Last edited by BoSox; 11-24-2020 at 04:55 PM.
Probably because you were asking a cunty rhetorical question. I gave you the benefit of the doubt thinking you were just confused, but you were just being a cunt. Lesson learned.
It's pretty fucking close. He said his "host" has him clocked at 70k theo. 70000/.011/1200/30 = 176 hands/day.
70000 = theo
.011 = baccarat theo multiplier
1200 = average MDawg bet
30 = days in a month
So redo the binomial distributions assuming 176 hands/day instead of 240. I'm not doing it myself because you were such a cunt about the cunty rhetorical question you kept asking.
MDawg is lying, but anyone who puts up 50k for his challenge is a moron for reasons made clear by others.
Seriously you guys are fucked up. You guys are fucking either high on drugs were you just motherfucking so bored and so lonely you got just tired of watching porn and now you're into this shit on the internet!
Now look here...you're the cunt for answering a yes-no question like a double-talking cunt.
That's pointless because he didn't play 176 hands/day for 30 days.
Here's what he wrote...
and am net ahead some additional twenty grand at the moment, representing just the win at this third resort....at this resort as of today, I have put in some 71 hours in play, at a 1200 average, with a theoretical loss of some seventy thousand dollars.
You don't know how many days play the figures above represent, the host clocked him for resort #3, not the whole trip.
And you can't calculate the probability of being ahead for any day unless you know the number of hands he played that day...your assumptions are not fucking close.
But you can calculate the total number of hands he played over the 71-hour session, and you already explained that the math for that session proves that it's plausible for him to have won for that session.
The reason some of you think casino personnel may be bought off...is you know nothing to speak of about casinos!
Nothing! Seriously sad shit Sherlocks!
(Why is it ok, to go right to the gay shit, when it is not applicable. Bosox is not gay. He was married for decades until his wife passed away earlier this year. I mean, just grow the fuck up Wynnpervert you complete asshole.)
Okay! He is not really gay, but I did research it and I was told he was most likely bisexual! Which means he sucks cocks as well as he bends over and allows men to fuck his asshole, he justifies cocks in his ass by believing his asshole is a pussy and the men fucking him believe they're fucking a woman. So I understand what you're saying he's not completely gay but he is bisexual. I'm sure he occasionally fucks a gender born female to allow himself to believe he is still not really gay. It's cool bro.
(Why is it ok, to go right to the gay shit, when it is not applicable. Bosox is not gay. He was married for decades until his wife passed away earlier this year. I mean, just grow the fuck up Wynnpervert you complete asshole.)
Okay! He is not really gay, but I did research it and I was told he was most likely bisexual! Which means he sucks cocks as well as he bends over and allows men to fuck his asshole, he justifies cocks in his ass by believing his asshole is a pussy and the men fucking him believe they're fucking a woman. So I understand what you're saying he's not completely gay but he is bisexual. I'm sure he occasionally fucks a gender born female to allow himself to believe he is still not really gay. It's cool bro.
If MDawg said he won everyday for 30 days straight he's full of shit. It don't matter if he plays 100 hands one day, 200 hands the next, 50 the next day, 300 the next day, 60 the next, etc. To have a win in all 30 sample spaces is bullshit. He's telling you he never experiences negative variance no matter how small or large the sample space is. That's total unadulterated bullshit.
"More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ
Is that what Town Pump really teaches you?
When/where did MD say/write that he won every day for 30 days straight?
That's sounds to me like the doubters' false premise.
But if we assume that he did claim to win every day for 30 days straight,
and the odds against that are a billion to one,
then if MDawg is willing to bet that he did win for 30 days straight,
and is offering to prove it and accept even money for a billion-to-one shot,
then isn't that a massive +EV bet for anyone who takes the bet?
One of these days in your travels, a guy is going to show you a brand-new deck of cards on which the seal is not yet broken. Then this guy is going to offer to bet you that he can make the jack of spades jump out of this brand-new deck of cards and squirt cider in your ear. But, son, do not accept this bet, because as sure as you stand there, you're going to wind up with an ear full of cider.
The huge possibility of a con job where falsified documents being shown and employees brought off has been explained multiple times to you.
The fact you ignore the math and ignore what most everyone on here is telling you means you really can't be trusted.
The fact you keep saying MDawg never said he won lifetime against Baccarat even though people on here have seen it (and even though you were part of that conversation) shows you can't be trusted
No one moves forward with a wager when one of the parties can't be trusted.
No one is going to risk $50,000 with such an untrusted source that can falsify his claims.
And I am not going to be having our little meetup either since I am certain now you will just report whatever suits you, truth be damned.
If anyone wants to say I am not a man of my word, I really don't give a fuck. Take me to small claims court
The math is based on a false premise, that MDawg claims to have won each day for 30 days straight.
How can math disprove any of the claims in the current challenge (listed below) ?
I can confirm that all the following are true:
-I have been in Vegas continuously since very early October.
-I have won – net ahead – the exact figures as posted at TruePassage – at both of the resorts we were at before this one, and am net ahead some additional twenty grand at the moment, representing just the win at this third resort.
-That at this resort as of today, I have put in some 71 hours in play, at a 1200 average, with a theoretical loss of some seventy thousand dollars.
-That I have played almost every single day at all three resorts, pretty much every day other than check in and check out days.
-That all of the suites, room, food, beverage, and spa, have been comp’ed, to the tune of some fifty thousand dollars of comp’ed goods and services.
-That I also got a 1000 shopping spree.
What I have said is that MD never claimed to have beaten Baccarat in the long-term. It's possible for him to be ahead for his cumulative play up to this point...and math can't prove otherwise.
Both parties would agree that the arbiters are qualified to validate any testimony and documentation, and to abide by their decisions. That's what arbitration is all about. If you can't agree on arbiters that you can both trust, then it's a stalemate. But the idea that MDawg can organize a conspiracy to fool the arbiters is simply your fantasy, and a tactic to weasel out of giving him the opportunity to prove his claims.
What a shocker...nobody saw that coming from the outset.
But we'll see...AC's not that big of a town, and there are limited styles available in those masks you like to wear. I'm confident I can spot one, with or without any help.
Coach, let's not forget there are THREE sides fully involved in all of this Mdawg and the nonbelievers that would be involved in the actual betting itself, but the third side the casinos that were involved in the bet and they themselves have the MOST to win in the matter. One certainty is that those casinos involved would not be neutral in any of this wagering bought off or not, and as a matter of fact, the nonbelievers would have almost no chance at all to bribe the casinos. Why? The casinos are always looking out for their own best interest period. True or not what better way to increase the gullible public interest and dumb board members than to enhance a particular player's trip reports exponentially? What do they have to lose? Nothing, and everything to gain by creating a hero.
Imagine this fucking asshole Darkey giving a lecture on trust.
Other than Tasha, you would have to dig a hell of a deep hole to find someone else who trusts Darkey. (not that their wouldn't be another asshole just as big and the same color as Tasha on this site that might agree)
Hope your ban at WOV ends soon. You seem to be spending too much time here.
I'm dismissing the scenario you concocted above as delusional.
Even if the wager was a gentlemen's bet, the doubters would claim bribery, fakery, etc, and decline to accept.
How do I know that? Because MDawg already proposed a gentlemen's bet months ago, and the doubters declined to accept.
Yeah, let's give a lecture on trust.
Over at WOV I gave a challenge where if I recognize you as a regular member of WOV you can watch me do an AP when an opportunity comes up and if I win $1000+ then you owe me dinner. If I fail to do so you owe me dinner plus a trip report of what was witnessed (with the implication that the report would be honestly undertaken and Coach clearly can't do that)
Clearly a friendly wager and not some ridiculous$50,000 shenanigans.
So how honest am I? If I wanted an absolute guaranteed method of winning my little AP challenge, I would have it you follow me collecting freeplay from my multiple cards. Trust me I have thousands of dollars of freeplay in a single day so it would be impossible for me not to win at least $1000.
But that would not be in the true spirit of the wager so I am only saying AP opportunities where there are true wagers and risk of losing.
Recognizing of course that variance could make me look bad and I might owe someone dinner.
Bottom line, my offer was reasonable, and for someone to watch actual play. Unlike the laughable MDawg challenge
Last edited by The Boz; 11-25-2020 at 11:38 AM.
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