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Thread: Dan Druff's NBA picks

  1. #201
    Brooklyn +2.5 (or moneyline +120 or better)
    Lakers under 214 -115 (213.5 ok)

    Looking at San Antonio under, but not posting yet
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #202
    I have Sac under 211

    Posted on my Pokerfraudalert site.

    Forgot to post here.

    Already started.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #203
    Lost my 3 picks over the past 2 days.

    Yesterday's pick was on pace to win, but a surprisingly close game blew it over by 6 points due to fouling.

    Probably won't have any picks today. Considering Phoenix +15.5, but maybe not.

    Looked at the earlier games and didn't like any of them. Considered New Orleans +3 but backed off. They were 15 points up, but they are melting down now, so they may not end up covering!

    Also considered Brooklyn, but good thing I stayed away because they are shitting the bed AGAIN. They are really terrible.

    Also considered NY +11.5 and that one will probably cover.

    Also considered San Antonio under, which hasn't started yet, but decided against it.

    So looks like despite all of these considerations, there's a good chance I'll be making no picks, which might be good, because I've been slumping big time recently.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #204
    Firing Phoenix +16.5 on Bovada

    16 ok
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #205
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2015
    Posts
    1,385
    RIP suns. ;(

  6. #206
    Miami under 204.5 (can get 205 at some books, and even 206 on some Bovada accounts)

    Starting in 30-35 min
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #207
    Minnesota +3.5

    Starting in 15-20 min
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #208
    Sacramento under 206
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #209
    Guys,

    I've hit a wall. I'm thinking it might soon be time to pack it in and try again in the first half of next NBA season. My methods which worked so well are now failing, even with some modifications.

    I'm also finding far fewer "value" under bets, and it doesn't help that a lot more games seem to be going over in general right now.

    I've lost 7 in a row -- my worst streak of the year.

    Here's one for 35 mins from now, but I don't blame you if you don't trust it:

    Denver +3 -115 (2.5 -110 ok, +125 or better moneyline ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #210
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2017
    Posts
    591
    yeah. sometimes you have to pack it in before the all star weekend, because the 2 days before the break you never know if the players minds are on the game or in the Bahamas.
    I would think the first thing to go would be defense.

    I just was listening to a guy from a betting website on a sports station. He wasnt selling anything...he was just a regular guest ...and he said he plugged in for the last 20 years, the wed and thur before the allstar break......and 61 percent of the time for those games, the home team covered.

    I am sitting out till the weekend as usual. good luck

  11. #211
    Honestly it's been a sharp's nightmare for the last 2 weeks or so because there's been a ton of games where either the very good team covered or the very bad team didn't cover. So the "obvious" public bet has been the right one.

    And then scoring has been up recently, so unders have often been losing.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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