Originally Posted by
Alan Mendelson
Originally Posted by
kewlJ
Alan Mendelson: Do you believe Rob Singer's claims of having won a million dollars playing his progressive betting system? Or do you believe he is lying?
Valid question.
I don't know if Rob won a million dollars but it is very conceivable to me that a high limit video poker player can win $100k a year.
Rob has never presented tax returns.
But kewlj I am more concerned with what you wrote above: "no betting system, progressive or otherwise, can change a -EV (losing) game into a +EV (winning) game."
I wish you'd stop this. While I don't follow Rob's system or strategy I have spoken to him in depth about CERTAIN parts of it. I can tell you this and try to let it get through your stubborness:
ROB HAS NEVER SAID HE CAN TURN A NEGATIVE EV GAME INTO A POSITIVE GAME.
Once and for all STOP IT.
There is one question and one question only: did he really win the money. Whether it was at a +EV game or a -EV game is of NO consequence.
I'll give you credit for answering Alan. I didn't think you would. I thought you would play your game where you don't acknowledge or answer what you don't want to hear. But you didn't really answer did you?
You went back to the old "Mendelson tap dance routine".
Actually Alan, the fact that Singer claims to have earned 100k over many years is more the problem than if it was a one time hit resulting in a million dollars. So thanks for pointing this out again.
IF a player was playing very high stakes, say $100 denomination ($500 per spin), you could make the case for a one year, hit of a million dollars. The player would have just needed to hit 3-4 Royals in that year, while not losing too much in between. Unlikely, but not impossible. However, this is NOT what Singer's claim is.
BUT 100k, year after year, playing a -EV game, otherwise known as grinding, just is not mathematically possible. And THIS IS what Singer's claim is. So I will say again for you Alan: You can not grind your way to winnings, year after year, playing a -EV game. You need something to turn the game +EV.
Now I want to go back to the original question that you tap danced around. The question wasn't do you know if Singer's claims are true. The question was and remains, Do you, Alan Mendelson believe Rob Singer's claims of earning more than a million dollars (especially spread out over 10 years, winning year after year). Do you believe it Alan?
Let the Mendelson tap dance continue.