Singer at the Bat

[redietz]

[QUOTE=Rob.Singer;86396]

Before commenting further, I'm going to open the floor to blackhole, coach belly, and Mr. Mendelson, all of whom have presumably had to zero out large W2Gs. Mr. Mendelson appears to follow the letter of the law, so I'm assuming he does what Jean Scott, Bob Dancer, and the IRS guidelines suggest when it comes to gambling and federal taxes.

I'll give these folks a crack at theorizing why Rob studiously avoids any mention of proof of losses.

Meanwhile, mickeycrimm pointed out another major issue with the myth. Rob, after years of losing, basically took a 60% pay cut or thereabouts to pursue his "professional video poker" career. Right out of the shoot, more or less. After years of losing. Very ballsy. Or insane. Or a myth. You know, my late wife took a 30% pay cut from the military to teach at a university, and 30% ain't no small thing. I honestly do not know anyone else who took that kind of pay cut, except Rob, who evidently took a much larger pay cut "on spec."

While that may be hard to understand, let's get back to the zeroing out of the W2Gs and the IRS protocols for doing that. I'm sure blackhole, coach belly, and Mr. Mendelson understand some of the problems with Rob's stories.

It'll be my pleasure to help redietz and mickey look like dumb & dumber.


I'll briefly address Rob's misdirection and general idiocy here.

Whatever he's claiming I said in the post above, I never said. I frame things probabilistically. Even a blind squirrel and all that. It's a probabilistic world. Originally, I believed "Singer" regarding his claims of winning. What I took issue with was his insistence that his "systems" would work going forward. I have no idea if he won what he claims or not, and it's not terribly important to me. People win the lottery every day. I have no issues with lottery winners unless they claim they have systems that will win going forward.

Now here is why probability comes into play. Let's presume that "Singer" has followers and trainees, as he claims. Well, if he has a handful, or dozens, or hundreds, then very quickly we get into the realm of probability theory holding up that the aggregate of the people playing his "systems" are going to lose. There is no way to sidestep that. One can argue that this individual or that, playing a limited number of hands, can tiptoe through the raindrops of probability and wind up having won lifetime. There is no way an aggregate of trainees and fans can do the same. It defies probability. So if one lumps Jerry Logan and pahrump and slingshot and Argentino and presumably all of his trainees together, the systems are a loser in the aggregate. That is reality.

Now let's move on to the whole tax credibility issue. "Singer" still seems at a loss to address his proof of losses, which he'd need to have both for his "non-professional" filing years (to zero out his W2Gs) and his allegedly "professional" filing years, so as to claim expenses. He needs to have kept a daily log of his gambling. Probably a good idea to hang onto those casino win/loss statements also. Now the problem with those logs, if he actually kept them, is that they would reveal a different player profile than what he presents as his myth. Those logs would show number of hands played, hours played, and so on. He (and we, if he shared them) would know how many four of a kinds he hit in how many hands and other revealing details.

As to the casino win/loss statements. I don't know how all casinos work, but I can tell you that most offshores keep those records in perpetuity, both so they can profile and data-mine you. I see no reason the brick-and-mortars wouldn't hang onto those statements, also. Be that as it may, you can probably see where I'm going with this. In lieu of tax returns, "Singer" could have simply shared his amazing personal gambling logs and casino win/loss statements with Alan versus arci's tax returns. I can't see "Singer" tossing his personal logs into the fire after x number of years had passed, can you?

Anyway, as time has passed, I have become less convinced "Singer" was ahead what he has claimed. It doesn't much matter. What matters is that his systems' followers, as an aggregate, cannot win going forward as a group. That's all that matters. Do I really think he has a $1.5 million RV sitting in South Dakota that can never be driven anywhere? No, I don't, but that's not a big deal, and it's just my opinion. Do I think he hangs out in Laughlin because it's cheap? Yeah, but that's just my opinion.

What matters is the math.

As to "Singer's" psychotic viciousness -- I'd laugh about the crack regarding my wife "killing herself," but that would be inappropriate. My wife fought long and hard and bravely, and we tried to do the right thing by going both to NIH and UAB and participating in experimental treatments so as to pave a path. I realized that "Singer" saying something like that was in character, but still very odd. Why would someone even go there? And then I realized -- arci had always emphasized "Singer's" projecting.

Of course it hit me -- Rob's wife might have had some issues, probably with his gambling. Very deep, upsetting issues. And I'll leave it at that. There's probably a reason "Singer's" wife doesn't post here or anywhere. Probably a reason she looks so unhappy in the various photos he's posted.