Another meaningful discussion on strategic gambling gets sabotaged by....The Confederacy Of Dunces.
Another meaningful discussion on strategic gambling gets sabotaged by....The Confederacy Of Dunces.
The Wiz wrote, about the alleged 18 yo's:
"18 yo's in a row = 1 in 39,346,408,075,296,500,000,000
Powerball = 1 in 292,201,338
Powerball 2 out of 2 = 1 in 85,381,621,928,990,200
So, it is 460,829 times more likely to buy two Powerball tickets, and win both of them, than to go throw 18 yo's in a row."
OK, so who is more credible:
A disinterested actuary with no dog in the fight who is well respected in the world of gambling math, or
An innumerate with serious health issues who happens to enjoy whatever attention he can muster?
What, Me Worry?
Exactly.
You made up that number just to prove a point, not realizing just how ridiculous it was. Even people with zero math background or gambling knowledge knew this was near impossible, but YOU didn't, so now you look stupid. You couldn't bring yourself to confess you didn't really know exactly how many yo's in a row were seen because you felt everything you ever said would be in question, so you dug in. I have a feeling it was many yo's during your session, but not in a row.
I get why you dislike AP's and Math guys, they prevent you from fooling everyone with your gambling fish stories.
This us funny. The collection of unverifiable, anonymous "AP's" here claim what Alan says he witnessed is a lie and impossible, while they also claim to believe in the math.
Well guys, the math says 18 yos in a row is possible. So why don't you believe it? Oh....because Alan made a fool out of that losing AP on the dice problem who begs forum members for money--the Wiz. Glad that's settled.
If kew really wants to take a bet that he can accurately count 2 tables simultaneously at a specific casino and at any two tables he chooses, I'll take some of that. Just don't sneeze on the money or get any blood on it please.
A load of AP crap axel, and everyone sees it.
You often go off about people not accepting you challenges blah blah blah, but then someone comes along and does and you flop out a pile of stupid, cowardly excuses why you just can't do it right now. And all that does is confirm how APs are nothing but losing, addicted problem gamblers....you know, just like wizard proved he was. It don't get more real than that! As they say.
I never heard this one. Rob claimed to have people following you around? Were you being tailed by a Winnebago or a Hellcat?
Rob, in case you're reading this, may I suggest a book by my brother-in-law? It'll help you out. It was written back when both you and I were hanging in Las Vegas, so it may be a bit dated, but so are we.
It's Serious Surveillance for the Private Investigator. The author is Bob Bruno. Happy reading!!
For the same reason I don't predict that at exactly 9PM tonight an asteroid will smash into the strip and blow Paradise to, well, paradise.
While most anything could happen, we who call ourselves educated like to inject a bit of reality into the equation.
I find that an understanding of math leads to a marked decrease in confusion and superstition.
Last edited by MisterV; 08-13-2017 at 05:34 PM.
What, Me Worry?
Nah, I'm just a ploppie, but contrary to the assertions of some I do in fact believe that AP's really do exist, and that they can make a living via casino gambling.
I choose not to go down the AP path because it is too much like work, in fact it WOULD be work; I gamble in part to escape from the pressures of my job, not to immerse myself in them.
Last edited by MisterV; 08-13-2017 at 07:23 PM.
What, Me Worry?
The key to the above "ap statement" is "or whatever". It fits in rather nicely with the other ap's here not knowing a whole lot of what they're talking about.
But please splain. You're claiming I had some anonymous internet hack followed around (or whatever ) for the purpose of what? You do know that all you're doing is giving red "pr packet" ietz an opportunity to serve up more of his not so clever/rarely humorous remarks that are laced with corn, correct?
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