Originally Posted by
Alan Mendelson
I have to admit that many times players will deviate from the expected strategy or hold to try for something bigger. I see this all the time in double double bonus when players are dealt two pair including one paying pair, such as KK55 and they will hold the kings hoping for the quads. The math says that over the long term they are more likely to hit a full house holding two pair, and will make more money going for full houses. OK, I accept the math, but some players are more concerned about the "here and now" session they are playing and don't care about any long term. This is also why players break up full houses with three aces in Bonus Poker -- and even I did it once and hit the case ace. But I did it only once and even though Ive been presented with the same opportunity many times since then, I've kept the dealt full house.
Another reason for the safe or optimal hold comes down to the saying: a bird in the hand is worth two in bush... or... three of a kind in the hand is worth a royal in the bush. Of course there is a little complication here and that is the three of a kind in the hand could become four-of-a-kind.
I wonder Rob if you lack of quads over so many hands is also because of the way you play? Or, are you now playing strictly conventional strategy because you are retired?
Yes Rob, when you total up all my offers over a given month just from Rincon -- if I went there twice a week -- I would have in excess of $3,000 a month of free play, plus some blankets, pots, towel sets. And if I got lucky on some of the mystery slot plays, that total could be as much as $7,000 a month. And this year, if I got lucky on the last Saturday of the month drawings another $100,000 per month is up for grabs and on New Year's Eve there is that one-million dollars jackpot. Why do you advocate leaving all that money on the table without the FREE chance to get some of it?
You must be a very wealthy man to say to people don't bother playing with your players card.