Quote:
Originally Posted by
Rob.Singer
It was an uneasy game to watch (including seeing their best receiver strip down and quit mid-game) but Brady does it again. Successful sports betting is not at all easy.
I've had several people go into books asking them about future win-total bets like this, and they both were told the tickets are collectible only after the regular season is over. Not sure when I'll be in LV again though. Probably in the Spring.
Congratulations to you Rob. Must have been a bit nerve racking. Some of us won our over bets for the year last month. :cool:
I didn't and still don't think much of your wager and it has nothing to do with you. When wagering any higher end win total, there just is little room for error. Win totals are basically a reflection of what the team did last year, so a team that had a good year, gets a higher win total and has to duplicate or better last year's results. So take your Tampa Bay. They have a 43 year old QB that they are highly dependent on. There is just no room for error. What if he were to get hurt? Forget a season ending injury, but what if he just has a nasty high ankle sprain or broken hand that sidelines him for 4 weeks. It becomes almost impossible to hit that 12 games then. And again, this guy that they are dependent on as much as any other team in the league is 43. Pretty risky. And this year of all years with 100's of players hitting the covid list every week.
I much prefer to find a team with a low win total, which generally means they are coming off a bad year and have a few factors which you can point to as to why they will improve slightly this year. One of those factors is built in. teams that did badly the year before receive easier schedules. Last place teams play what is called a last place schedule. And while about half a teams games are set, against their division opponents and whatever division they are playing from the other conference, it is those remaining 6 or 7 (this year). Losing and last place teams play other losing and last place teams in those remaining games and that is often the difference.
But again, right now all that matters is that Tampa won it's 12th game today so congrats.