I play long sessions of thin edges.
I play all over town every day.
I hardly vulture because it takes up too much time and in this town it isn't worth it to me.
I have never once gotten in any trouble over a strategy chart which is very small to begin with.
I don't understand how these guys get in trouble looking at strategy charts.
Sometimes I put it inside of my Sports Book sheets that have the daily lines on them.
Normally I do not have to look anything up but sometimes I want to make sure.
When I first started out I used to look at them all the time and I mean all the time.
To me, the most important thing was you quit when once through. Yeah, I would have played a few hands differently, but anything can happen. I once witnessed a lady holding high card kickers to a pair on her draws and dang if she didn't hit quads playing the most unorthodox draws. I used to play it all completely, and seldom was I better off.
As it was explained: it was three low cards. It would take an exceptional draw to make straight and a 1/1081 chance to hit a SF is what I remember. One pair pays nothing.
Holding the single high card gives you a good chance of hitting something with four cards being drawn.
Had the three SF cards included one or two high cards it would have been a different situation.
As I mentioned earlier Rob Singer years ago said the correct play was the three low SF cards. But then and now I still follow the strategy to hold the single high card.
I've had similar hands dealt to me and not once did the missing SF cards show on the draw. While that doesn't prove anything I can say I never regretted holding just the high card.
You guys should feel very good that Rob would play the hand the same way you do.
I don't know enough to know what the right move is, but I would have assumed the 3 low cards was better.
But can someone tell us what the difference is in actual dollars and cents. Are we talking pennies or 10ths of a penny or what. Is it even material is really my question.
https://wizardofodds.com/games/video...hand-analyzer/
The EV on suited 5-6-7 is 2.895467 coins vs. holding Q only which is 2.386174 coins. The total difference in expected return is (2.895467-2.386174) = 0.509293 coins, which comes out to about 12.732325 cents, which is very nearly 10% of the total amount that was bet that hand.
Depending on the denomination and number of hands being played, the cost of the error can go up (or down if it is single-handed at a lower denomination).
Anyway, Alan plays a fair deal of video poker, so the more you repeat this error, the more it costs in total in the long run.
Like Alan said, "This is 8/5 Bonus Poker which has a return of 99.17%," well, not playing like that it doesn't.
Funny thing is it would have been a bigger mistake had the hand not contained a straight penalty card against the SF draw.
Let's take a look at that Straight Flush:
You hold 567:
Okay, so you can get 34, 48, or 89 to pick up the straight flush.
There are 47*46 = 2,162 combinations of cards and three of those combinations deliver you a straight flush:
2162/3 = 1 in 720.67
The 1,081 you're thinking of is probably a straight flush draw with one of the cards being a gutshot, that would only give you two combinations.
Of course, even in the example hand, Qh, 9d, 4s, 6s, 7s, the 467SSS is still the better hold. 568SSS is closer (but still better) though closer because the 9 becomes a penalty card against a regular straight.
Here's one for you all. You are dealt AKQJ9 of spades on your very last bet. You have absolutely no more money to your name and can't get any. Are you holding the flush or going for the royal?
You're quite correct, thank you! I'll do this the long way really quick so everybody gets what we're talking about:
Here are the combinations, 34, 48 and 89, so let's look at each individually:
34: (2/47 * 1/46) = 0.00092506938
48: (2/47 * 1/46) = 0.00092506938
89: (2/47 * 1/46) = 0.00092506938
.00092506938*3 = 0.00277520814 or 1/0.00277520814 = 1 in 360.3333...
So, there you go. The possibility of hitting the SH is worth 250/360.3333 = 0.69380203579 coins by itself.
EDIT: Sorry about butchering this post so many times. The quote within a quote thing really messes me up, and, "Go Advanced," is the only way I'm comfortable, but I try to save time by not doing it and usually fuck something up.
Regardless, Alan did it for the easier pay off. This, to me, would only make sense if you really, REALLY needed the money or you play very very little video poker.
Personally I hate these draws myself. Get them a lot on UX plays.
There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)