Originally Posted by
regnis
INCONSISTENT ARCI---every time I state that you ER'ers are saying that you will regress to the mean you say no--there is no regression to the mean. Yet, you say, and I quote, "Over time the ER acts much like a magnet and pulls the player toward it. " So in english, you are saying if I'm ahead short term, I will eventually lose it back as the ER, like a magnet, pulls me to it. That, my friend, is a regression to the mean. But since you keep telling me there is no regression to the mean, the math is meaningless. Again, it is probability, nothing more, and results may vary.
You see, you use the ER argument for your beloved math, but you can't have it both ways. If I am ahead, the magnet will make me lose. But since each hand is independent, the magnet aint workin. Sheeeeesh.