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Thread: Dan Druff's NBA picks

  1. #81
    Senior Member
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    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I honestly feel kinda bad when people bet my picks and they lose.

    Makes me a little nervous now because I've been so cold in the past week.

    The funny thing is that fairly few people were betting my picks when I was winning 75% of what I was posting, and those winners were often blowing out the line by 20+ points.

    Now I'm 4-10 in the last 14, with three of those wins being close, and people are following.

    LOL

    Did you get in the Brooklyn one? I'm guessing no.
    Well I'm 3-2 following your picks. Don't feel bad if they lose. We're all grown adults who can make our own choices. I think your bets are good so I'll follow them. Just do me a favor and don't go losing the next 20 or nothing like that.


    I didn't bet the Brooklyn one, no. I figured I'd only bet the under bets that you make. Tough loss though, you would'a beaten the spread at +3.5 but lost on the ML. =(

  2. #82
    Starting in about 20-25 min:

    Utah +4

    More NBA later
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #83
    Here's a game well in advance, though not in advance enough, as the line has already moved. But it's still good.

    Portland -2

    Spurs are missing Green, Parker, Leonard, and Gay. It's basically Pau, Aldridge, and the 7 dwarves. And the game is in Portland.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #84
    Here's a game well in advance, though not in advance enough, as the line has already moved. But it's still good.

    Portland -2

    Spurs are missing Green, Parker, Leonard, and Gay. It's basically Pau, Aldridge, and the 7 dwarves. And the game is in Portland.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #85
    Alllllllllllmost 2-0 yesterday. Portland blew 7-point lead very late and ended up winning by 1.

    Today two totals (RS's favorite)

    Houston under 220
    Sac over 199 -115 (199.5 -110 ok)

    Sharps are on Houston under, they are neutral on Sac pick
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #86
    I just got royally screwed in the Houston game.

    42 points in the final 5:56 to beat my under by 3.

    You read that right.

    Even more unbelievable was that this game was NOT CLOSE in the 4th.

    This wasn't due to intentional fouling.

    There were only 5 points in the final 1:21!

    How do 37 points roll in over slightly more than 4.5 minutes?

    This has to be one of the bigger screw jobs I've had this year.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #87
    Despite the Houston screw job (probably my worst-luck loss of the season, given a late lead), I still went 1-1 as the Sac over covered. Perhaps KewlJ is onto something when he says my overs, while few and far between, tend to be best.

    Record now 107-75-2.

    Here's an under, starting in about 1.5 hours:

    OKC under 205 -115 (204.5 -110 ok)

    Probably my only play today. Sharps are on this one. They are also on Miami +4.5, Lakers under 212.5, and Dallas under 215, but I'm not feeling those. The above is the only bet I recommend, at least for now.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #88
    Here are picks on the early games. I'll be back later maybe with more.

    Washington under 207.5
    Detroit under 205
    Chicago +4.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #89
    Golden State under 219 -115, 218.5 -110 is ok.

    Massive number of people sitting.

    Curry/Thompson on GSW, Rivers/Griffin/Gallianari on Clippers.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #90
    Wish I didn't add that GS pick, as it didn't come close to winning. 2-2 day. Now 109-78-2.

    For those who are a fan of my overs, here are two:

    Lakers +2.5
    Lakers Over 211
    Cleveland Over 223
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #91
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    I hope all your bets win. Lakers ML, ftw.

  12. #92
    Can I call it a decent NBA day even when one pick lost spectacularly by almost 40 points?

    Well, I went 2-1, so I guess so.

    Record now 111-79-2.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #93
    Brooklyn under 211
    Washington under 218

    Perhaps more shortly
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  14. #94
    Memphis under 204 -115 (203.5 -110 ok)
    Memphis +6.5

    Looking at Portland under, but not sure yet
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #95
    Okay... I decided to hit the Portland under, even though it's kinda weird because of Lillard and Davis likely playing but each not at 100%.

    Portland Under 220

    Almost all of the money has gone on the over this game. If you hate the public, this is the bet for you, because this is super anti-public. Sharps not on this one either way.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #96
    One final under...

    Golden State under 222

    Curry out
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #97
    Sharps are on a ton of games. Won't bother to list them all, but of my 6 picks, the sharps agree with:

    Washington under
    Portland under (sharps were on it, then they weren't, now they are again)
    Memphis side
    Golden state under

    They are not with my Memphis under or Brooklyn under, but they are also not against them.

    As I mentioned, sharps are on several others tonight which I'm not betting either way.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #98
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    DD
    the thing about golden state is that they are a well disciplined defensive team ....when they turn on the switch. Last game thompson was out so it showed in 120 points from the clips.

    So when any major player is out...they have others that can make up those points. Curry doesnt hog the ball like westbrook. The ball gets passed around quite a bit so thompson can get hot, Durant can score an extra 10 points easy, the bench is productive.

    This is a real tough road trip with toront and cleveland coming up....so I think they may want this game badly and decide to play some defense. In my opinion the under may be a good bet, not because curry is out(I am sure the man adjusted for that)...but because they havent played great defense in recent games and here is an opportunity to get a win with some difficult teams coming up.If they dont win this game they can be looking at 3 losses in a row. So this is important.....andKerr stresses defense. Milwaukee also stopped their 26 game opening year winning streak(2 years ago) so here they arre again at the scene of the crime.....and i am sure they remember that(thompson was missing that game). I personally dont bet totals with GS because this year I can see they are not taking the regular season as seriously as previous years, with alot of resting of players. And they still have the bad taste of going for the win record 2 years ago and running out of gas against cleveland. So its hard to tell if they are going to give max effort on defense. When they do...they usually hold the opponent under 100....and that makes unders of 220 very doable.

  19. #99
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    Looking at the scores right now, I be like...

    https://youtu.be/HT-mSima3CE





    Joking, of course. I told my friend you had good bets and he decided to follow your picks today, too. #HesAJinx

  20. #100
    Charlotte +2 (or money line)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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