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Thread: Dan Druff's NBA picks for 2017-18 season

  1. #181
    Took a day off NBA yesterday. Nobody was really going to care anyway because that's not the sport people were focusing on.

    Still looking at the final 2 games (starting after 7pm PST), but here are my two picks on the others:

    Portland under 211 (210.5 ok)
    Charlotte under 219
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #182
    Was on the fence about this one, but I'm doing it:

    Portland +2.5 (or moneyline +120 or better)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #183
    One more:

    Dallas under 214.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #184
    Thanks for the info, as usual. How'd you do on superbowl?

  5. #185
    Didn't bet Superbowl.

    NBA
    New York -1 (-1.5 ok)
    Houston under 218.5
    Washington under 213.5 (213 ok)


    Watching Lakers right now. May go for them on the side, even though it's LOL to bet Lakers -8. I think it will move to 7.5. Will update soon.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #186
    0-3 is looming for me.

    Let's try to salvage it:

    Lakers -8 -105

    Feels weird to bet that.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #187
    Making a few adjustments after struggling recently (including 1-3 yesterday)

    Houston under 207.5

    Starting in 20-25 min

    More soon maybe
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #188
    Actually I think that's it for tonight
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #189
    Ugh.

    Houston under had terrible first half (118 points), but great 2nd half, and was going to be close whether it won or lost.

    James Harden hit a pair of 3s to hurt me, but the dagger came from a steal with less than a minute left (Miami was careless), allowing an uncontested layup for Houston to bring it to 207 points.

    With about 30 seconds left, Miami got fouled while scoring a basket, and that was that. Ended up losing by 2.5, with a 210 total.

    On the "picks I considered making but decided against, due to my adjustments" front, Miami +4.5 would have lost (sharps loved this one btw), and Brooklyn +9.5 would have squeaked by with a 0.5-point win.

    Actually still considering San Antonio under. Will post update shortly.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #190
    I watched that game on the computer and at halftime didnt think you had a chance. And halfway theoughthe 4th it actually looked good. I was rooting for you. thats gambling

  11. #191
    Decided to fire on San Antonio under.

    Game starts in about 20 min.

    San Antonio under 202 -105 (you can get 203 on Bovada on some accounts)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #192
    Originally Posted by LarryS View Post
    I watched that game on the computer and at halftime didnt think you had a chance. And halfway theoughthe 4th it actually looked good. I was rooting for you. thats gambling
    Thanks. I almost wrote it off at halftime.

    Before that steal in the final minutes, I actually had a very good shot to win it, as the total was 205 and the game wasn't close, so I was basically fading either a Miami 3-pointer or 2-pointer+foul. If Miami scored quickly, they might have had another possession, but the game wasn't close enough to be worth fouling them, and Houston would have just held the ball for most of the remaining clock.

    But then they got that steal, Houston got an easy quick basket, and I was in big trouble.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #193
    Dan

    does a day like today, with the trades, make certain teams unplayable for a few weeks till we see how the pieces fit together? For a team like cleveland....teams stats go out the window, past performances agasint teams go out the window. Will you be avoiding cleveland, and perhaps Lakers for now?

  14. #194
    Atlanta under 212

    still looking at others

    starts in about 20 min
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #195
    Boston under 205 (204.5 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #196
    OKC -3.5
    OKC under 217
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #197
    Indiana under 204

    Starting 20 min

    not seeing a lot I like today. Was on the fence about Clippers side, but didn't fire. So far it looks good but it's very early obv
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #198
    If only I fired on the Cilppers.... oh well...

    Here's another:

    Sacramento +5 -115 (4.5 -110 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  19. #199
    Dan, if this is easily available to you, what is your record now for the season? It seems like you’ve gone through a bit of a bad spell recently.

  20. #200
    Record is 153-120-4.

    I have slipped a bit recently, splitting picks for 5 of the past 7 days, and losing the other 2 days. I did get screwed on an OT on Thursday, and should have gone 3-1 instead of 2-2.

    I was 98-62-2 after December 30. I am 55-58-2 since then, so clearly there's been a downturn.

    I am in the process of adjustments, as I think some of my strategies in the early/early-mid season are not translating well to mid-season.

    At the moment, I also have more confidence in my totals than sides, and in fact might abandon sides (or at least decrease them) soon if I can't get them right.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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