Results 1 to 5 of 5

Thread: Was It Magic or Expertise?

  1. #1
    Early on Saturday, after the initial line on James Madison versus East Carolina was first posted, I posted a thread under Sports and Sports Betting called "My Favorite Line of the Day." I suggest everyone go read it, as it is rather short.

    It turns out I made that post with a bit of a sly nod. James Madison opened -7 in that game.

    Now there were 90 lined college football games last week. Which game do you think, out of all 90, wound up with the biggest line move? Hmmmmm? Well, it turns out that in the hours between my post and the kickoff of the James Madison/East Carolina game, the line moved a whopping 5 1/2 points! It moved more than any other game.

    Now how would I have known that? Well, truth to tell, I didn't KNOW it, but I suspected it at the time. So little www.vegascasinotalk.com had a member who happened to pinpoint the single biggest line move of the week IN ADVANCE of the line budging.

    It must, of course, have been all dumb luck on my part.

    Bettors -- some public and some private -- poured money in on East Carolina. The line nose-dived to -1 1/2. Think about that. All that money on one side of the game. But what did the member of www.vegascasinotalk with the "My Favorite Line of the Day" say about that? Well, it's pretty clear to someone who bets sports that the author of the thread isn't a fan of the team with the bigger television contract, the brand name, or the better "FBS" designation. In fact, the author seems to be warning you off the team getting more television money for their name.

    Of course, people who don't know what they're doing wouldn't recognize that the poster just nailed the single biggest line move of the week as his "Favorite Line of the Day." Or that he disagreed with the likely money to come on a particular team.

    Now I would never have bothered pointing out the expertise inherent in that post, except Mr. Belly and Mr. Singer not only didn't grasp the post, they decided it was a good reason to criticize me.

    The problem with this site is that people who often don't know what they are doing, such as Rob Singer and coach belly, presume they do. I don't really know any of coach's posts that reveal any expertise in anything, except for a free play explanation that was pretty obvious. Rob has some decent advice when he's not expounding on video poker, politics, or (gag me with a spoon) sports. Unfortunately, he just whiffs on so much obvious stuff, like this, that it's a sin.

    People on this site need to decide whether they want to read expertise or nonsense. And if you want to read expertise, then you should, as readers, stand up for the person who's actually expert. I have been more than cordial and fair to coach belly. I have never wavered from saying about Rob, "He's a horse's ass regarding much, but he has some points." But I mean, let's face it, these dudes don't contribute much of anything. They just try to knock people down.

    Coach's criticism of my "My Favorite Line of the Day" is my favorite example of him making an ass of himself. My favorite moment for Rob is when I said I'd be making $25 in Super Bowl bets two years ago, and purposefully left the K off the 25, figuring there was a good chance Rob would jump in and say what a piker and low roller I was. Of course, Rob took the bait like a blind catfish with a food addiction.

    If people want a decent site, they've gotta defend the expertise and call out the nonsense. I just nailed the biggest line move out of 90 games, and suggested it was wrong. And I did this BEFORE THE LINE MOVED.

    Must have been, as Rob would say, luck.

  2. #2
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    the line moved a whopping 5 1/2 points! It moved more than any other game.

    Now how would I have known that? Well, truth to tell, I didn't KNOW it, but I suspected it at the time.

    I just nailed the biggest line move out of 90 games
    This is a post-event evaluation. You didn't hint in your original post that the line would move.

    This guy didn't discuss the line moving towards ECU, but he had a great read on the game...and freebie to boot.

    https://herosports.com/fcs-football/...sets-2017-bzbz

    Sam Herder
    July 18, 2017

    With 22 less scholarships, any FCS win should be considered an upset. But it's become clear that the top 10-15 FCS teams are superior to the bottom half of the FBS.

    James Madison @ East Carolina (Sept. 2) – This is a rare game where the FCS team is favored. And the spread of 4.5 points is actually being generous to ECU, who went 3-9 last season. JMU is the defending FCS national champs and don't appear to be taking any steps back. This is an extremely winnable game for the Dukes.

  3. #3
    I don't have any idea what he's talking about here, except that he predicted nothing about the line moving. And as usual, when he writes long, boring corn-filled posts, he's never really certain about what kind of accolades he's trying to create for himself on any given day.

    Sounds like his pr packet needs a bit of work.

  4. #4
    Rob do you remember all those arguments you got into on LVA Sports Forum about NFL picks? Do you remember telling them you were a better NFL handicapper than any of them? Do you remember that you were going to show them by putting up your picks against the spread on your website for every game....before the games started?

    Do you remember that you were getting beat so badly that you quit putting up your picks only a 3rd of the way through the season? And do you remember that you did it again the next year and quit a 3rd of the way through that season too....for the same reason?

    You couldn't even hit 45% winners. LOL!!!! Hell, anyone can hit at 50% just by hanging the printout up on the wall and throwing darts at it, but your clown ass couldn't even "pick" 45%. You should have thrown darts, Rob....you would have won more games. LOL!

    Pretty damn embarrasing to have to quit with shit on your face just a 3rd of the way through both seasons, wasn't it? LOL!

    Wise up, dumb ass.

  5. #5
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    Rob do you remember all those arguments you got into on LVA Sports Forum about NFL picks? Do you remember telling them you were a better NFL handicapper than any of them? Do you remember that you were going to show them by putting up your picks against the spread on your website for every game....before the games started?

    Do you remember that you were getting beat so badly that you quit putting up your picks only a 3rd of the way through the season? And do you remember that you did it again the next year and quit a 3rd of the way through that season too....for the same reason?

    You couldn't even hit 45% winners. LOL!!!! Hell, anyone can hit at 50% just by hanging the printout up on the wall and throwing darts at it, but your clown ass couldn't even "pick" 45%. You should have thrown darts, Rob....you would have won more games. LOL!

    Pretty damn embarrasing to have to quit with shit on your face just a 3rd of the way through both seasons, wasn't it? LOL!

    Wise up, dumb ass.
    I remember that, but you have to give Rob credit, he admitted he sucked at picking NFL winners when he gave up.
    Take off that stupid mask you big baby.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Similar Threads

  1. magic launch box
    By anjie21 in forum Whatever's On Your Mind
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 07-31-2013, 03:22 AM

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •