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great quote Garnabby

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one of yesterday's picks - Jalen Duren didn't play - any bets don't count - no action

today - Twins at Orioles -

Manuel Margot under 1.5 hits __________-195

he's...

yeah
I had no idea
Harris had 21

who was it who said____________I'd rather be lucky than good__________?________________so very, very true

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I am not sure this is the slam dunk that it initially appears to be. Embiid is the 76ers leading scorer at 30+ points a game (many coming from the foul line). He takes probably 35+ shots to get...

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have been kind of mediocre or a little worse than mediocre with my picks

gonna try and improve by focusing on proposition bets where I think there is a better chance of finding mispricings
...

totally understandable
I think a lot of bettors feel the same way
I think I'll be moving away from those types of picks also
ooth - it may be easier to find an edge (at least a theoretical one) on...

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add one more pick for today -

Marco Gonzalez - Pirates Pitcher - giving up under 3.5 earned runs to Phillies _____-165_________DraftKings_______see link

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MLS soccer

NY Red Bulls/Chicago Fire over 2.5 goals_____________-120

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NHL - one pick divided as such:

Edmonton tonight over Arizona - 290________80% of bet for a tiny win if they win but fail to cover

Edmonton on the Puck Line -1.5 -112 with the other 20% of...

Game went over in less than 1 inning. :)

Don't you wish they were all this easy?[/QUOTE]
yes
I like picking the over when there are weak starting pitchers
Hunter Brown of the Astros shows...

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Astros/Royals over 8.5 - 115

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too late to edit

wanna change above bet to just money line - Yankees -220 over Marlins

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today Yankees - one bet divided as such -

Yankees - 220 over Marlins_____80%_________a small win of about 16% of total bet if they win but fail to cover

Yankees -1.5...

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too late to edit -


the above math is incorrect - sorry about that

if the Lightning win but fail to cover the loss will be slightly over 20% of the total bet amount - sorry about that
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one bet - one unit divided as such - NHL

60% Tampa Bay Lightning over Blue Jackets - -330_____________smallish loss of about 10% of total bet if win but fail to cover

40% Lightning -1.5...

if you are saying that constructing bets on one game to win at most about 1/2 is not a good strategy (and I'm actually not sure if that is your meaning) then I disagree with that point of view
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hey, hey - please don't forget that I correctly picked the winner - S.C. on the moneyline and spread - at least________________:)




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tomorrow night -

one bet - one unit divided up as...

deleted

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I'll add under 76 first half total -120 to my picks for womens champ game today - S.C./Iowa


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/basketball/wncaab?category=halves

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women's championship today 3:00 p.m.

under 160.5 - I counted S.C. going 32- 4 under that total - their last 2 games the totals were 137 and 128_______very tough D

probably quite a bit of...

yes, very good calls on your part

the first game was way, way under - lots of ugly misses

no problem
you are in no way responsible for my picks posting
I changed because I thought your analysis was better than mine - something I hadn't considered and that seems pretty significant...

If this were NOT the final four and these two games were talking place last week in the elite 8, I would like and be betting these two games the exact same way you are picking. BUT, it is the final...

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for tomorrow's semifinal -

NC State + 9.5

Ala/UConn___________over__________160.5


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NIT Championship game tomorrow night - Indiana State vs. Seton Hall

Indiana State - 166 moneyline - 2 bets

Indiana State -2.5 spread - 1 bet___________Fan Duel shows the best line right...

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I talked down N.C. State but actually I would love to see them pull it off -
very improbable but it would be so exciting
they were only 9-11 in their own Conference and were 4-7 away and...