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Thread: Dan Druff's MLB picks 2018

  1. #181
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Two home dogs today.

    at Kansas City (Hammel) +108 vs. Cincinnati (Mahle)
    at Detroit (Boyd) +133 vs. Minnesota (Berrios)

    NOTES: Berrios went 9 innings in his last start. Mahle has never lasted longer than 6 1/3 innings, and has only gone 5 in his past 3 starts.

    I can't argue with either of these. You could make the case the wrong teams are favored.

  2. #182
    Split 'em yesterday, but still profited.

    Wish I was around earlier to make an under pick on Philly today, because I totally would've fired that one, and it's 2-0 in the 5th.

    Anyway, here's another home dog:

    at Oakland (Montas) +177 vs. Houston (Verlander)

    NOTES: Superhuman Verlander has shown a few cracks lately, giving up 5 ER in his last two games (12 innings pitched). Montas is off to a spectacular start, though all 3 of his starts have been against bad or slumping teams.

    Considering Tampa Bay today against the Yankees, will post it closer to game time if I decide to fire.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #183
    Well, I was right and wrong about that A's game.

    Right that Verlander is looking more human (3 ER allowed today).

    I was wrong that Montas is looking good. He got clobbered.

    So that one's about to lose.

    Decided I will again fire against German pitching for the Yankees, as there's been value fading him in the past 2 starts. Also, Snell has been lights out lately.

    Tampa Bay (Snell) +154 at Yankees (German)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #184
    Been struggling with sides, so I'll take a break from them and return to what I've been doing best.

    Washington (G Gonzalez) at Toronto (Aaron Sanchez) - Over 9.5 -105
    Angles (Skags) at Oakland (Bassitt) - Under 8.5 -120

    Washington starting soon.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #185
    Texas (Bibens-Dirkx) at KC (Junis) - under 9 +105
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #186
    Two super last minute unders. Sorry you probably won't have time to bet them:

    Philly (Eflin) at Washington (Roark) - Under 8.5 -115
    at Yankees (Sabathia) vs. Tampa Bay (Stanek) - Under 7.5 +100 (8 -120 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #187
    One more:

    Baltimore (Cobb) at Atlanta (Newcomb) - Under 8.5 -114

    Starts at 4:35 pm PDT
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #188
    Been away from baseball handicapping for awhile due to the WSOP.

    Here's one today:

    White Sox (Rodon) +113 at Texas (Colon)

    NOTES: LOL 45 year olds
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #189
    Super last minute pick which nobody will have time to bet:

    San Francisco (Holland) at Arizona (Godley) - Under 8 +105
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #190
    Okay, let's try another under. Yesterday was a spectacular failure.

    Atlanta (Anibal Sanchez) at Yankees (Loaisiga) - Under 9.5 -120
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #191
    Angels (Heany) at Seattle (LeBlanc) - under 8.5 +100
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #192
    Starting in 10 min:

    Texas (Colon) at Detroit (Zimmerman) - Under 9 -110
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #193
    6/13:
    at Kansas City (Hammel) +108 vs. Cincinnati (Mahle) - LOST -1
    at Detroit (Boyd) +133 vs. Minnesota (Berrios) - WON +1.330
    Total: 1-1, +0.330 units

    6/14:
    at Oakland (Montas) +177 vs. Houston (Verlander) - LOST -1
    Tampa Bay (Snell) +154 at Yankees (German) - LOST -1
    Total: 0-2, -2.0 units

    6/15:
    Washington (G Gonzalez) at Toronto (Aaron Sanchez) - Over 9.5 -105 - WON +0.952
    Angles (Skags) at Oakland (Bassitt) - Under 8.5 -120 - LOST -1
    Total: 1-1, -0.048 units

    6/20:
    Texas (Bibens-Dirkx) at KC (Junis) - under 9 +105 - WON +1.05
    Total: 1-0, +1.05 units

    Total 6/13-6/20: 3-4, -0.668 units

    6/22:
    Philly (Eflin) at Washington (Roark) - Under 8.5 -115 - LOST -1
    at Yankees (Sabathia) vs. Tampa Bay (Stanek) - Under 7.5 +100 - WON +1
    Baltimore (Cobb) at Atlanta (Newcomb) - Under 8.5 -114 - LOST -1
    Day total: 1-2, -1.0 units

    6/30:
    White Sox (Rodon) +113 at Texas (Colon) - LOST -1
    Day total: 0-1, -1.0 units

    7/1:
    San Francisco (Holland) at Arizona (Godley) - Under 8 +105 - LOST -1
    Day total: 0-1, -1.0 units

    7/2:
    Atlanta (Anibal Sanchez) at Yankees (Loaisiga) - Under 9.5 -120 - WON +0.833
    Day total: 1-0, +0.833 units

    7/3:
    Angels (Heany) at Seattle (LeBlanc) - under 8.5 +100 - WON +1
    Day total: 1-0, +1.0 units

    7/6:
    Texas (Colon) at Detroit (Zimmerman) - Under 9 -110 - WON +0.909
    Day total: 1-0, +0.909 units

    Total 6/22-7/6: 4-4, -0.258 units

    Grand total: 73-62-2, +14.059 units

    Overs: 3-4
    Spread (-1.5): 2-1
    Unders: 44-28-2
    Moneyline: 24-29 (around even in units)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  14. #194
    Starting 7:15 PT

    Cubs (Quintana) at SF (Holland) - under 8 -115
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #195
    7/10:
    Cubs (Quintana) at SF (Holland) - under 8 -115 - WON +0.870

    Grand total: 74-62-2, +14.929 units

    Overs: 3-4
    Spread (-1.5): 2-1
    Unders: 45-28-2
    Moneyline: 24-29 (around even in units)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #196
    WOW!!!

    you're really crushing the unders

    very impressive
    please don't feed the trolls

  17. #197
    Thanks. Didn't see any I liked today so I skipped a day.

    Won't press it. Only going to bet where I believe there is value.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #198
    This one isn't quite as strong as my last 4 unders (all of which I really liked), but I still feel good enough to bet it:

    Milwaukee (Miley) at Pittsburgh (Taillon) - Under 8 -115

    Starting very soon
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  19. #199
    Forgot to post one over here yesterday (but posted it on my Pokerfraudalert site), where I should have won but Matheny's mismanagement cost me the win. 2-0 after 5, but 8-2 final on Under 9 in the Cards game. Matheny got fired afterwards!

    The one the day before was also a screw job (Milwaukee/Pittsburgh) due to bad luck and mismanagement.

    Here's today's.

    Texas (Minor) at Baltimore (Castro) - Under 9.5 -113
    Cincinnati (DeSclafani) at St. Louis (Mikolas) - Under 8.5 -110
    KC (B. Smith) at White Sox (Giolito) - Under 9.5 -121

    Notes: Baltimore and KC will be pitching "bullpen games". Cardinals fired their manager and two coaches yesterday.

    Texas game starting soon. The others start shortly after 11am PDT.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  20. #200
    Damn, tough day.
    #FreeTyde

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