My son hit a straight flush playing Mississippi Stud..paid 100/1. What are the odds of this?
My son hit a straight flush playing Mississippi Stud..paid 100/1. What are the odds of this?
I believe the game is essentially a deal of 5 cards as far as any player is concerned. There are 9 SFs in each suit times 4 suits comes to 36 possible SFs in 2,598,960 ... or one in 72,193.
Now, I suppose one could argue this is not quite exact as other cards are dealt to other players which does complicate matter. However, I think these kind of cancel out. In some cases the other players might have a needed card making it impossible to get the SF. OTOH, there are other cases where the cards do not interfere and make the odds of getting the SF in the community cards higher.
The odds for this game are the same as in any other game, but as Arc mentioned, because there are other players at the table you could argue that the chance of getting the cards you need become compromised.
I think you can play this game one-on-one with the dealer.
I've played a little Mississippi stud heads up with the dealer before at an Indian casino in Kansas (a nice little out of the way place called Prairie Band near Topeka).
Strictly speaking, the 5-card odds for a straight flush is 72,000-1, yes.
However, in Mississippi stud it's probably closer to about 250,000-1 if you follow optimal strategy.
On the first two cards you'd fold suited connectors 2/3, 3/4, 4/5...keeping only 5/6 or higher (or A/2).
On third street you'd have to have two high cards to keep playing the hand if there are still two gaps in the straight flush draw.
Simply put, the optimal play dictates enough folding to literally throw away certain straight flushes without being aware of it.
He didn't want to do this as the game would move too fast. I will find out how many others were at his table.Originally Posted by Alan Mendelson
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