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Thread: Dan Druff's NBA picks

  1. #121
    Quote Originally Posted by RS__ View Post
    Siri is awful at telling the score or who won a game. I don't remember the teams, but a while back I asked Siri who won in a game, and it was something like....
    You actually talk to Siri or is this a joke? I am only 42 but I certainly can't get into this talking to my phone and having it talk back to me. I find it easier to just push a button but I like pushing buttons. I thought I would like a house that was voice activated but now that they actually have it I find that I don't want anything to do with it.

  2. #122
    Not really feeling anything for the two early games.

    I'll be back a little later, closer to the night games, to post picks on the others.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #123
    Early evening games:

    Houston +3 -105
    Houston under 236.5 (236 ok) *** (see below)
    Milwaukee +7 (no Antetokounmpo, no Reddick)

    *** The Houston under pick is a "feel" pick, based upon my belief that totals like 236 are too damn high. This was pick was not made with my usual analytics. I have a belief (which is not yet verified in any way) that such a total is +EV to fire under in standard NBA games, simply due to the fact that it is very difficult to maintain such a high scoring pace for an entire 48 minute game. However, if you wish to stick to picks made through my usual strategy, you should skip this one. The Houston side was made through my usual strategies.

    Also, as the Bucks are missing Antetokounmpo today, while I like that side anyway (and my numbers led me to it), beware that this game is a bit unpredictable, so there's a reasonable chance that the Bucks will get blown out.

    Also, for whatever reason, the sharps are leaning AGAINST my Houston pick today, which is very rare. Almost all of my picks end up where the sharps are either for them or neutral towards them.

    So this is kind of a strange day so far.

    You've been warned.

    I might make more picks on the final games later.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #124
    Early evening games:

    Houston +3 -105
    Houston under 236.5 (236 ok) *** (see below)
    Milwaukee +7 (no Antetokounmpo, no Reddick)

    *** The Houston under pick is a "feel" pick, based upon my belief that totals like 236 are too damn high. This was pick was not made with my usual analytics. I have a belief (which is not yet verified in any way) that such a total is +EV to fire under in standard NBA games, simply due to the fact that it is very difficult to maintain such a high scoring pace for an entire 48 minute game. However, if you wish to stick to picks made through my usual strategy, you should skip this one. The Houston side was made through my usual strategies.

    Also, as the Bucks are missing Antetokounmpo today, while I like that side anyway (and my numbers led me to it), beware that this game is a bit unpredictable, so there's a reasonable chance that the Bucks will get blown out.

    Also, for whatever reason, the sharps are leaning AGAINST my Houston pick today, which is very rare. Almost all of my picks end up where the sharps are either for them or neutral towards them.

    So this is kind of a strange day so far.

    You've been warned.

    I might make more picks on the final games later.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #125
    Super last minute:

    Clippers under 213
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #126
    Posted Dallas +5.5 but decided to take it back. Not betting it.

    Was up for about 2 min. Hopefully none of you bet it.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #127
    True story with the Clippers... I totally forgot about it, then ran down to bet it in the final minutes. Wish I forgot. What a disaster that was.

    2-2 day thanks to Houston, and I move to 127-92-2.

    Oh, and regarding the last-minute Dallas pick I posted and retracted (which I don't think anyone bet, fortunately, and I didn't either), I made a critical error which, if anything, meant I should have picked the other way.

    But it was so last minute that I didn't have time to do anything but erase the post and not bet it myself.

    It's losing by 15 so looks like that was a good decision. If I had more time, I actually would have gone with Portland, but either way, whatever... it's a no-pick/no-bet.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #128
    Detroit over 209 (its -105 on Bovada right now)

    Might have one more on last game later.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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