This year I decided to change my entire approach to NBA betting.

Prior to this NBA season, I was simply like most of the other losing recreational sports bettors -- believing I had a "feel" for who would win, and betting accordingly.

Not surprisingly, it didn't go well.

I even tried hafltime betting strategies, and while initially successful, those also failed to produce consistent winning, so I backed off of that.

So finally, for the 2017-18 NBA season, I decided to tackle this problem using analytics and betting patterns. This does sometimes result in getting an inferior line (as often I bet late, after the action has already moved the line), but I also have a much clearer view of the game about to be played, the sharp/square action, and the sportsbook reaction to the sharp/square betting.

I mostly do unders and home underdogs, though sometimes I will also do others. (Yesterday, for example, I went over on Orlando, which easily won.)

So far, my record is a very nice 71-46-2, which is over 60%.

However, some of this was due to a super-hot pre-Thanksgiving start, where I went a staggering 44-20-1. So I'm only 27-26-1 in my last 54 picks, which may or may not mean anything. In my own defense, I will state that I knew there was no way I could maintain a pace like 44-20, and I also have avoided any kind of real losing streak this season. In fact, it has been very rare that I post 2-4 picks and don't win at least one. Most losing days have been the 0-1 or 1-2 variety.

I post these picks on my other forum (pokerfraudalert.com). Let me know if you would like to see them, and I will link you to that thread.

I will often post them shortly before game time, but usually try to get them up at least 30 minutes before the game starts. Typically I will post the picks at around 3:30pm PST, but not always.