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Thread: Dan Druff's NBA picks for 2017-18 season

  1. #161
    Utah +8 on Bovada

    Firing on it
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #162
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Utah +8 on Bovada

    Firing on it
    Bruh I really wanna follow all your picks but damn idk how to I can't be on this forum and PFA 24/7. Btw sonatine is salty.

  3. #163
    he doesnt post picks 24 hours a day, and 90 percent of the games start between 7pm and 10 35 pm eastern time so just check in at 6:45 eastern once a day, and you will get 90 percent of his picks. There is no 24 hour monitoring needed

  4. #164
    Okay I overestimate perhaps. But picks are usually submitted within 15-30 minutes of game starting. Which makes it difficult to check often or at the right time (after he posts and before game starts).


    BTW it might appear that I'm complaining or something. I'm not. I think it's great you post your picks before game time and all I've seen from DD so far is honest picks and no tomfoolery (IE: "oh I picked A, B, and C yesterday" or "I actually bet the over not the under, I just mistyped it").

    I just really wanna be able to bet these games without having to check several times a day. :-(

  5. #165
    then you risk putting your money down on games that have players your expect to be playing out with an shootaround injury, team rules violation suspension, arrest, food poisoning. Plus early bets dont get the benefit of seeing line movement.

    the fact that he waits till near gametime gives him credibility. Any lazy dope can post all their picks at 9am, or the day before.

    I havent jumped on his bandwagon.....I still make my own picks...and some do match his.....But he is doing things the right way, the credible way.

    "i wish" i could know everything I need to know by 9am......but it doesnt work that way.

  6. #166
    Lakers -3 (starting about 15-20 min)
    Miami +2.5 (or moneyline of +125 or better)

    Larry: Just check between 3:15 and 4pm on game days where the first game starts at around 4:10 (PST).

    That's the best I can do to help you.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #167
    If you read carefully above, I wasnt asking for times...it was RS///I was defending your "close to gametime" picks. As I said above, I do not use yourpicks but I admire your winning ways

  8. #168
    Congrats on Utah.

    In my business, college football, releasing a "play" on a particular time a particular day has gone the way of Dimetrodon. Lines move -- a lot. When you take a game is almost as important as who you take. That's why I'm hands on with the money. You can't get caught with bad numbers. Sometimes, in fact, if I feel strongly a line is going to substantially move, I'll bet in anticipation of the move, and then I'll figure out if I like either side later.

    It's all very, very different from your father's sports betting.

    Dan does a real good job processing information quickly as it becomes available near tipoff. He gets it out to us quickly.

  9. #169
    I'm firing on Phoenix. Booker is likely to play.

    Phoenix +3 (or moneyline +125 or better)

    I'm doing 50/50 spread and ML.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #170
    Bad result for me with Miami.

    Yeah, it covered by 0.5, but personally I'm not happy because I bet the moneyline on this one, feeling that the Cavs either shit the bed or play well, without much in between, so I didn't think the chance of them winning by 1 or 2 was that high.

    Bad decision.

    Refs fucked the Heat, as the NBA clearly wants the Cavs out of their funk.

    First, with the game tied 85-85, Lebron stepped on a defender's foot, who then fell down, allowing Lebron to easily pass to an open man for a successful 3-pointer. No call.

    So that was huge.

    Then, with the score 90-89 Cavs with 12 seconds left, Miami successfully stole the ball, and a Cavs player (forget who) knocked the ball out of his hands, out of bounds. Somehow it was ruled Cavs ball, and that was that.

    Heat did a horrible job with the final 7 seconds and couldn't even get off a shot (lol), but still, two huge bad calls at the end sealed the Heat's fate.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #171
    I might have to start asterisking certain picks.

    The Lakers pick was again from that service which has about the same record as me this year (only about 40% as many picks, though), where sometimes they fall into my lap despite me not subscribing to the service (it's a glitch on their site, where I subscribe to a stats service and sometimes this also displays).

    The only other one I posted from them was Houston -4.5, and it lost outright.

    Then I skipped the next few, and those did pretty well (you can see their results after-the-fact every day), so I took a shot with this Lakers pick, even though I otherwise was going to skip that game entirely.

    It was a horrible pick, and the Lakers got clobbered the whole way by an awful (3-20 in last 23) Orlando squad.

    I'll probably indicate in the future if I'm making a pick which came from someone else, rather than the ones I come to on my own. This is only the second time I've done it. It also may be the last time.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #172
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I'm firing on Phoenix. Booker is likely to play.

    Phoenix +3 (or moneyline +125 or better)

    I'm doing 50/50 spread and ML.
    Name:  IMG_1351.jpg
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Size:  49.9 KB

    Have a plane to catch shortly, but why not fire away. Hope we both win, TW.

  13. #173
    the analysis was sound on the cleveland game.....cavs last i looked shot 35 percent. If you look at the stat like for james, thomas and wade were 12 for 44...and they still won outright..

  14. #174
    Early NBA games (starting in about 20-25 min):

    Washington +4 (moneyline of +160 or better ok)
    Memphis under 203 (202.5 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #175
    Houston under 208.5 -- game starts about 5:10 PST, may want to wait, as this line might improve a bit
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #176
    3 straight days of 2-1 -- and close to 3-0 yesterday, as the Memphis game lost its under with seconds left.

    Here are two picks, for once well before game time:

    Sac +13.5
    Knicks +2 (I would be shocked if Giannis plays, even though he's "questionable" right now)

    More later.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #177
    Lets also toss this onto the pile:

    Lakers under 216
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #178
    Two more picks.

    Lakers +1
    Portland under 215.5

    Also, Bucks are playing Giannis anyway, and Bledsoe, and Parker.

    Wow.

    You can get Knicks +4.5-5 now. I still endorse it.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  19. #179
    I hope people are appreciating this. This is as fine a high volume job of NBA handicapping as I have seen in 40 years in this business. It has been beyond rock solid. It is extremely rare to get anyone pumping out this many plays with this efficiency. No matter what happens over the last 30 games, Dan has done a tremendous job.

    I also want to mention that the last couple of nights have highlighted the importance of timing the betting to the optimum numbers. If you've done that, you are rolling, and you saved yourself some mental wear and tear on the Knicks game tonight.

  20. #180
    Cleveland +3.5 (moneyline +135 or better ok)
    Denver +5
    New Orleans +8
    Indiana under 210.5 (starting in 30 min)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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