Originally Posted by
MisterV
OK, the dust is settling, time to mull this shit over.
Paddock seems to have been an AP.
Is there anything about the environment which an AP such as Paddock surrounded himself in which might arguably have lead him to going ballistic?
Such as lack of human contact; dealing with a machine as main interface / point of contact; wide swings in win/loss.
The guy seems to have been misanthropic: I don't know if that is typical of AP's.
Wouldn't be at all surprised to learn that Paddock lurked at gambling boards, maybe he posted as well: we'll see.
Ok, first of all, just stop it MrV. This has nothing to do with the guy being an AP or not being an AP. The dude was a very sick dude. It doesn't matter if he was a real estate investor (which apparently he was), an AP, a recreational gambler, what sports team he was a fan of or what his favorite color was. None of that is to blame for his murdering 58 people and injuring hundreds more. That is just an extremely sick dude.
Secondly, I reject the label of AP for this person, based on what I have read. Advantage Player means the player is playing with an advantage and over the 'long run', will show a profit. I have seen no evidence of that. Anthony Curtis, Shackleford and Dancer have all talked about the guy playing a game with a return of 99.17%. That alone obviously is
not a winning game. Are there perks like cashback, free play and shopping sprees that make it "profitable", meaning at the end of the day he has more cash on hand than he started?? Probably not. If you figure the comped suites, meals and fine wines, perhaps the guy is playing close to a break even game and getting free vacations/dining/beverages out of the deal. But unless he turns around and sells some of the "comps", he is not ending the day with more money in his pocket than he started with.....and that is what advantage play is really about.
I know a guy (sounds like the Danny Ocean line) who does play a so called break even game and makes a living doing so. He breaks even on his actual play, gets all sorts of comps, like shopping sprees, cruises, and tickets to top shows and sporting events. He then turns around and sells all those gifts (expensive jewelry), cruises, tickets, on ebay....and that is his profit margin. I think it has become more difficult in recent years as some of these gifts have become non-transferable.
But I don't think this Paddock asshole was doing any of that. He was a net loser, presumably a big loser who got some comps, which amounted to free vacations, but not more money in his pocket, which is the basis of advantage play.
In one article I read where he thought he had figured out an algorithm as to when the machines would pay off and grew increasingly annoyed when this didn't pan out. That is voodoo stuff. Degenerative gambler stuff...not AP thinking. Almost reminds me of a recently departed member here who claims to have made a fortune, playing -EV games......VOODOO!