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Thread: Absurdity

  1. #41
    Originally Posted by RS__ View Post
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Unfortunately, instead of framing his strategy as a long-term loser which increases the (fairly slim) chances of a short-term big hit, Rob claims these strategies made HIM a long-term winner over a 10-year period.

    And that's absolutely impossible.
    Can we just leave it at that?

    Rob says his system is founded in math, yet desperately avoids ever talking about math and hasn’t once put up any kind of math about his system. He insults his way through the forum, both pushing his impossible claims & system and beating down on actual legitimate AP.

    Rob is to VP as poker cheats & colluders are to live poker. Neither should be given a platform to spew their BS.
    Well, then again RS__ maybe it's not founded in math.

    Originally Posted by Rob.Singer View Post
    Growing probability, as everyone knows, means eventually a winner will come. Has zero to do with the math.
    His ignorance of the math is only matched by his ignorance of the English language.

    Originally Posted by Alan Mendelson View Post
    Regarding terms like "growing probability" -- yes there's a problem. In VP the chance of hitting a royal never changes. It's always about 1 in 40,000. And we all know people who never hit a royal. But then there are people like Dan Druff who never hit a royal until one day they hit three royals.

    So the bottom line is Rob shouldn't use phrases such as "growing probability."

  2. #42
    Originally Posted by a2a3dseddie View Post

    Well, then again RS__ maybe it's not founded in math.

    Originally Posted by Rob.Singer View Post
    Growing probability, as everyone knows, means eventually a winner will come. Has zero to do with the math.
    His ignorance of the math is only matched by his ignorance of the English language.

    Originally Posted by Alan Mendelson View Post
    Regarding terms like "growing probability" -- yes there's a problem. In VP the chance of hitting a royal never changes. It's always about 1 in 40,000. And we all know people who never hit a royal. But then there are people like Dan Druff who never hit a royal until one day they hit three royals.

    So the bottom line is Rob shouldn't use phrases such as "growing probability."
    "Growing probability" is just another way of saying "maturity of chances." It's part of "gambler's fallacy." Here's what wiki has to say about it:

    https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=...nDpc-lYrshJaSB
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

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