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Type: Posts; User: quahaug

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    That's the problem. I'm to honest to be a...

    That's the problem. I'm to honest to be a criminal, I'm really bad at it. They cops ask me if I did it and I say yes officer that was me. I need to change jobs.
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    You'll just have to accept it as the fact that it...

    Well... I have a problem understanding how you think it's 1/11. So do me a favor. Take two physical dice and roll them. After at least one of the dice shows a 2, explain to me how you get your...
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    Well maybe you could help me out in my next...

    How right you are, if the peeker sees two twos The odds are 100% there is another two. If he sees any other number the odds are 0% there is a another two, but that has nothing to do with the original...
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    When you roll two dice and one die lands on a 2,...

    When you roll two dice and one die lands on a 2, the odds that both dice are 2-2 is 1/6.
    No it isn't.
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    Here we go.

    Alan, you shoot a lot of craps.

    Are you telling me that when the dice are thrown, and at least one of them lands on a 2, you see the hard 4 get paid off 1 time in 6?[/QUOTE]
    He sees a lot of...
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    This thread may go down in history as the dumbest...

    This thread may go down in history as the dumbest of all time. Alan must have been in a mood to start an argument. Maybe it it could be studied by a group of sociologists/psychiatrists, it would...
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    How right you are, if the peeker sees two twos...

    Sorry, the peeker cannot ALWAYS answer the question "at least one die is a 2" unless he sees both die. Hence, once he sees both die then he knows the exact answer already. The odds aren't 1:6...
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    It feels really good when my mind grasps a...

    I gave a perfect example to this puzzle using people instead of dice. The answer is the same.

    P.S. Singer believes the Monty Hall problem is 50/50. Look on Alan's Best Buys site for his...
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    +100

    Exactly. It is a trick question and most people will get it wrong. However, the words were clearly chosen carefully so that people with good logical skills will come to the right answer. It's...
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    The question couldn't be clearer. You say it's...

    Arci, good to see you! I appear to have inherited your mantle as Rob's most beloved poster, only he wants me to put my driver's license online. That'll be the day. At least he believed you were you! ...
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    I was going to leave this thread alone because...

    To put the record straight.

    1. I gambled for a living for many years.
    2. I can and presently do make a ridiculous amount of money working with no chance of loss, and working only about 20 hours a...
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    I'd love to see Alan analyze the Monty Hall...

    I'd love to see Alan analyze the Monty Hall problem. That would be a real barn burner.
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    The problem is you quoted the question wrong...

    Your chart is exactly right and you must consider only ONE of the following. If it is Die 1, the answer would be (as your graph shows) 1/6. If it is Die 2, it is also 1/6. YOU CANNOT SWITCH BACK...
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    The question is what are the odds of BOTH dies...

    The question is what are the odds of BOTH dies showing a two. The answer is 1/11. If the question was what are the odds of the OTHER die showing a two then the answer would be 1/6. Simple. The...
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    It was "Is Allen the most stubborn and obtuse...

    No, the answer to another question was one chance in eleven.

    The answer to this question was one in six.[/QUOTE]

    What was the exact wording of the original question?[/QUOTE]It was "Is Allen the...
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    If you don't understand the answer then the...

    If you don't understand the answer then the wording of the question won't matter anyway.
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    Maybe so but the fact remains that the answer is...

    Maybe so but the fact remains that the answer is one chance in eleven.
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