variance for those six. Similarly, if you made an under pick which wins by a wide margin in regulation, but you get fucked by OT and lose, it was a good pick. On the flip side, if you make an over pick which easily loses in regulation, but the bet wins thanks to OT, it was a bad pick where got lucky.
So it's important to note when you are seemingly seeing things well, and when you are just getting lucky or unlucky.
I will tweak things when I'm perceiving that I'm losing due to making actual bad picks, rather than just bad luck.
Yeah, like if Binnington "wouldn'ta" fucked me by losing the PL by giving one up with 8 seconds to go after just surviving a 6 on 4. I woulda and coulda won my parlay.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
I thought your picks were pretty good yesterday Dan.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffTrue and not true.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
The quality of your picks isn't just dictated by actual win/losses but also how close they were. If you make 6 picks, and 3 are blowout wins and 3 are close losses, those were six good picks. You just fell on the wrong side of variance for those six. Similarly, if you made an under pick which wins by a wide margin in regulation, but you get fucked by OT and lose, it was a good pick. On the flip side, if you make an over pick which easily loses in regulation, but the bet wins thanks to OT, it was a bad pick where got lucky.
So it's important to note when you are seemingly seeing things well, and when you are just getting lucky or unlucky.
I will tweak things when I'm perceiving that I'm losing due to making actual bad picks, rather than just bad luck.
I was on the Hornets -3 and the Mavs under but that Magic game did in my parlay. Shit I am one of Red's dumb asses.