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Thread: Dan Druff's MLB picks 2019

  1. #61
    And now one starting in a few hours:

    KC (Keller) +143 at Angels (Harvey)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #62
    Made an SF under pick on Saturday which I posted on my other site (Pokerfraudalert) but somehow the post here didn't go through. For ease of record keeping, I'm counting it. It won, but this has happened before in other years where the game lost, and I also counted it over here.

    Early MLB game:

    Sharps and public are on this one.

    10:07am PDT start time

    Boston (Price) at Toronto (E. Jackson) - Under 9 -115
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #63
    I hated myself for backing an under with Jackson, and I hate myself even more now.

    Here's a chalk spread play to compensate.

    Starting in a few

    Washington (Corbin) -1.5 -101 at Mets (Font)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #64
    25mph wind blowing in

    Seattle (Leake) at Texas (Minor) - Under 11 -115

    Starting in about 50 min
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #65
    The bad news....

    Through 5/10:
    Underdogs: 13-14 (+4.25)
    Totals: 10-10-1 (-1.02)
    Favorites: 6-4 (+1.49)
    Overall: 29-28-1, +4.72 units

    5/11
    White Sox (Nova) +145 at Toronto (Stroman) - WON +1.45

    5/12
    Atlanta (Fried) -118 at Arizona (Godley) - WON +0.85
    Milwaukee (Chacin) +113 at Cubs (Lester) - LOST -1
    Total 5/12: 1-1, -0.15

    5/13
    Detroit (Boyd) +149 vs. Houston (Peacock) - LOST -1

    5/14
    Cleveland (Carrasco) at White Sox (Banuelos) - Under 8 -110 - LOST -1
    Washington (Hellickson) +134 vs. Mets (Syndergaard) - LOST -1
    Miami (Caleb Smith) +120 vs. Tampa Bay (Morton) - LOST -1
    Total 5/14: 0-3, -3.00

    5/15
    Reds/Cubs Under 9 -110 - LOST -1
    Kansas City (Jorge Lopez) +107 vs. Texas (Minor) - LOST -1
    Kansas City (Jorge Lopez) vs. Texas (Minor) - Under 9.5 -115 - WON +0.87
    Total 5/15: 1-2, -1.13

    5/16
    Oakland (Bassitt) at Detroit (Turnbull) Under 8.5 -115 - LOST -1
    Texas (Lynn) at KC (Bailey) Over 10.5 -120 - WON +0.83
    Total 5/16: 1-1, -0.17

    5/17
    Cubs/Nationals - Over 8 -115 - WON +0.87
    Tampa (Stanek) -102 at Yankees (Sabathia) - LOST -1
    Detroit (Norris) +180 vs. Oakland (Montas) - LOST -1
    KC (Keller) +143 at Angels (Harvey) - LOST -1
    Total 5/17: 1-3, -2.13

    5/18:
    San Francisco (Bumgarner) -109 at Arizona (Godley) - WON +0.92

    5/20:
    Boston (Price) at Toronto (E. Jackson) - Under 9 -115 - LOST -1
    Washington (Corbin) -1.5 -101 at Mets (Font) - LOST -1
    Seattle (Leake) at Texas (Minor) - Under 11 -115 - LOST -1
    Total 5/20: 0-3, -3.00


    Total 5/11-5/20:
    Underdogs: 1-7, -5.55 units
    Favorites: 2-1, +0.77
    Spread: 0-1, -1.00
    Totals: 3-5, -2.43
    Overall: 6-14, -8.21 units

    Season totals:
    Underdogs: 14-21 (-1.30)
    Totals: 13-15-1 (-3.45)
    Favorites: 8-5 (+2.26)
    Spread: 0-1 (-1.00)

    GRAND TOTAL: 35-42-1, -3.49 units


    Got some work to do.

    Not buried, but losing 9.66 units in 9 days isn't very fun.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #66
    Was going to take the day off, given my 4-13 slump in the past week, but here's a last minute one:

    Seattle (Milone) +111 at Texas (Lynn)

    Note Milone hasn't pitched in MLB this year. Lynn kinda sucks though.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #67
    Lost again yesterday.

    Should've stuck with the high unders with strong wind blowing in at Texas after losing. Last 2 days under easily won.

    Here's some plays today:

    Colorado (Gray) at Pittsburgh (DuRapau) - Over 8.5 -105 (Kingham to pitch after 1st inning)
    Washington (Scherzer) at NY Mets (Degrom) - Over 6.5 +100 (not the pitching duel it appears to be)
    Washington (Scherzer) -115 at NY Mets (Degrom)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #68
    One more starting now:

    Miami (Urena) at Detroit (D. Norris) - Under 9 -112
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #69
    With Justin Bieber pitching, how can you lose?

    Cleveland (Bieber) +120 vs. Tampa Bay (Snell)

    Starting at 4:10pm PT
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #70
    Two totals:

    Atlanta (Foltynewicz) at St. Louis (Mikolas) - Over 10 -105
    Arizona (Ray) at San Francisco (Pomeranz) - Over 7 +100
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #71
    2-1-1 Wednesday, 2-1 Friday

    Today:
    Seattle (Kikuchi) +113 at Oakland (Fiers)
    Boston (Price) +113 at Houston (Peacock) - Springer out
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #72
    Last minute:

    SD (Straham) at Yankees (C. Green) - Under 10 -110
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #73
    Not quite as last minute (starting 11:10am PT):

    White Sox (Nova) -1.5 +165 vs. Kansas City (Bailey) - In a battle of two bad teams with two bad pitchers, Nova has actually pitched better lately than it appears (3 solid outings out of the past 4, with one bombing), while Bailey truly seems to be back to the horrible pitcher he's been since 2015.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  14. #74
    Rain turning into overcast with a 13-14mph wind blowing in.

    54 degrees

    LOL Minnesota

    Minnesota (Pineda) vs. Milwaukee (G. Gonzalez) - Under 9.5 -115

    Starts at 4:10pm PDT
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #75
    Yankees under, won Minnesota under looking pretty bad, Chicago White Sox game suspended tied 1-1 til tomorrow.

    Here's one more which I have been eyeing all day.

    Seattle (Milone) -120 vs. Texas (Lynn)

    Mariners have lost 6 in a row and taken me down with them at some points, but I believe today is the day for it to end.

    Yes, I'm backing Tommy Milone.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #76
    Well, I just noticed that the online book I used doesn't recognize suspended games, and just cancels the bet.

    I'm actually happy about this.

    Do all books work this way? Now that I think of it, I don't think I've ever bet on a suspended MLB game.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #77
    Four picks today.

    Atlanta is a public play, but everyone I know seems to love it, so why not....

    Detroit (Boyd) at Batimore (Bundy) under 9 -116 (under 8.5 +105 or better ok)
    Miami (Richards) -110 vs. San Francisco (Samardzjia)
    Atlanta (Fried) -115 vs. Washington (Strasburg)
    Toronto (Richard) at Tampa Bay (Stanek) - Under 8.5 -115 (Beeks getting most of the innings on TB)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #78
    Detroit +121
    KC +100
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  19. #79
    Split 'em, Detroit wins, KC loses.

    The Texas game is so weird. Looks super obvious to take Rangers, and indeed almost all the action is on them. Except a lot of sharps seem to be on KC.

    The the line for Texas is surprisingly low.

    Looks like Trapper John MD, but no way I'm betting the other side.

    I will take this though:

    Texas (Minor) vs. KC (Junis) - Under 10 -108
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  20. #80
    Yankees (German) -130 vs. Boston (Porcello)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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