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Thread: Dan Druff's MLB picks 2018

  1. #241
    I actually bet pretty much the same thing on every game.

    I find that when you start rating plays and betting bigger on the "better" ones, you sometimes regret it. Nothing worse than having a +EV handicapping season based upon your picks, but losing because you bet unevenly.

    Half Smoke mostly covered everything else. Edges in sports are hard to come by because of the house juice and the natural variance of sports contests. That's why when you see someone claiming to hit 70% of his picks, you know he's a scammer. Nobody does that long or even medium-term. It's just too damn hard to maintain.

    I will be making NBA picks when that season gets going, though I will be watchful in the second half, when I slumped last year. In November and December, not only was I winning at a nice clip, but I was picking up tons of blowout wins, which is indicative that you're really on the right track.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #242
    hope I don't offend anybody by saying that fans of MMA are not geniuses to say the least and the betting lines there might be soft. they showed their ineptitude in betting so much on McGregor when he fought Mayweather.

    anybody who looks into this might pick up a few easy wins.
    Of course what I'm saying is true. I saw it ON THE INTERNET.

  3. #243
    Starting at 4:05pm PDT

    Houston (Cole) at Baltimore (Hess) - Under 8.5 -120 (under 8 -105 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #244
    Baltimore under going well... 1-1 in the 7th.

    Let's add one more:

    Oakland (Trivino) at Angels (Barria) - Under 9 -120

    NOTE: Trivino is a reliever who will pitch 1-2 innings before giving way to other relievers.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #245
    BTW, to clarify, Trivino is starting, but there is a chance it will be turned over to Mike Fiers after 1-2 innings, which actually wouldn't be a bad thing. Mike Fiers was the original scheduled starter.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #246
    Texas (Sampson) at Seattle (Paxton) - Under 8 -120
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #247
    Last minute, last-game MLB

    Pittsburgh (Holmes) at Cincinnati (Romano) - Under 9.5 -115
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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