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Thread: Super Bowl Props

  1. #1
    The Westin released its famous Super Bowl props at 7 PM tonight. They filled nine giant column screens that rotated information since they could post just 150 or so at a time, and they had more than 400.

    I was thinking of putting $20 or $30 on the Super Bowl. Any suggestions?

  2. #2
    Huh? You need suggestions? I was hoping to read your post for tips on what I can do?

    Here's something I always wondered about: US Coins made by the Mint are obverse heavy because of the portrait. If you flip a US coin and let it fall to the ground tails-up will outnumber heads-up. I think it was MIT which confirmed this back in the 1970s or maybe the 1960s.

    I never tested the privately minted Super Bowl coin that is used in the flip. I'm not sure if the early Super Bowls used the "private coin" or if they used a US Coin such as a Silver Dollar. Have the coin flips been 50-50 or has heads or tails shown a preference over the years?

    I asked the private mint that makes the current Super Bowl coins for their data on the weighting of the coin but never got a response.

  3. #3
    The SB coin is specially minted, but some people have speculated that there is usually a bias for tails.

    As an AP, I may have to put a few bucks on the coin flip.

  4. #4
    Originally Posted by redietz
    As an AP, I may have to put a few bucks on the coin flip.
    The "As an AP" part makes it a non-sequitur....if anything, it's the exact OPPOSITE.

    I was just thinking earlier today -- betting on the coin flip in the SB is probably the worst bet you could make, IMO. Reason being - you know beforehand it's a poor wager. At least if you're betting on a safety/no-safety, a streaker runs on the field, a nip-slip mid concert, etc...you don't know the actual odds, but with some research can come up with a good reason to make the bet.
    Last edited by RS__; 01-29-2016 at 12:44 AM.

  5. #5
    It has been calculated that calling tails every time with a Lincoln head penny gives you a half percent edge.

  6. #6
    Originally Posted by slobdinger View Post
    It has been calculated that calling tails every time with a Lincoln head penny gives you a half percent edge.
    Laying -102, still at a disadvantage (0.495%) if my math is correct.

  7. #7
    RS -- take my word for it. It's an advantage play. PM me if you want the details.

  8. #8
    What are the current odds that there's going to be a "wardrobe malfunction" in the half time show?

  9. #9
    I did see that mentioned somewhere off shore, Spock, but I will have to backtrack to find it.

    Meanwhile, how do you feel about things like:

    1) Phil Mickelson 4th round score -22 1/2 vs. Ted Ginn Jr. Receiving Yards or

    2) Emmanuel Sanders receiving yards -1/2 vs. Rory McIlroy 4th Round Score or

    3) Hofstra 1st half points -13 1/2 vs. Broncos Points.


    The Super Book made their prop packets available at 1 PM today. Previously you had to read the 400 props from nine odds boards that rotated because each board could hold only 16 props at a time.

  10. #10
    Red maybe you could use that 40 bucks you get from the Ellis Island promo and bet more than that $20-$30 you said you have for Super Bowl betting. Why not go BIG TIME?

    Not sure which "AP" the casinos fear more--you....or that nickel keno maniac mickey!
    Last edited by Rob.Singer; 01-29-2016 at 04:58 PM.

  11. #11
    LOL -- Rob, you're such a putz. A predictable putz.

    That was a typo in my previous post. I neglected to put a K after the 20 and 30.

    Thanks for making my day, buddy. I would hate to have been wrong about you taking the bait.

    You are such a nimrod.
    Last edited by redietz; 01-29-2016 at 05:06 PM.

  12. #12
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    I did see that mentioned somewhere off shore, Spock, but I will have to backtrack to find it.
    When it was announced it was Coldplay it was probably a real long shot. Now that Beyonce is in the mix it's probably slightly more likely.

    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Meanwhile, how do you feel about things like:

    1) Phil Mickelson 4th round score -22 1/2 vs. Ted Ginn Jr. Receiving Yards or

    2) Emmanuel Sanders receiving yards -1/2 vs. Rory McIlroy 4th Round Score or

    3) Hofstra 1st half points -13 1/2 vs. Broncos Points.
    Oh, I'm 100% with you on these

  13. #13
    Pointspreads

    panthers -7.5 +130

    broncos +7.5 -150

    panthers -10.5 +190

    broncos +10.5 -220

    panthers -14.5 +320

    broncos +14.5 -380

    panthers -17.5 +425

    broncos +17.5 -550

    panthers -21.5 +525

    broncos +21.5 -750

    panthers +3.5 -450

    broncos -3.5 +375

    panthers +7.5 -700

    broncos -7.5 +500

    panthers +10.5 -1000

    broncos -10.5 +650

    panthers +14.5 -1400

    broncos -14.5 +800

    panthers +17.5 -1600

    broncos -17.5 +900

    alternate totals

    panthers/broncos over 35.5 -450

    panthers/broncos under 35.5 +375

    panthers/broncos over 38.5 -280

    panthers/broncos under 38.5 +240

    panthers/broncos over 52.5 +250

    panthers/broncos under 52.5 -300

    panthers/broncos over 59.5 +475

  14. #14
    POINTSPREADS

    PANTHERS -7.5 +130

    BRONCOS +7.5 -150

    PANTHERS -10.5 +190

    BRONCOS +10.5 -220

    PANTHERS -14.5 +320

    BRONCOS +14.5 -380

    PANTHERS -17.5 +425

    BRONCOS +17.5 -550

    PANTHERS -21.5 +525

    BRONCOS +21.5 -750

    PANTHERS +3.5 -450

    BRONCOS -3.5 +375

    PANTHERS +7.5 -700

    BRONCOS -7.5 +500

    PANTHERS +10.5 -1000

    BRONCOS -10.5 +650

    PANTHERS +14.5 -1400

    BRONCOS -14.5 +800

    PANTHERS +17.5 -1600

    BRONCOS -17.5 +900

    ALTERNATE TOTALS

    PANTHERS/BRONCOS OVER 35.5 -450

    PANTHERS/BRONCOS UNDER 35.5 +375

    PANTHERS/BRONCOS OVER 38.5 -280

    PANTHERS/BRONCOS UNDER 38.5 +240

    PANTHERS/BRONCOS OVER 52.5 +250

    PANTHERS/BRONCOS UNDER 52.5 -300

    PANTHERS/BRONCOS OVER 59.5 +475

    PANTHERS/BRONCOS UNDER 59.5 -650

    -----------------------------------------------------------

    **Players must play in individual props for action**

    THE FOLLOWING PROPOSITIONS MAY BE PARLAYED UP TO 2 TEAMERS

    OPENING COIN TOSS WILL BE:

    HEADS -102

    TAILS -102

    WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE 3 STRAIGHT TIMES?

    **Excludes extra points and 2 point conversions

    ***Includes safeties

    YES -160

    NO +140

    WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE IN THE FIRST 6 1/2 MINUTES OF THE GAME?

    **(Includes safety)

    YES +115

    NO -130

    WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE IN THE FINAL 2 MINUTES OF THE FIRST HALF?

    **(Includes safety)

    **(If score happens with exactly 2 minutes remaining in First Half-Yes is the winner)

    YES -250

    NO +210

    WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE IN THE FINAL 3 1/2 MINUTES OF THE GAME?

    **(Includes safety)

    **(Includes Overtime)

    YES -140

    NO +120

    TEAM TO HAVE THE FIRST PENALTY:

    **(Declined Penalties Do Not Count)

    PANTHERS EVEN

    BRONCOS -120

    MOST PENALTY YARDS

    **(Declined penalties do not count)

    PANTHERS +120

    BRONCOS -140

    WILL THERE BE A MISSED EXTRA POINT KICK?

    **(If no TD is scored--all bets are refunded)

    YES +300

    NO -360

    WILL BOTH TEAMS MAKE 33 YARD OR LONGER FIELD GOALS?

    **(If no Field Goal is made, no is the winner)

    YES +120

    NO -140

    TOTAL QB SACKS BY: BOTH TEAMS

    OVER 5.0 -110

    UNDER 5.0 -110

  15. #15
    ANDRE CALDWELL (DEN) FIRST RECEPTION

    **(If No Reception-Under is the winner)

    OVER 5.5 -110

    UNDER 5.5 -110

    CODY LATIMER (DEN) FIRST RECEPTION

    **(If No Reception-Under is the winner)

    OVER 3.5 +110

    UNDER 3.5 -130

    OWEN DANIELS (DEN) FIRST RECEPTION

    **(If No Reception-Under is the winner)

    OVER 9.5 EVEN

    UNDER 9.5 -120

    VIRGIL GREEN (DEN) FIRST RECEPTION

    **(If No Reception-Under is the winner)

    OVER 2.5 -110

    UNDER 2.5 -110

    C.J. ANDERSON (DEN) FIRST RECEPTION

    **(If No Reception-Under is the winner)

    OVER 6.5 -130

    UNDER 6.5 +110

    RONNIE HILLMAN (DEN) FIRST RECEPTION

    **(If No Reception-Under is the winner)

    OVER 5.5 +130

    UNDER 5.5 -150

    FIRST GROSS PUNT BY: BRITTON COLQUITT (DEN)

    (If no punt---all bets are refunded)

    **Must be an official punt

    OVER 43.5 -110

    UNDER 43.5 -110

  16. #16
    TEAM TO USE COACHES CHALLENGE FIRST

    **(Official Challenges from the league are excluded)

    PANTHERS -110

    BRONCOS -110

    CAM NEWTON (CAR) FIRST PASS WILL BE:

    **(Interception is incomplete)

    COMPLETE -160

    INCOMPLETE +140

    WILL CAM NEWTON (CAR) THROW AN INTERCEPTION?

    YES -165

    NO +145

  17. #17
    TEAM TO USE COACHES CHALLENGE FIRST

    **(Official Challenges from the league are excluded)

    PANTHERS -110

    BRONCOS -110

    CAM NEWTON (CAR) FIRST PASS WILL BE:

    **(Interception is incomplete)

    COMPLETE -160

    INCOMPLETE +140

    WILL CAM NEWTON (CAR) THROW AN INTERCEPTION?

    YES -165

    NO +145

    CAM NEWTON (CAR) FIRST RUSHING ATTEMPT

    **(If No Rush Attempt-Under is the winner)

    OVER 5.5 +110

    UNDER 5.5 -130

    JONATHAN STEWART (CAR) FIRST RUSHING ATTEMPT

    **(If No Rush Attempt-Under is the winner)

    OVER 3.5 +120

    UNDER 3.5 -140

    MIKE TOLBERT (CAR) FIRST RUSHING ATTEMPT

    **(If No Rush Attempt-Under is the winner)

    OVER 1.5 -160

    UNDER 1.5 +140

    GREG OLSEN (CAR) FIRST RECEPTION

    **(If No Reception-Under is the winner)

    OVER 11.5 -110

    UNDER 11.5 -110

    TED GINN JR (CAR) FIRST RECEPTION

    **(If No Reception-Under is the winner)

    OVER 12.5 -110

    UNDER 12.5 -110

    JERRICHO COTCHERY (CAR) FIRST RECEPTION

    **(If No Reception-Under is the winner)

    OVER 7.5 -120

    UNDER 7.5 EVEN

    COREY BROWN (CAR) FIRST RECEPTION

    **(If No Reception-Under is the winner)

    OVER 9.5 -110

    UNDER 9.5 -110

    DEVIN FUNCHESS (CAR) FIRST RECEPTION

    **(If No Reception-Under is the winner)

    OVER 11.5 +110

    UNDER 11.5 -130

    JONATHAN STEWART (CAR) FIRST RECEPTION

    **(If No Reception-Under is the winner)

    OVER 4.5 EVEN

    UNDER 4.5 -120

  18. #18
    My 5 definite prop bets I'll be making

    Denver - 3 1/2 +$375
    OVER 52 1/2 + $250
    Total QB Sacks over 5 -$110 this will be my biggest bet
    Will there be a missed extra point YES + $300
    Will Cam throw an INT NO + $145

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