I have no idea.
It's different than a cash game, where I believe I have a greater than 50% chance to walk away a winner in most cases.
In most tournaments, only 10% of the field cashes, so you can easily go through a bad run of 10 or more tournaments where you brick every one.
You're really looking to "run deep" and get the big money. Min-cashes don't do very much for you.