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When I sailed, it was with Celebration Cruises, and it was on an old ship that felt old even to someone who was quite used to the older ships the major lines run on short cruises out of Florida. ...

If the $25 deposit is supposed to be analogous to the sort of authorization 'deposit' that many hotels require, does that mean that via this deal the Plaza will allow you to check in without further...

In my experience, if I make sure I have to pay at least $10 at checkout, I get credit for the stay. They do have a limit of ten qualifying nights, but I've still been getting the minimal points,...

So a good portion off the "value" I get from casino freebies comes from combining those comps with other travel loyalty programs. My TR air credit and gift cards will be paying for a good portion of...

As it was explained to me, you should qualify for the Diamond Aspirations I and II offers again each year - even if you later hit Seven Stars, you "earned" those when you hit (iirc) 40k and 80k this...

He seems pretty good at math, I figure he'll weigh the value he gets out of the free hotel rooms against the risks at the best VP he can find with the best promos available and decide whether or not...

I actually didn't realize CET LV offered any $10/TC games at 99%+ except at the $100 level - the $25 games aren't listed on VPFree. Regardless, that's too rich for my blood - neither my bankroll nor...

Huge volatility at an unquestionably -EV game? When you have NOL and Tahoe? Why add that extra risk if your goal is the guaranteed benefits?

And nekaril, where did you see that at Harrahs?

I think what I don't get is how Rob knows his particular sequence(s) is(are) sound, given that he seems to deliberately avoid any statistical/mathematical grounds to support it(them.) I'm even...

No, my interpretation does NOT account for one die being identified - because the way I parse the sentence, you haven't been told anything about a specific die, you've been told something about the...

Well, at least I finally think I understand what you're saying now - yes, the odds of rolling a pair is 1/6. I still think you're parsing the question unnaturally at best, and find it hard to...

You know, initially, I thought you were trying to sucker someone you didn't particularly care for into a bad bet. I really have no idea what your motivation is at this point.

No, both dice would show a two 1/36 times if you didn't have your peeker limiting the action to only rolls that yield at least one two. If you maintain the setup, could you add the "how often"...

Would you agree to an answer of "one time out of eleven" if the question was rephrased to "How often will both dice show a two?" instead of the original phrasing?

I think you missed something here - the odds of at least one two showing up is NOT 1/11, it's 11/36. How do you figure the odds of getting a two by rolling two dice as LOWER than the odds of rolling...

Agreed - even if you rewrote the question in past tense to trick someone, the odds of getting a pair of twos don't change. What changing the tense does is allow you to - technically correctly - ask...

For what it's worth, I talked to a journalist friend of mine who writes financial articles for a living - unfortunately not the English professor you asked about. He said that parsing the original...

I take a bit of offense here, I think my asking you if you would tell me which of my steps don't match up your original question was plenty sensible. I'd still appreciate your doing so, actually.

Yesyesyes, this! With the wizard's bet, there are ten losers and one winner - only one winner out of eleven total possibilities. Follow that thought around to the paradigm shift.

I agree that language or logic is the problem here - I would point out that the people who argue that points one and three produce different answers are also arguing that points one and three do NOT...

Took me less than a minute to create what I assume is a very similar spreadsheet.

Just to make sure, you mean you'll roll a pair of dice. Any roll that doesn't yield a two will be a push, no action. Of the rolls that yield a two, the payout will be according to the above table. ...

Would you mind terribly looking through my steps and telling me which column or columns do not accurately represent your initial question?

Are people deliberately screwing with other people here? I'm so confused...

I agree and yet my spreadsheet does not. I've now run through literally millions of simulations and it is apparent that your friend not telling you WHICH die is a two somehow has a huge effect on...